Severe Thunderstorm Warning 307, NWS Atlanta, GA

881 
WWUS52 KFFC 091948
SVSFFC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
348 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2018

GAC089-151-091958-
/O.CAN.KFFC.SV.W.0307.000000T0000Z-180809T2000Z/
DeKalb GA-Henry GA-
348 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN DEKALB AND NORTH
CENTRAL HENRY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3369 8407 3370 8398 3363 8395 3355 8402
      3353 8404 3354 8405 3354 8406 3355 8407
      3357 8412
TIME...MOT...LOC 1948Z 258DEG 17KT 3364 8404 

$$

GAC247-092000-
/O.CON.KFFC.SV.W.0307.000000T0000Z-180809T2000Z/
Rockdale GA-
348 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN ROCKDALE COUNTY...

At 348 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Conyers, moving
east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Conyers, Milstead and Magnet. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3369 8407 3370 8398 3363 8395 3355 8402
      3353 8404 3354 8405 3354 8406 3355 8407
      3357 8412
TIME...MOT...LOC 1948Z 258DEG 17KT 3364 8404 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
255 PM EDT Thu Aug 9 2018

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Friday Night/...

Another round of thunderstorm activity is anticipated today as a
shortwave passes over the area this afternoon and into the early
overnight period. Convection has already begun to fire over the area
ahead of a line of thunderstorms moving eastward towards the area
from Alabama. A boundary is draped across the southern portion of
Georgia and is progged to remain stalled across the area throughout
the remainder of the day. Storms have plenty of instability to work
with as values are quite high this afternoon with SBCAPE and MUCAPE
values exceeding 3000 J/kg. As the eastward moving storm system
interacts with the boundary it could provide a focus for enhanced
thunderstorm activity and the potential for development of strong to
severe storms. Gusty winds appear to be the main threat associated
with any severe storms that occur. With high PWATS of 2 inches or
higher across the area, though, it is also possible for stronger
storms to produce locally heavy rain which could lead to some
isolated flooding concerns, particularly in the vicinity of the
boundary in the southern end of the region.

Model guidance is consistent in indicating that the next shortwave
will enter the area late Friday, bringing about enhanced
thunderstorms chances to north and central Georgia once again
starting in the afternoon and lasting into the early overnight
period. Although the timing of these thunderstorms will depend on
the speed of the shortwave, high-end chance to likely PoPs are
nonetheless expected in the afternoon the evening hours Friday.
PWATs will remain high throughout the area on Friday with many
locations in north Georgia in excess of 2 inches and ample
instability will be present, with SBCAPE and MUCAPE values on the
order of 2000-3000 J/kg. Combined with the upper-level support
provided by the shortwave aloft, expect numerous storms to develop
in association with this disturbance. While generally weak flow
aloft suggests that the risk for severe storms should not be
widespread, the high PAWT values indicate that stronger storms could
produce locally heavy rainfall.

Increased precipitation and cloud coverage associated with these
shortwaves will moderate temperatures somewhat, with high
temperatures trending back to near normal values. However, with high
humidity values as a result of the deep moisture in place over the
area, maximum heat index values could still be on the high side and
even exceed 100 across the southern tier of the CWA.

King

.LONG TERM /Saturday through Thursday/...

The long term period begins with a trough over the eastern US and a
shortwave just to our north, centered just south of the Ohio Valley
into Tennessee and Alabama. The shortwave will continue to exit
the area on Saturday potentially mixing in some slightly drier air
for Saturday afternoon so pops are just slightly lower, but still
in the chance category. Further to the north, a deepening trough
will become a cutoff low centered over the Ohio Valley by Sunday
afternoon (early Sunday for the ECMWF, Sunday afternoon for the
GFS). Regardless, pieces of energy will continue to round the base
of the trough and push into our area helping to provide a focus
for showers and thunderstorms across the area on Sunday through at
least through late on Monday. Similar to most days, strong to
isolated severe storms will be possible with the primary threats
being heavy rain, strong winds, and frequent lightning.

For late Monday/Tuesday, the low will weaken and kick out to the
northeast pushing a cold front through the area by Tuesday. As a
result, pops for Tuesday/Wednesday are in the slight chance range
across much of the area. Differences exist between the models as to
how dry the air filtering in behind the front will be, with the GFS
being the driest. Will continue to monitor trends as pops will
continue to be adjusted. Pops increase again for Thursday afternoon
as another shortwave works its way towards the area.

Temperatures through the extended will be near average with highs in
the upper 80s to lower 90s and lows in the upper 60s and low to mid
70s.

Reaves

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Organized TSRA is once again expected to develop and move west to
east across the area late this afternoon and into the evening,
requiring a TEMPO for all TAF sites. Scattered convection is
already developing across the region, which necessitated moving
TEMPO group forward to 19Z for most sites. Most significant
thunderstorm activity looks to impact the metro TAF sites at
around 19-21Z. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are again
expected in the afternoon and evening Friday. Mainly VFR cigs at
035-050 are expected during the afternoon today and Friday
although some MVFR cigs around 025 could be observed with
thunderstorms. Winds expected to be W and less than 10 kts through
the period, with the exception of gusts associated with any
thunderstorms that occur.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium confidence on the timing and location of convection.
High confidence on all other elements.

