Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 436
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 13, 2021, 1:11 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 13, 2021, 1:11 PM EDT (17:11 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 13, 2021, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 104 counties
Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Washington County, MD, Adams County, PA, Berks County, PA, Chester County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Perry County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, York County, PA, Albemarle County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Augusta County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greene County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Henry County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King George County, VA, King William County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Madison County, VA, Nelson County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, Berkeley County, WV, Jefferson County, WV
The radar
The Sterling radar (KLWX), 23 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 5%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 50%
Warnings issued inside it
66 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 1:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Rockingham | 47 min |
| Aug 13, 1:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Allegany, Washington | 47 min |
| Aug 13, 1:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Augusta, Rockingham, City of Harrisonburg, City of Staunton | 30 min |
| Aug 13, 2:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Adams, Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Juniata and 2 more | 63 min |
| Aug 13, 2:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Frederick, Shenandoah, City of Winchester | 42 min |
| Aug 13, 2:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Page, Rockingham, Shenandoah, City of Harrisonburg | 41 min |
| Aug 13, 2:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Rockingham | 22 min |
| Aug 13, 2:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Rockbridge | 29 min |
| Aug 13, 2:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Washington | 35 min |
| Aug 13, 2:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Albemarle, Augusta, Nelson, City of Waynesboro | 24 min |
| Aug 13, 2:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Albemarle, Augusta, Greene, Page, Rockingham | 50 min |
| Aug 13, 2:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Clarke, Frederick, Warren | 34 min |
| Aug 13, 3:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Augusta, Nelson | 23 min |
| Aug 13, 3:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Greene, Madison, Orange | 25 min |
| Aug 13, 3:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Pittsylvania | 49 min |
| Aug 13, 3:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Adams, Franklin | 63 min |
| Aug 13, 3:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cumberland, Perry | 61 min |
| Aug 13, 3:16 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Albemarle, Augusta, Nelson, City of Waynesboro | 100 min |
| Aug 13, 3:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Albemarle, Augusta, Nelson, City of Waynesboro | 42 min |
| Aug 13, 3:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Frederick, Shenandoah, Warren | 25 min |
| Aug 13, 3:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Greene, Madison, Orange, Page | 45 min |
| Aug 13, 3:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | York | 40 min |
| Aug 13, 3:35 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Orange | 3 hr |
| Aug 13, 3:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Frederick | 39 min |
| Aug 13, 3:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Dauphin, Juniata, Northumberland, Perry, Snyder | 29 min |
| Aug 13, 3:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cumberland, Dauphin, Perry | 47 min |
| Aug 13, 3:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Montgomery | 40 min |
| Aug 13, 3:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Albemarle, Greene, Madison, Orange | 52 min |
| Aug 13, 3:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Amherst, Appomattox, Buckingham | 61 min |
| Aug 13, 4:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Nelson | 43 min |
| Aug 13, 4:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Montgomery | 40 min |
| Aug 13, 4:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Adams, Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York | 53 min |
| Aug 13, 4:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Fauquier, Prince William | 47 min |
| Aug 13, 4:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Carroll, Howard, Montgomery | 45 min |
| Aug 13, 4:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Fluvanna, Louisa | 44 min |
| Aug 13, 4:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Fauquier, Prince William | 43 min |
| Aug 13, 4:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Fauquier | 27 min |
| Aug 13, 4:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, City of Baltimore | 48 min |
| Aug 13, 4:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Montgomery | 29 min |
| Aug 13, 4:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's, City of Baltimore | 41 min |
| Aug 13, 4:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Harford | 41 min |
| Aug 13, 4:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RNK | Buckingham | 27 min |
| Aug 13, 4:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Harford | 46 min |
| Aug 13, 5:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Amelia, Cumberland, Fluvanna, Goochland, Hanover, Louisa and 1 more | 45 min |
| Aug 13, 5:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Montgomery, Prince George's | 49 min |
| Aug 13, 5:14 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Fauquier, Prince William | 31 min |
| Aug 13, 5:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Fauquier, Prince William, Stafford, City of Manassas | 44 min |
| Aug 13, 5:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Harford, City of Baltimore | 40 min |
| Aug 13, 5:22 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Harford | 38 min |
| Aug 13, 5:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Calvert, Prince George's | 50 min |
| Aug 13, 5:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Prince George's | 25 min |
| Aug 13, 5:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Cecil, Harford | 24 min |
| Aug 13, 5:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Charles, Montgomery, Prince George's | 49 min |
| Aug 13, 6:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Prince George's | 44 min |
| Aug 13, 6:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Caroline, Essex | 42 min |
| Aug 13, 6:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Charles | 40 min |
| Aug 13, 6:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Calvert, Prince George's | 45 min |
| Aug 13, 6:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Queen Anne's, Talbot | 25 min |
| Aug 13, 6:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Charles | 42 min |
| Aug 13, 6:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Caroline, Queen Anne's | 30 min |
| Aug 13, 7:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Calvert, Charles, Saint Mary's | 39 min |
| Aug 13, 7:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Prince George's, Saint Mary's | 34 min |
| Aug 13, 7:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Caroline, Queen Anne's | 33 min |
| Aug 13, 7:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | Dorchester | 52 min |
| Aug 13, 7:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Calvert, Saint Mary's | 21 min |
| Aug 13, 7:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Caroline | 47 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 5.2 hours before the alert went out and 20 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 313 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -199 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1675 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 8 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -11 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 58 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
400 WWUS20 KWNS 131708 SEL6 SPC WW 131708 DCZ000-MDZ000-PAZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-CWZ000-140000- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 436 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 110 PM EDT Fri Aug 13 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Maryland Southeast Pennsylvania Central and Northern Virginia Eastern Panhandle of West Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 110 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage and intensity through the afternoon and spread eastward across the watch area. While storms will likely be rather disorganized, the strongest cells will be capable of locally damaging wind gusts. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles northeast of Harrisburg PA to 55 miles south southwest of Lynchburg VA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 28020. ...Hart
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 12:33 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Charles, Frederick, Harford and 5 more | 87 min |
| Aug 13, 4:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Cecil, Charles, Harford, Howard and 2 more | 87 min |
| Aug 13, 6:02 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Wicomico, Worcester | 58 min |
| Aug 12, 10:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Berks, Bucks, Carbon, Chester, Columbia, Cumberland and 22 more | 67 min |
| Aug 13, 2:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradford, Cameron, Clinton, Lycoming, Potter, Sullivan and 2 more | 87 min |
| Aug 13, 3:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bradford, Clinton, Columbia, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Lycoming and 11 more | 7 hr |
| Aug 13, 4:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Fayette and 9 more | 5 hr |
| Aug 13, 7:14 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradford, Columbia, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Lycoming, Monroe and 9 more | 61 min |
| Aug 13, 7:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Cambria, Clarion and 13 more | 56 min |
| Aug 13, 1:13 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cabell, Calhoun, Clay, Doddridge, Gilmer, Harrison and 15 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.