Alert archive / Ohio / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 438

August 13, 202127 counties in Ohio; 15 counties in Pennsylvania; 27 counties in West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 13, 2021, 4:46 PM EDT for 27 counties in Ohio; 15 counties in Pennsylvania; 27 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 13, 2021, 4:46 PM EDT (20:46 UTC)
Expired
Aug 13, 2021, 9:39 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 69 counties

Ashland County, OH, Athens County, OH, Belmont County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Gallia County, OH, Guernsey County, OH, Harrison County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Jefferson County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Meigs County, OH, Monroe County, OH, Morgan County, OH, Muskingum County, OH, Noble County, OH, Perry County, OH, Richland County, OH, Stark County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Vinton County, OH, Washington County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Butler County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Forest County, PA, Greene County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Venango County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, Barbour County, WV, Brooke County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Marion County, WV, Marshall County, WV, Mason County, WV, Monongalia County, WV, Ohio County, WV, Pleasants County, WV, Preston County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Tucker County, WV, Tyler County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Wetzel County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV

The radar

The Pittsburgh radar (KPBZ), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 13, 5:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZMonroe, Noble47 min
Aug 13, 5:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZColumbiana39 min
Aug 13, 5:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZNoble31 min
Aug 13, 5:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZGuernsey, Muskingum45 min
Aug 13, 5:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZBelmont, Guernsey, Noble34 min
Aug 13, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZBelmont, Guernsey, Harrison, Jefferson47 min
Aug 13, 6:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZBelmont, Harrison, Jefferson27 min
Aug 13, 6:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Beaver, Butler43 min
Aug 13, 6:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZJefferson49 min
Aug 13, 7:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Beaver, Butler, Lawrence45 min
Aug 13, 7:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Beaver, Butler44 min
Aug 13, 7:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Fayette, Washington, Westmoreland28 min
Aug 13, 7:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny26 min
Aug 13, 7:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny39 min
Aug 13, 7:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Beaver, Washington53 min
Aug 13, 7:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZArmstrong, Butler, Clarion48 min
Aug 13, 7:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZFayette, Westmoreland46 min
Aug 13, 7:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZArmstrong, Indiana, Westmoreland53 min
Aug 13, 7:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Armstrong, Westmoreland48 min
Aug 13, 7:45 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPBZAllegheny104 min
Aug 13, 7:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZAllegheny, Beaver, Butler, Lawrence30 min
Aug 13, 8:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEStark, Summit, Wayne29 min
Aug 13, 8:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZArmstrong, Indiana, Westmoreland31 min
Aug 13, 8:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEMahoning, Trumbull27 min
Aug 13, 9:15 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPBZForest, Lawrence, Mercer, Venango4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 112 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2021-08-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1595 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2021-08-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 133 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1595 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-43 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
800 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
133 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
156 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 132043
SEL8  
SPC WW 132043
OHZ000-PAZ000-WVZ000-140300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 438
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
445 PM EDT Fri Aug 13 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Ohio
  Southwest Pennsylvania
  Northern West Virginia

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 445 PM until
  1100 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of thunderstorms are expected to track slowly
northeastward this afternoon and evening across the watch area.  The
strongest cells will pose a risk of locally damaging wind gusts and
hail.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles northwest of
Athens OH to 5 miles east northeast of Latrobe PA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 436...WW 437...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25025.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 13, 1:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Athens, Belmont, Brown, Butler, Clark and 32 more2 hr
Aug 13, 7:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Harrison, Holmes, Jefferson and 6 more56 min
Aug 12, 10:08 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerks, Bucks, Carbon, Chester, Columbia, Cumberland and 22 more67 min
Aug 13, 12:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Fulton, Lancaster and 3 more87 min
Aug 13, 1:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Berks, Chester, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin and 6 more7 hr
Aug 13, 2:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradford, Cameron, Clinton, Lycoming, Potter, Sullivan and 2 more87 min
Aug 13, 3:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBradford, Clinton, Columbia, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Lycoming and 11 more7 hr
Aug 13, 4:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChester87 min
Aug 13, 7:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradford, Columbia, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Lycoming, Monroe and 9 more61 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.