King

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          72  90  71  89 /  60  50  40  40
Atlanta         73  88  72  87 /  60  60  40  40
Blairsville     66  82  65  82 /  60  70  40  50
Cartersville    70  86  69  87 /  60  60  30  40
Columbus        74  91  73  90 /  50  60  30  30
Gainesville     71  86  70  86 /  60  60  30  50
Macon           73  92  73  90 /  60  40  20  40
Rome            71  86  69  88 /  60  60  30  40
Peachtree City  72  89  71  88 /  60  60  40  40
Vidalia         75  93  75  92 /  40  30  20  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...King
LONG TERM....Reaves
AVIATION...King

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
250 PM EDT Thu Aug 9 2018

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-101900-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
250 PM EDT Thu Aug 9 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected through this
afternoon and evening, especially over western Georgia and
increase in coverage as they move east during the late afternoon
and evening. Some storms could be strong to severe with damaging
winds, frequent lightning and heavy rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected each day, mainly
during the afternoon and evening. Widespread severe weather is
not anticipated, however, some storms could produce strong winds,
frequent lightning and heavy rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
304 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2018

GAZ044-055-091930-
Clayton GA-South Fulton GA-
304 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CLAYTON AND SOUTH FULTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM EDT...

At 304 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Union City, or 11
miles northwest of Jonesboro...moving east at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Atlanta, Jonesboro, East Point, Union City, Forest Park, Riverdale,
College Park, Morrow, Hapeville, Lake City, Hartsfield-Jackson
Airport, Lake Spivey, Rex, Ellenwood, Fort Gillem and Conley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3368 8442 3366 8436 3365 8435 3365 8429
      3363 8426 3355 8427 3355 8429 3351 8428
      3351 8442 3355 8444 3355 8446 3354 8453
      3368 8456
TIME...MOT...LOC 1904Z 263DEG 17KT 3361 8453

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
315 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2018

GAZ048-057>059-091945-
Butts GA-Jasper GA-Newton GA-Henry GA-
315 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BUTTS...NORTHWESTERN
JASPER...SOUTHERN NEWTON AND EASTERN HENRY COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM
EDT...

At 314 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Rocky Plains, or 10
miles southwest of Covington...moving east at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Newborn, Mansfield, Stewart, Eudora, Ola, Turtle Cove, Worthville,
North Alcovy, Starrsville, Fincherville, Oak Hill and Rocky Plains.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3355 8403 3357 8400 3353 8368 3353 8367
      3351 8366 3332 8379 3343 8406
TIME...MOT...LOC 1914Z 285DEG 21KT 3347 8396

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
316 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2018

GAZ002>005-011-012-019-020-092000-
Chattooga GA-Whitfield GA-Catoosa GA-Walker GA-Gordon GA-Bartow GA-
Murray GA-Floyd GA-
316 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN CHATTOOGA...WHITFIELD...
CATOOSA...SOUTHEASTERN WALKER...GORDON...NORTHWESTERN BARTOW...MURRAY
AND NORTHERN FLOYD COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM EDT...

At 316 PM EDT...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Beaumont to near Holland...and moving east at 30
mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Rome, Dalton, Calhoun, Chatsworth, Ringgold, Adairsville, Varnell,
Eton, Tunnel Hill, Cohutta, Resaca, Plainville, Shannon, Crandall,
Pinson, Sumac, Subligna, Redbud, Gregory and Lake Marvin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3497 8463 3424 8491 3431 8538 3498 8510
TIME...MOT...LOC 1916Z 267DEG 26KT 3487 8515 3432 8536

WIND...40MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
318 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2018

GAZ097-109-111-091945-
Wheeler GA-Laurens GA-Dodge GA-
318 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WHEELER...SOUTHEASTERN LAURENS
AND EASTERN DODGE COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

At 318 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Cedar Grove, or 11
miles north of McRae...moving east at 15 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Alamo, Glenwood, Landsburg and Cedar Grove.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3211 8290 3213 8294 3215 8293 3214 8295
      3212 8295 3213 8297 3231 8292 3229 8264
      3228 8265 3226 8264 3225 8265 3223 8263
      3218 8263 3216 8261 3213 8263 3211 8262
      3203 8264
TIME...MOT...LOC 1918Z 281DEG 14KT 3222 8295

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
319 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2018

GAZ112-113-091945-
Toombs GA-Montgomery GA-
319 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN TOOMBS AND
MONTGOMERY COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

At 319 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Ailey, or near Mount
Vernon...moving east at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Lyons, Mount Vernon, Vidalia, Uvalda, Ailey, Higgston, Santa Claus,
Alston, Center, Toombs Central, South Thompson, Rock Springs and
Cedar Crossing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3207 8261 3208 8262 3209 8262 3209 8261
      3210 8262 3210 8261 3211 8262 3225 8256
      3217 8227 3196 8237
TIME...MOT...LOC 1919Z 288DEG 9KT 3215 8252

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
321 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2018

GAZ045-046-055-057-092000-
Rockdale GA-Clayton GA-DeKalb GA-Henry GA-
321 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN ROCKDALE...
NORTHEASTERN CLAYTON...SOUTHERN DEKALB AND NORTHWESTERN HENRY
COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM EDT...

At 321 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Hidden Valley Park, or
9 miles northeast of Jonesboro...moving east at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Conyers, Stockbridge, Forest Park, Lake City, Lithonia, Rex,
Richardson Park, Ellenwood, Arabia Mountain, Hidden Valley Park,
Panola Mountain State Park, Conley, Kelleytown, Snapfinger, Fort
Gillem, Gresham Park and Panthersville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3372 8407 3363 8399 3355 8403 3352 8405
      3352 8404 3351 8404 3352 8432 3369 8433
TIME...MOT...LOC 1921Z 269DEG 16KT 3362 8424

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...50MPH