Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2020

Tornado Watch 5

January 10, 20204 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 10, 2020, 5:34 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 10, 2020, 5:34 PM CST (23:34 UTC)
Expired
Jan 11, 2020, 4:11 AM CST
In force
11 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 96 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Baxter County, AR, Boone County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Conway County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Marion County, AR, Miller County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Newton County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Union County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Christian County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Howell County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Angelina County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Panola County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rusk County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
70%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

84 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 10, 5:45 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDallas, Greene, Laclede, Webster, Wright45 min
Jan 10, 5:47 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFGreene, Webster28 min
Jan 10, 6:04 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Douglas, Ozark, Taney, Webster, Wright41 min
Jan 10, 6:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Dallas, Laclede, Webster, Wright46 min
Jan 10, 6:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Wright20 min
Jan 10, 6:51 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningSGFCamden, Christian, Douglas, Laclede, Ozark, Pulaski and 4 more6 hr
Jan 10, 6:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVRed River47 min
Jan 10, 7:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPolk39 min
Jan 10, 7:06 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVRed River24 min
Jan 10, 7:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFLaclede, Pulaski, Texas, Wright37 min
Jan 10, 7:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Scott48 min
Jan 10, 7:23 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKMontgomery, Polk, Scott, Yell52 min
Jan 10, 7:25 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVHoward14 min
Jan 10, 7:27 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKLogan, Scott, Yell48 min
Jan 10, 7:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Pope, Scott, Yell50 min
Jan 10, 7:53 PM CSTTornado Warning Considerable damage threatLZKJohnson, Logan52 min
Jan 10, 7:59 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVHoward, Sevier18 min
Jan 10, 8:05 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Johnson, Newton, Pope55 min
Jan 10, 8:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Montgomery, Polk, Scott47 min
Jan 10, 8:22 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Yell24 min
Jan 10, 8:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Newton, Perry, Pope, Scott and 1 more61 min
Jan 10, 8:31 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKJohnson, Newton, Pope, Searcy26 min
Jan 10, 8:32 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningSHVSevier3 hr
Jan 10, 8:46 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Boone, Conway, Marion, Newton, Pope and 3 more59 min
Jan 10, 8:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Montgomery, Perry, Polk, Scott, Yell52 min
Jan 10, 9:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Perry, Pope, Pulaski, Van Buren and 1 more66 min
Jan 10, 9:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPerry, Pope, Yell32 min
Jan 10, 9:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOzark52 min
Jan 10, 9:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Perry, Pike and 3 more65 min
Jan 10, 9:40 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKConway, Pope, Yell14 min
Jan 10, 9:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Cleburne, Conway, Fulton, Independence, Izard and 5 more46 min
Jan 10, 10:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Howell54 min
Jan 10, 10:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike65 min
Jan 10, 10:11 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Perry, Pope, Pulaski and 2 more64 min
Jan 10, 10:13 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningSHVBowie, Camp, Franklin, Morris, Red River, Smith and 3 more3 hr
Jan 10, 10:15 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton8 min
Jan 10, 10:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell, Ozark45 min
Jan 10, 10:17 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFHowell, Ozark16 min
Jan 10, 10:23 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKConway, Johnson, Logan, Newton, Pope, Searcy and 2 more3 hr
Jan 10, 10:24 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningSGFDouglas, Howell, Oregon, Shannon, Texas12 hr
Jan 10, 10:26 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningSHVHempstead, Howard, Little River, Sevier3 hr
Jan 10, 10:29 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKGarland, Logan, Montgomery, Pike, Polk, Scott and 1 more3 hr
Jan 10, 10:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Lawrence, Randolph and 3 more61 min
Jan 10, 10:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOregon, Shannon37 min
Jan 10, 10:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Faulkner, Garland, Grant, Hot Spring, Montgomery and 3 more61 min
Jan 10, 10:45 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKClark, Conway, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Perry and 6 more4 hr
Jan 10, 10:49 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCherokee, Smith56 min
Jan 10, 10:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIzard, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren35 min
Jan 10, 11:03 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Dallas, Hot Spring, Ouachita57 min
Jan 10, 11:05 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Independence, Lonoke, Perry and 3 more55 min
Jan 10, 11:14 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKPulaski, Saline6 min
Jan 10, 11:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCherokee, Gregg, Nacogdoches, Rusk, Smith, Upshur62 min
Jan 10, 11:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson, Lawrence, Randolph, Sharp60 min
Jan 10, 11:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Grant, Hot Spring, Jefferson, Lonoke, Pulaski and 1 more46 min
Jan 10, 11:51 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Cleveland, Dallas, Grant, Hot Spring, Ouachita54 min
Jan 10, 11:53 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVNacogdoches, Rusk, Shelby19 min
Jan 10, 11:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCass, Gregg, Harrison, Marion, Nacogdoches, Panola and 2 more63 min
Jan 11, 12:03 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Garland, Independence, Lonoke and 5 more3 hr
Jan 11, 12:06 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVHarrison, Marion24 min
Jan 11, 12:08 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Independence, Jackson, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski and 2 more67 min
Jan 11, 12:09 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVPanola, Rusk36 min
Jan 11, 12:21 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVHarrison, Panola24 min
Jan 11, 12:32 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleveland, Dallas, Grant, Hot Spring, Jefferson, Saline3 hr
Jan 11, 12:34 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVCaddo41 min
Jan 11, 12:38 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVNacogdoches, San Augustine, Shelby37 min
Jan 11, 12:39 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Cleveland, Dallas, Grant, Jefferson, Lincoln and 4 more51 min
Jan 11, 12:40 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVLafayette, Miller65 min
Jan 11, 12:44 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Lincoln, Ouachita46 min
Jan 11, 1:00 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVDe Soto, Red River, Sabine45 min
Jan 11, 1:17 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson, Lawrence, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie and 3 more58 min
Jan 11, 1:27 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVBossier, Webster28 min
Jan 11, 1:29 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Cleveland, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln, Lonoke and 2 more61 min
Jan 11, 1:30 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Union60 min
Jan 11, 1:31 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Desha, Drew and 2 more59 min
Jan 11, 1:39 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVDe Soto, Natchitoches, Red River, Sabine66 min
Jan 11, 1:48 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVBienville, Claiborne, Webster27 min
Jan 11, 1:50 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningSGFChristian, Douglas, Laclede, Ozark, Pulaski, Taney and 3 more9 hr
Jan 11, 2:15 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff45 min
Jan 11, 2:16 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVUnion59 min
Jan 11, 2:28 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln, Monroe, Prairie62 min
Jan 11, 2:31 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Desha, Drew, Lincoln59 min
Jan 11, 2:38 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Drew, Jefferson and 3 more3 hr
Jan 11, 3:00 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe, Prairie30 min
Jan 11, 3:30 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDesha45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2020-01-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 400 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2020-01-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 315 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
400 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-48 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
506 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
315 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
385 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
4.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

