Alert archive / Ohio / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 438
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 13, 2021, 4:46 PM EDT for 27 counties in Ohio; 15 counties in Pennsylvania; 27 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 13, 2021, 4:46 PM EDT (20:46 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 13, 2021, 9:39 PM EDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 69 counties
Ashland County, OH, Athens County, OH, Belmont County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Gallia County, OH, Guernsey County, OH, Harrison County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Jefferson County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Meigs County, OH, Monroe County, OH, Morgan County, OH, Muskingum County, OH, Noble County, OH, Perry County, OH, Richland County, OH, Stark County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Vinton County, OH, Washington County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Butler County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Forest County, PA, Greene County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Venango County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, Barbour County, WV, Brooke County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Marion County, WV, Marshall County, WV, Mason County, WV, Monongalia County, WV, Ohio County, WV, Pleasants County, WV, Preston County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Tucker County, WV, Tyler County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Wetzel County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV
The radar
The Pittsburgh radar (KPBZ), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 5%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 5:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Monroe, Noble | 47 min |
| Aug 13, 5:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Columbiana | 39 min |
| Aug 13, 5:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Noble | 31 min |
| Aug 13, 5:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Guernsey, Muskingum | 45 min |
| Aug 13, 5:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Belmont, Guernsey, Noble | 34 min |
| Aug 13, 6:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Belmont, Guernsey, Harrison, Jefferson | 47 min |
| Aug 13, 6:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Belmont, Harrison, Jefferson | 27 min |
| Aug 13, 6:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Beaver, Butler | 43 min |
| Aug 13, 6:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Jefferson | 49 min |
| Aug 13, 7:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Beaver, Butler, Lawrence | 45 min |
| Aug 13, 7:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Beaver, Butler | 44 min |
| Aug 13, 7:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Fayette, Washington, Westmoreland | 28 min |
| Aug 13, 7:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny | 26 min |
| Aug 13, 7:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny | 39 min |
| Aug 13, 7:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Beaver, Washington | 53 min |
| Aug 13, 7:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Armstrong, Butler, Clarion | 48 min |
| Aug 13, 7:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Fayette, Westmoreland | 46 min |
| Aug 13, 7:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Armstrong, Indiana, Westmoreland | 53 min |
| Aug 13, 7:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Armstrong, Westmoreland | 48 min |
| Aug 13, 7:45 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PBZ | Allegheny | 104 min |
| Aug 13, 7:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Allegheny, Beaver, Butler, Lawrence | 30 min |
| Aug 13, 8:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Stark, Summit, Wayne | 29 min |
| Aug 13, 8:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Armstrong, Indiana, Westmoreland | 31 min |
| Aug 13, 8:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Mahoning, Trumbull | 27 min |
| Aug 13, 9:15 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PBZ | Forest, Lawrence, Mercer, Venango | 4 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 112 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1595 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -43 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 800 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 26 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 133 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 156 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
000 WWUS20 KWNS 132043 SEL8 SPC WW 132043 OHZ000-PAZ000-WVZ000-140300- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 438 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 445 PM EDT Fri Aug 13 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Eastern Ohio Southwest Pennsylvania Northern West Virginia * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 445 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Clusters of thunderstorms are expected to track slowly northeastward this afternoon and evening across the watch area. The strongest cells will pose a risk of locally damaging wind gusts and hail. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles northwest of Athens OH to 5 miles east northeast of Latrobe PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 436...WW 437... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25025. ...Hart
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 1:13 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Athens, Belmont, Brown, Butler, Clark and 32 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 13, 7:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Harrison, Holmes, Jefferson and 6 more | 56 min |
| Aug 12, 10:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Berks, Bucks, Carbon, Chester, Columbia, Cumberland and 22 more | 67 min |
| Aug 13, 12:33 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Fulton, Lancaster and 3 more | 87 min |
| Aug 13, 1:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adams, Berks, Chester, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin and 6 more | 7 hr |
| Aug 13, 2:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradford, Cameron, Clinton, Lycoming, Potter, Sullivan and 2 more | 87 min |
| Aug 13, 3:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bradford, Clinton, Columbia, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Lycoming and 11 more | 7 hr |
| Aug 13, 4:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chester | 87 min |
| Aug 13, 7:14 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradford, Columbia, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Lycoming, Monroe and 9 more | 61 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.