Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 266

May 24, 201758 counties in North Carolina; Darlington County, Dillon County, Marlboro County, South Carolina; 10 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 24, 2017, 3:46 PM EDT for 58 counties in North Carolina; Darlington County, Dillon County, Marlboro County, South Carolina; 10 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 24, 2017, 3:46 PM EDT (19:46 UTC)
Expired
May 24, 2017, 9:54 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 71 counties

Alamance County, NC, Alleghany County, NC, Anson County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Beaufort County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Dare County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Orange County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pender County, NC, Person County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Carroll County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, Grayson County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 17 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 24, 4:07 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKSurry6 hr
May 24, 4:08 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHForsyth52 min
May 24, 4:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHAnson, Hoke, Richmond, Scotland65 min
May 24, 4:18 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKYadkin27 min
May 24, 4:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKSurry, Wilkes, Yadkin58 min
May 24, 4:33 PM EDTTornado WarningILMBladen, Robeson27 min
May 24, 4:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHCumberland, Sampson52 min
May 24, 4:42 PM EDTTornado Warning Tornado observedRNKStokes, Surry, Yadkin33 min
May 24, 4:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHarnett, Hoke, Lee, Montgomery, Moore, Richmond48 min
May 24, 4:58 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKWilkes3 hr
May 24, 5:05 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHCumberland, Sampson40 min
May 24, 5:09 PM EDTTornado Warning Tornado observedRNKStokes36 min
May 24, 5:30 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHJohnston, Sampson, Wayne45 min
May 24, 5:34 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKHenry, Patrick41 min
May 24, 6:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKFranklin, Henry25 min
May 24, 6:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHJohnston, Wayne, Wilson38 min
May 24, 6:41 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHNash12 min
May 24, 6:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHEdgecombe, Halifax54 min
May 24, 7:22 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHEdgecombe23 min
May 24, 7:24 PM EDTTornado WarningMHXMartin36 min
May 24, 7:32 PM EDTTornado WarningRAHHalifax23 min
May 24, 7:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHalifax, Nash55 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 126 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2017-05-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 52 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2017-05-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 105 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
52 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-47 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
553 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
105 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
137 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

209 
WWUS20 KWNS 241944
SEL6  
SPC WW 241944
NCZ000-SCZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-250400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 266
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
345 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  central and eastern North Carolina
  eastern South Carolina
  southwestern Virginia
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 345 PM until Midnight
  EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...An area of thunderstorms spreading through the Carolina
piedmont will continue northeastward along a frontal zone across the
watch area through this evening, accompanied by a risk for tornadoes
and potentially damaging wind gusts.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 130 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles west northwest of Roanoke
Rapids NC to 20 miles south of Jacksonville NC. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 262...WW 263...WW
264...WW 265...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

...Kerr

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 24, 7:41 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Graham3 hr
May 24, 10:04 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell and 24 more11 hr
May 24, 1:19 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCCherokee7 hr
May 24, 3:02 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Buncombe, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell, Catawba and 21 more88 min
May 24, 3:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Alleghany, Bladen, Brunswick, Caswell, Chatham and 37 more2 hr
May 24, 3:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Graham, Swain55 min
May 24, 5:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Buncombe, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell, Catawba and 16 more65 min
May 24, 6:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBertie, Camden, Chowan, Currituck, Edgecombe, Franklin and 15 more91 min
May 23, 8:46 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllendale, Bamberg, Beaufort, Colleton, Dorchester, Hampton and 1 more89 min
May 24, 8:29 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAiken, Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Beaufort, Berkeley and 11 more3 hr
May 24, 11:03 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAiken, Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Beaufort, Berkeley and 16 more10 hr
May 24, 2:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAiken, Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Beaufort, Berkeley and 20 more95 min
May 24, 6:51 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDickenson, Scott, Wise, City of Bristol, City of Norton24 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Carolina, 2017Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2017Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.