Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 467

August 28, 202119 counties in Minnesota; Richland County, Sargent County, North Dakota; 13 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 28, 2021, 7:08 AM CDT for 19 counties in Minnesota; Richland County, Sargent County, North Dakota; 13 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 28, 2021, 7:08 AM CDT (12:08 UTC)
Expired
Aug 28, 2021, 12:00 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 34 counties

Big Stone County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Grant County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pope County, MN, Renville County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Traverse County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Brown County, SD, Clark County, SD, Codington County, SD, Day County, SD, Deuel County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Grant County, SD, Hamlin County, SD, Marshall County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Spink County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 28, 7:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown16 min
Aug 28, 7:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBrown, Edmunds36 min
Aug 28, 7:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBig Stone30 min
Aug 28, 8:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRDay, Grant, Roberts30 min
Aug 28, 8:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCodington, Grant, Roberts33 min
Aug 28, 8:50 AM CDTTornado WarningABRGrant, Roberts25 min
Aug 28, 9:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRBig Stone31 min
Aug 28, 9:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatMPXLac qui Parle33 min
Aug 28, 9:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatABRBig Stone44 min
Aug 28, 9:49 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDouglas, Pope, Stevens56 min
Aug 28, 9:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXSwift51 min
Aug 28, 10:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threatMPXSwift44 min
Aug 28, 10:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDouglas, Pope, Stearns, Todd49 min
Aug 28, 10:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXKandiyohi52 min
Aug 28, 11:20 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatMPXStearns40 min
Aug 28, 11:24 AM CDTTornado WarningMPXStearns36 min
Aug 28, 11:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatMPXMorrison, Todd43 min
Aug 28, 11:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatMPXBenton, Mille Lacs, Morrison, Sherburne45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 107 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2021-08-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 9 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2021-08-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 25 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
9 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-334 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1540 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
558 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

671 
WWUS20 KWNS 281205
SEL7  
SPC WW 281205
MNZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-281700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 467
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
705 AM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  West central Minnesota
  Extreme southeast North Dakota
  Northeast South Dakota

* Effective this Saturday morning from 705 AM until NOON CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible

SUMMARY...Ongoing clusters of elevated storms, with both supercell
and bowing characteristics, will continue to spread eastward from
South Dakota into Minnesota and extreme southeastern North Dakota
through the morning.  The most intense storms will be capable of
producing isolated very large hail to near 2.5 inch diameter and
isolated significant gusts to near 75 mph.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 60 miles west of
Aberdeen SD to 60 miles east southeast of Alexandria MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This severe thunderstorm watch replaces
severe thunderstorm watch number 466. Watch number 466 will not
be in effect after 705 AM CDT. 

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27035.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 27, 9:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFillmore, Houston93 min
Aug 28, 2:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Stevens, Swift, Traverse2 hr
Aug 28, 2:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBig Stone, Traverse5 hr
Aug 28, 5:42 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Big Stone, Chippewa, Douglas, Grant, Kandiyohi and 11 more2 hr
Aug 28, 9:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Benton, Chisago, Douglas, Grant, Isanti and 12 more2 hr
Aug 28, 10:34 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAitkin, Anoka, Benton, Carlton, Carver, Chisago and 14 more4 hr
Aug 28, 1:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Chisago, Isanti, Kanabec, Pine2 hr
Aug 28, 2:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMurray, Nobles, Pipestone, Rock3 hr
Aug 28, 3:44 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCottonwood, Jackson, Lincoln, Lyon, Murray, Nobles and 2 more5 hr
Aug 28, 3:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCottonwood, Jackson, Murray, Nobles, Rock7 hr
Aug 28, 5:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Carver, Cottonwood, Dakota, Dodge and 22 more63 min
Aug 28, 5:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Carver, Faribault, Freeborn, Le Sueur and 11 more6 hr
Aug 28, 6:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Cottonwood, Nicollet, Watonwan66 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.