Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2017

Mesoscale Discussion 830

May 24, 20177 counties in Florida; 105 counties in Georgia; 26 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 24, 2017, 2:10 PM EDT for 7 counties in Florida; 105 counties in Georgia; 26 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 95 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 24, 2017, 2:10 PM EDT (18:10 UTC)
Expired
May 24, 2017, 3:45 PM EDT
In force
95 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 138 counties

Baker County, FL, Columbia County, FL, Duval County, FL, Hamilton County, FL, Madison County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Suwannee County, FL, Appling County, GA, Atkinson County, GA, Bacon County, GA, Baker County, GA, Baldwin County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Bibb County, GA, Bleckley County, GA, Brantley County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Bryan County, GA, Bulloch County, GA, Burke County, GA, Butts County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Camden County, GA, Candler County, GA, Charlton County, GA, Chatham County, GA, Chattahoochee County, GA, Clay County, GA, Clinch County, GA, Coffee County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Columbia County, GA, Cook County, GA, Crawford County, GA, Crisp County, GA, Decatur County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Dooly County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Early County, GA, Echols County, GA, Effingham County, GA, Emanuel County, GA, Evans County, GA, Glascock County, GA, Glynn County, GA, Grady County, GA, Greene County, GA, Hancock County, GA, Harris County, GA, Houston County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Jasper County, GA, Jeff Davis County, GA, Jefferson County, GA, Jenkins County, GA, Johnson County, GA, Jones County, GA, Lamar County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Laurens County, GA, Lee County, GA, Liberty County, GA, Lincoln County, GA, Long County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, Macon County, GA, Marion County, GA, McDuffie County, GA, McIntosh County, GA, Miller County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Monroe County, GA, Montgomery County, GA, Muscogee County, GA, Peach County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Pike County, GA, Pulaski County, GA, Putnam County, GA, Quitman County, GA, Randolph County, GA, Richmond County, GA, Schley County, GA, Screven County, GA, Seminole County, GA, Stewart County, GA, Sumter County, GA, Talbot County, GA, Taliaferro County, GA, Tattnall County, GA, Taylor County, GA, Telfair County, GA, Terrell County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Toombs County, GA, Treutlen County, GA, Turner County, GA, Twiggs County, GA, Upson County, GA, Ware County, GA, Warren County, GA, Washington County, GA, Wayne County, GA, Webster County, GA, Wheeler County, GA, Wilcox County, GA, Wilkes County, GA, Wilkinson County, GA, Worth County, GA, Aiken County, SC, Allendale County, SC, Bamberg County, SC, Barnwell County, SC, Beaufort County, SC, Berkeley County, SC, Calhoun County, SC, Charleston County, SC, Clarendon County, SC, Colleton County, SC, Darlington County, SC, Dorchester County, SC, Edgefield County, SC, Fairfield County, SC, Hampton County, SC, Jasper County, SC, Kershaw County, SC, Lee County, SC, Lexington County, SC, McCormick County, SC, Newberry County, SC, Orangeburg County, SC, Richland County, SC, Saluda County, SC, Sumter County, SC, Williamsburg County, SC

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 12:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 221 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2017-05-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 868 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2017-05-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 178 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
868 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-13 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
752 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
178 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
193 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.2
Supercell composite
9.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

863 
ACUS11 KWNS 241810
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241810 
SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-241945-

Mesoscale Discussion 0830
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0110 PM CDT Wed May 24 2017

Areas affected...Much of southern GA...far northern FL into far
southern SC

Concerning...Tornado Watch 263...

Valid 241810Z - 241945Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 263 continues.

SUMMARY...Overall threat across much of southern GA into far
northern FL and far southern SC appears to be diminishing as earlier
convection has largely stabilized the boundary layer. However, a
severe threat, along with the risk for a few tornadoes, will
continue across central SC. Portions of WW 263 may be canceled early
if convective trends continue to decline.

DISCUSSION...The tornado threat appears to be quickly diminishing
across much of Tornado Watch 263. Deep-layer flow has veered across
much of southwest GA as earlier vort max continues to lift northward
away from the region and a dryslot begins to shift east from AL.
Additionally, earlier convection that moved across northern FL and
is now over coastal southeast GA into far southern SC has largely
stabilized southern portions of the watch area. Some severe threat,
including potential tornadoes, is still possible across northern
portions of the watch area across central South Carolina where
stronger instability exists and low level flow is still backed from
the southeast. Depending on convective trends, portions of WW 263
may be canceled early by local WFOs.

..Leitman.. 05/24/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...

LAT...LON   33858280 34778042 34437989 33137952 31408037 30608103
            30168191 30178299 30818495 31968511 32838494 33458364
            33858280

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 24, 3:45 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Bradford, Clay, Duval, Gilchrist, Levy and 3 more2 hr
May 24, 6:30 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Brevard, Citrus, Clay and 33 more2 hr
May 24, 6:56 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlachua, Baker, Bay, Bradford, Calhoun, Citrus and 30 more8 hr
May 24, 10:26 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bay, Bradford, Calhoun, Citrus and 32 more94 min
May 24, 11:03 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBaker, Columbia, Duval, Hamilton, Nassau, Suwannee10 hr
May 24, 12:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Bradford, Brevard, Broward, Charlotte, Citrus and 30 more2 hr
May 24, 2:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrevard, Broward, Charlotte, Clay, Collier, DeSoto and 23 more7 hr
May 24, 5:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Columbia, Duval, Hamilton, Madison, Nassau and 2 more65 min
May 23, 8:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartow, Carroll, Cherokee, Clayton, Cobb, Coweta and 15 more93 min
May 23, 8:46 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Bacon, Brantley, Bryan, Bulloch, Candler and 12 more89 min
May 24, 7:41 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartow, Catoosa, Chattooga, Dade, Fannin, Floyd and 8 more3 hr
May 24, 8:29 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Baker, Baldwin, Ben Hill and 83 more3 hr
May 24, 10:04 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBanks, Barrow, Bartow, Carroll, Catoosa, Chattooga and 50 more11 hr
May 24, 3:02 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanks, Barrow, Bartow, Carroll, Cherokee, Clarke and 43 more88 min
May 24, 3:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDarlington, Dillon, Florence, Georgetown, Horry, Marion and 2 more2 hr
May 24, 3:46 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCDarlington, Dillon, Marlboro6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2017Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2017Mesoscale Discussions in Florida, 2017Every mesoscale discussion in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.