558 
WWUS20 KWNS 102330
SEL5  
SPC WW 102330
ARZ000-LAZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-110800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 5
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
530 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Arkansas
  Northwestern Louisiana
  South-central Missouri
  Extreme southeastern Oklahoma
  Northeast and east Texas

* Effective this Friday afternoon and Saturday morning from 530
  PM until 200 AM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph likely
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...An increasingly organized band of strong-severe
thunderstorms will cross the watch area tonight, offering severe
wind and a few tornadoes.  Ahead of it, isolated supercells may
mature enough to produce tornadoes, strong-severe gusts and sporadic
hail.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles south of Longview TX to 65
miles north northeast of West Plains MO. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 2...WW 3...WW 4...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 22040.

...Edwards

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 10, 4:53 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 19 more2 hr
Jan 10, 10:42 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more10 hr
Jan 10, 1:44 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Crawford, Washington91 min
Jan 10, 4:55 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 61 more2 hr
Jan 10, 12:11 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Cedar, Dade, Greene, Hickory, Jasper and 4 more2 hr
Jan 10, 12:54 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb and 9 more6 hr
Jan 10, 11:47 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Dallas, Delta and 19 more118 min
Jan 10, 1:20 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Bell, Bosque, Collin, Cooke, Coryell and 33 more11 hr
Jan 10, 2:52 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet and 17 more113 min
Jan 10, 2:59 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Collin, Dallas, Delta, Denton, Ellis and 13 more2 hr
Jan 10, 3:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bee, Bexar, Blanco and 26 more68 days

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2020Tornado Watches in Texas, 2020Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.