Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 437
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 13, 2021, 3:29 PM EDT for 34 counties in New York; 17 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 13, 2021, 3:29 PM EDT (19:29 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 13, 2021, 10:01 PM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 51 counties
Albany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Yates County, NY, Bradford County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Pike County, PA, Potter County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Union County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA
The radar
The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 5%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 3:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Fulton, Montgomery | 44 min |
| Aug 13, 3:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Dauphin, Juniata, Northumberland, Perry, Snyder | 29 min |
| Aug 13, 3:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chemung, Tioga | 39 min |
| Aug 13, 4:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Schuyler, Steuben | 13 min |
| Aug 13, 4:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Broome, Tioga | 48 min |
| Aug 13, 4:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Columbia, Lycoming, Sullivan | 60 min |
| Aug 13, 4:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Saratoga | 46 min |
| Aug 13, 5:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Broome, Chenango, Delaware | 22 min |
| Aug 13, 5:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Chemung, Tioga | 36 min |
| Aug 13, 5:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Columbia, Lycoming, Sullivan | 31 min |
| Aug 13, 5:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Fulton, Montgomery, Schoharie | 47 min |
| Aug 13, 5:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Broome, Chenango, Delaware | 38 min |
| Aug 13, 5:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Delaware | 46 min |
| Aug 13, 6:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Delaware, Otsego | 19 min |
| Aug 13, 6:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | Delaware, Sullivan | 48 min |
| Aug 13, 6:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Albany | 45 min |
| Aug 13, 7:15 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | ALY | Albany | 2 hr |
| Aug 13, 7:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Albany, Rensselaer | 35 min |
| Aug 13, 8:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Dutchess, Ulster | 47 min |
| Aug 13, 8:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ALY | Columbia, Dutchess | 45 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 239 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -124 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 879 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 31 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 27 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
The text
As transmitted.
535 WWUS20 KWNS 131926 SEL7 SPC WW 131926 NYZ000-PAZ000-140300- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 437 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 325 PM EDT Fri Aug 13 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and Eastern New York Northeast Pennsylvania * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 325 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms continue to form and intensify across the watch area, in a hot and humid environment. Storms will persist through the early evening, with a risk of hail and damaging winds in the strongest cells. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles west southwest of Elmira NY to 25 miles east northeast of Albany NY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 436... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26025. ...Hart
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland, Essex and 19 more | 87 min |
| Aug 13, 7:14 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Albany, Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Columbia and 29 more | 61 min |
| Aug 12, 10:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Berks, Bucks, Carbon, Chester, Columbia, Cumberland and 22 more | 67 min |
| Aug 13, 12:33 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Fulton, Lancaster and 3 more | 87 min |
| Aug 13, 1:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adams, Berks, Chester, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin and 6 more | 7 hr |
| Aug 13, 4:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Fayette and 9 more | 5 hr |
| Aug 13, 4:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chester | 87 min |
| Aug 13, 7:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Cambria, Clarion and 13 more | 56 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.