Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 341

July 7, 202110 counties in Florida; 9 counties in Georgia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 7, 2021, 6:46 AM EDT for 10 counties in Florida; 9 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2021, 6:46 AM EDT (10:46 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 2021, 1:00 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Strongest gust expected
50 kt

Counties Baker County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Clay County, FL, Columbia County, FL, Duval County, FL, Hamilton County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Saint Johns County, FL, Suwannee County, FL, Union County, FL, Brantley County, GA, Camden County, GA, Charlton County, GA, Clinch County, GA, Echols County, GA, Glynn County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Ware County, GA, Wayne County, GA

The radar

The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
5%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
20%

Warnings issued inside it

3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 7:02 AM EDTTornado WarningJAXColumbia, Suwannee28 min
Jul 7, 8:39 AM EDTTornado WarningJAXBaker, Columbia11 min
Jul 7, 9:37 AM EDTTornado WarningJAXBrantley, Pierce, Ware23 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 00:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 71 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 00:00Z on 2021-07-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1886 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 00:00Z on 2021-07-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -31 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1886 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
813 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
3 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-27 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

113 
WWUS20 KWNS 071044
SEL1  
SPC WW 071044
FLZ000-GAZ000-071700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 341
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
645 AM EDT Wed Jul 7 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  North Florida
  Southeast Georgia

* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 645 AM
  until 100 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible

SUMMARY...Arc of lower-topped showers should spread north from north
Florida across southeast Georgia. Environment remains conducive for
low-level circulations that might produce a couple brief tornadoes
through about midday.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 60 miles southwest of Jacksonville FL
to 25 miles east northeast of Waycross GA. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 340...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 50 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 15030.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 6, 10:37 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlachua, Charlotte, Citrus, Collier, DeSoto, Gilchrist and 22 more9 hr
Jul 6, 11:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCharlotte, DeSoto, Hardee, Hillsborough2 hr
Jul 7, 3:03 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCharlotte, Citrus, DeSoto, Hardee, Hernando, Hillsborough and 5 more117 min
Jul 7, 5:42 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Bradford, Charlotte, Citrus, Columbia, DeSoto and 19 more2 hr
Jul 7, 7:06 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCharlotte, Citrus, DeSoto, Hardee, Hernando, Highlands and 10 more54 min
Jul 7, 10:30 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Bradford, Clay, Columbia, Duval, Hamilton and 3 more2 hr
Jul 7, 12:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Bradford, Clay, Columbia, Duval, Nassau and 1 more2 hr
Jul 7, 1:04 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBaker, Bradford, Clay, Columbia, Duval, Hamilton and 3 more7 hr
Jul 7, 4:47 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Clay, Columbia, Duval, Nassau, Saint Johns and 1 more118 min
Jul 7, 6:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrantley, Bryan, Camden, Chatham, Effingham, Evans and 6 more2 hr
Jul 7, 7:25 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBryan, Bulloch, Burke, Candler, Chatham, Effingham and 11 more11 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Florida, 2021Tornado Watches in Georgia, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.