Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 1179

July 7, 20217 counties in Florida; 25 counties in Georgia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 7, 2021, 12:28 PM EDT for 7 counties in Florida; 25 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2021, 12:28 PM EDT (16:28 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 2021, 2:30 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Tornado watch 341
All 32 counties

Baker County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Clay County, FL, Columbia County, FL, Duval County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Union County, FL, Appling County, GA, Bacon County, GA, Brantley County, GA, Bryan County, GA, Bulloch County, GA, Camden County, GA, Candler County, GA, Charlton County, GA, Chatham County, GA, Clinch County, GA, Echols County, GA, Effingham County, GA, Emanuel County, GA, Evans County, GA, Glynn County, GA, Jeff Davis County, GA, Liberty County, GA, Long County, GA, McIntosh County, GA, Montgomery County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Tattnall County, GA, Toombs County, GA, Ware County, GA, Wayne County, GA

The radar

The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 12:00Z, 4.5 hours before the alert went out and 82 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2021-07-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1540 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2021-07-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 103 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1540 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
838 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
103 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
144 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

636 
ACUS11 KWNS 071629
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071628 
SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-071830-

Mesoscale Discussion 1179
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1128 AM CDT Wed Jul 07 2021

Areas affected...North FL...southeast GA...southern SC

Concerning...Tornado Watch 341...

Valid 071628Z - 071830Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 341 continues.

SUMMARY...The risk for a few tornadoes continues in association with
Tropical Storm Elsa, and a new Tornado Watch will be coordinated
prior to the scheduled expiration of Tornado Watch 341.

DISCUSSION...A new Tornado Watch will be coordinated prior to the
17z scheduled expiration of Tornado Watch 341, and will likely be
extended north to near the SC-GA state line.  Outer bands continue
to rotate northwest around the circulation of Tropical Storm Elsa,
and latest RAP forecast soundings suggest a favorable kinematic
environment for a few brief tornadoes to develop as Elsa begins to
turn to a more north-northeast motion this afternoon.  In addition,
filtered heating through high-level clouds over parts of southeast
GA will contribute to an increase in buoyancy and a more favorable
thermodynamic environment.

..Bunting/Guyer.. 07/07/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...

LAT...LON   30578294 31578275 32258258 32668227 32718167 32518134
            32078105 31898094 31538105 31048119 30368144 29908152
            29788218 29868281 29938290 30578294

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 6, 10:37 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlachua, Charlotte, Citrus, Collier, DeSoto, Gilchrist and 22 more9 hr
Jul 6, 11:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCharlotte, DeSoto, Hardee, Hillsborough2 hr
Jul 7, 3:03 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCharlotte, Citrus, DeSoto, Hardee, Hernando, Hillsborough and 5 more117 min
Jul 7, 5:42 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Bradford, Charlotte, Citrus, Columbia, DeSoto and 19 more2 hr
Jul 7, 6:46 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBaker, Bradford, Clay, Columbia, Duval, Hamilton and 4 more6 hr
Jul 7, 7:06 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCharlotte, Citrus, DeSoto, Hardee, Hernando, Highlands and 10 more54 min
Jul 7, 10:30 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Bradford, Clay, Columbia, Duval, Hamilton and 3 more2 hr
Jul 7, 1:04 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBaker, Bradford, Clay, Columbia, Duval, Hamilton and 3 more7 hr
Jul 7, 4:47 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Clay, Columbia, Duval, Nassau, Saint Johns and 1 more118 min
Jul 7, 6:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrantley, Bryan, Camden, Chatham, Effingham, Evans and 6 more2 hr
Jul 7, 7:25 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBryan, Bulloch, Burke, Candler, Chatham, Effingham and 11 more11 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in Florida, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.