Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 477

September 1, 201733 counties in North Carolina; 8 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 1, 2017, 1:49 PM EDT for 33 counties in North Carolina; 8 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 1, 2017, 1:49 PM EDT (17:49 UTC)
Expired
Sep 1, 2017, 9:28 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 41 counties

Alexander County, NC, Anson County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Burke County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Davie County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Union County, NC, Wake County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Cherokee County, SC, Chester County, SC, Chesterfield County, SC, Lancaster County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Spartanburg County, SC, Union County, SC, York County, SC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 166 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

41 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 1, 2:16 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHDavidson, Montgomery, Randolph, Stanly44 min
Sep 1, 2:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPMecklenburg, Union50 min
Sep 1, 2:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHMontgomery, Moore, Richmond35 min
Sep 1, 2:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAELancaster46 min
Sep 1, 2:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEChesterfield, Fairfield, Kershaw, Lancaster57 min
Sep 1, 2:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHSampson, Wayne41 min
Sep 1, 2:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Davie, Mecklenburg, Rowan45 min
Sep 1, 2:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHChatham, Montgomery, Moore, Randolph51 min
Sep 1, 3:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHMoore43 min
Sep 1, 3:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEChesterfield51 min
Sep 1, 3:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAlamance, Chatham, Randolph45 min
Sep 1, 3:52 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHDavidson, Montgomery, Randolph, Stanly3 hr
Sep 1, 3:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHChatham, Harnett, Lee46 min
Sep 1, 4:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILMMarlboro37 min
Sep 1, 4:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAnson, Chatham, Hoke, Lee, Montgomery, Moore and 3 more50 min
Sep 1, 4:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHarnett, Johnston, Wake52 min
Sep 1, 5:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHarnett, Johnston, Wake43 min
Sep 1, 5:04 PM EDTTornado Warning Tornado observedRAHHarnett, Johnston, Wake26 min
Sep 1, 5:14 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHHoke, Moore, Richmond, Scotland31 min
Sep 1, 5:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPAlexander, Catawba, Davie, Iredell, Rowan44 min
Sep 1, 5:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHoke, Scotland44 min
Sep 1, 5:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAlamance, Chatham, Durham, Harnett, Hoke, Lee and 3 more41 min
Sep 1, 5:24 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHHoke, Scotland36 min
Sep 1, 5:27 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHJohnston48 min
Sep 1, 5:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDurham, Harnett, Johnston, Wake67 min
Sep 1, 5:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHCumberland, Hoke46 min
Sep 1, 5:56 PM EDTTornado WarningILMRobeson49 min
Sep 1, 5:57 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHHoke, Scotland33 min
Sep 1, 5:58 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHHarnett27 min
Sep 1, 6:08 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHJohnston, Wake3 hr
Sep 1, 6:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHFranklin, Johnston, Nash, Wake, Wayne, Wilson50 min
Sep 1, 6:43 PM EDTTornado WarningGSPBurke, Rutherford32 min
Sep 1, 6:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Davie, Iredell, Mecklenburg, Rowan41 min
Sep 1, 6:58 PM EDTTornado WarningGSPCabarrus, Rowan32 min
Sep 1, 7:12 PM EDTTornado WarningGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg, Rowan22 min
Sep 1, 7:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHCumberland, Sampson45 min
Sep 1, 7:51 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningGSPCabarrus, Iredell, Mecklenburg, Rowan2 hr
Sep 1, 7:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHCumberland38 min
Sep 1, 7:53 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHCumberland3 hr
Sep 1, 8:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHWayne22 min
Sep 1, 9:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPRowan30 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2017-09-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 208 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2017-09-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 86 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
208 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-38 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
585 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
86 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
143 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

997 
WWUS20 KWNS 011747
SEL7  
SPC WW 011747
NCZ000-SCZ000-020200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 477
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 PM EDT Fri Sep 1 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Western and central North Carolina
  Northern South Carolina

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 150 PM until
  1000 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are beginning to develop in broken bands to
the east of the remnants of tropical depression Harvey.  These
storms will strengthen through the afternoon, and the storm
environment will favor a threat for tornadic supercells along a
slow-moving front across North Carolina through late evening.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles
north and south of a line from 30 miles southwest of Hickory NC to
45 miles east northeast of Fayetteville NC. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24025.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 1, 1:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Cabarrus, Catawba, Chatham, Cleveland and 13 more113 min
Sep 1, 4:44 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Cabarrus, Chatham, Cumberland, Davidson and 22 more91 min
Sep 1, 7:23 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Anson, Bladen, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell and 25 more97 min
Sep 1, 3:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAiken, Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Beaufort, Berkeley and 18 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2017Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.