Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2017

Mesoscale Discussion 1613

September 1, 201731 counties in North Carolina; Cherokee County, York County, South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 1, 2017, 7:23 PM EDT for 31 counties in North Carolina; Cherokee County, York County, South Carolina. It was in force for 97 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 1, 2017, 7:23 PM EDT (23:23 UTC)
Expired
Sep 1, 2017, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
97 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 33 counties

Alexander County, NC, Anson County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Burke County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Davie County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Union County, NC, Wake County, NC, Cherokee County, SC, York County, SC

The radar

The Columbia radar (KCAE), 158 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 104 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2017-09-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 208 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2017-09-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 86 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
208 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-38 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
585 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
86 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
143 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

187 
ACUS11 KWNS 012323
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012323 
NCZ000-SCZ000-020100-

Mesoscale Discussion 1613
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0623 PM CDT Fri Sep 01 2017

Areas affected...Portions of the Carolinas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 477...

Valid 012323Z - 020100Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 477 continues.

SUMMARY...Tornado threat continues across WW477, primarily over
eastern portions of the watch.

DISCUSSION...Considerable amount of convective overturning has
occurred across northern portions of WW477 which is reinforcing a
well-defined boundary that is currently draped from near CLT to GSB.
While the storm mode has gradually evolved into clusters and short
line segments, a few supercells persist, especially near the wind
shift over eastern portions of the watch. As diurnal cooling
commences this evening weakening buoyancy should limit eastward
extent of severe threat over coastal regions. While isolated severe
may be noted immediately downstream of WW477 over the next hour or
so at this time a new WW is not anticipated east of the current
watch.

..Darrow.. 09/01/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON   34778176 36048175 35867813 34577815 34778176

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 1, 1:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Cabarrus, Catawba, Chatham, Cleveland and 13 more113 min
Sep 1, 1:49 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Anson, Bladen, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell and 27 more8 hr
Sep 1, 4:44 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Cabarrus, Chatham, Cumberland, Davidson and 22 more91 min
Sep 1, 3:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAiken, Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Beaufort, Berkeley and 18 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2017Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2017Every mesoscale discussion in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.