Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 373
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 11, 2021, 1:23 PM MST for Cochise County, Graham County, Greenlee County, Arizona; 20 counties in New Mexico. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 11, 2021, 1:23 PM MST (20:23 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 11, 2021, 9:00 PM MST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 23 counties
Cochise County, AZ, Graham County, AZ, Greenlee County, AZ, Bernalillo County, NM, Catron County, NM, Cibola County, NM, Doña Ana County, NM, Grant County, NM, Guadalupe County, NM, Hidalgo County, NM, Los Alamos County, NM, Luna County, NM, Mora County, NM, Otero County, NM, Rio Arriba County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Sandoval County, NM, Santa Fe County, NM, Sierra County, NM, Socorro County, NM, Taos County, NM, Torrance County, NM, Valencia County, NM
The radar
The Albuquerque radar (KABX), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
53 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 1:39 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | ABQ | Mora, Taos | 3 hr |
| Jul 11, 1:39 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Otero | 51 min |
| Jul 11, 2:03 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Los Alamos, Rio Arriba, Sandoval | 57 min |
| Jul 11, 2:05 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Mora, Rio Arriba, Taos | 42 min |
| Jul 11, 2:26 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Otero | 49 min |
| Jul 11, 2:35 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Sandoval | 40 min |
| Jul 11, 2:44 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | ABQ | Rio Arriba, Sandoval | 3 hr |
| Jul 11, 3:12 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Otero | 48 min |
| Jul 11, 3:16 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Sierra | 21 min |
| Jul 11, 3:23 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Otero | 37 min |
| Jul 11, 3:27 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Otero | 48 min |
| Jul 11, 3:31 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Grant | 33 min |
| Jul 11, 3:42 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | McKinley, Sandoval | 63 min |
| Jul 11, 3:47 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | EPZ | Grant | 6 hr |
| Jul 11, 3:50 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Otero | 40 min |
| Jul 11, 4:01 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Santa Fe | 25 min |
| Jul 11, 4:03 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Otero | 28 min |
| Jul 11, 4:14 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Otero | 46 min |
| Jul 11, 4:16 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Otero | 44 min |
| Jul 11, 4:21 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana | 39 min |
| Jul 11, 4:22 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Socorro | 38 min |
| Jul 11, 4:25 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Otero | 50 min |
| Jul 11, 4:26 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana, Otero | 49 min |
| Jul 11, 4:29 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Cibola, McKinley | 38 min |
| Jul 11, 4:29 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Sierra | 46 min |
| Jul 11, 4:33 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Otero | 42 min |
| Jul 11, 4:49 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Otero | 41 min |
| Jul 11, 5:01 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Otero | 44 min |
| Jul 11, 5:05 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana, Otero, Sierra | 40 min |
| Jul 11, 5:08 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TWC | Greenlee | 37 min |
| Jul 11, 5:08 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Otero | 52 min |
| Jul 11, 5:13 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana, Sierra | 47 min |
| Jul 11, 5:19 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana, Otero | 26 min |
| Jul 11, 5:24 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | EPZ | Sierra | 3 hr |
| Jul 11, 5:28 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana, Otero | 47 min |
| Jul 11, 5:30 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Colfax, Harding, Mora, Union | 45 min |
| Jul 11, 5:33 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Otero | 42 min |
| Jul 11, 5:43 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana, Sierra | 47 min |
| Jul 11, 5:50 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Guadalupe, Torrance | 40 min |
| Jul 11, 6:00 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana, Otero | 45 min |
| Jul 11, 6:06 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana | 39 min |
| Jul 11, 6:16 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Otero | 29 min |
| Jul 11, 6:31 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana, Otero | 44 min |
| Jul 11, 6:39 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Socorro | 36 min |
| Jul 11, 6:45 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana, Otero | 30 min |
| Jul 11, 6:52 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TWC | Graham | 38 min |
| Jul 11, 6:55 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Harding, Mora, San Miguel | 52 min |
| Jul 11, 6:57 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana, Sierra | 48 min |
| Jul 11, 7:11 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana | 49 min |
| Jul 11, 7:19 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | ABQ | Socorro | 3 hr |
| Jul 11, 7:26 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana | 3 hr |
| Jul 11, 7:28 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana | 29 min |
| Jul 11, 7:43 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | ABQ | Catron | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 41 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1032 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -167 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1687 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 106 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 312 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.7
The text
As transmitted.
724 WWUS20 KWNS 112020 SEL3 SPC WW 112020 AZZ000-NMZ000-TXZ000-120400- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 373 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 220 PM MDT Sun Jul 11 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southeast Arizona Western and Central New Mexico Far West Texas * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 220 PM until 1000 PM MDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Widely scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to develop initially over the mountains this afternoon, and subsequently drift generally south-southwestward toward southern New Mexico/far West Texas and far southeast Arizona through the late afternoon and evening. Instances of severe hail and wind can be expected. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 110 statute miles east and west of a line from 65 miles northeast of Cuba NM to 35 miles south southwest of Deming NM. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 371...WW 372... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 01020. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 6:55 PM MST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Gila, Graham, Maricopa, Pima, Pinal, Santa Cruz | 2 hr |
| Jul 11, 3:59 PM MST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Gila, Yavapai | 2 hr |
| Jul 10, 7:49 PM MST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Colfax, Harding, Mora | 86 min |
| Jul 11, 9:48 AM MST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Eddy, Lea | 87 min |
| Jul 11, 10:16 AM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Chaves, De Baca, Eddy, Lea, Lincoln, Roosevelt | 7 hr |
| Jul 11, 12:33 PM MST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bernalillo, Chaves, De Baca, Doña Ana, Eddy, Grant and 12 more | 87 min |
| Jul 11, 4:18 PM MST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Doña Ana, Otero | 87 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Mexico, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arizona, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.