Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2016

Tornado Watch 60

March 30, 20164 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 30, 2016, 2:31 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 30, 2016, 2:31 PM CDT (19:31 UTC)
Expired
Mar 30, 2016, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 56 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Miller County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Pike County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Union County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, McCurtain County, OK, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Panola County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

37 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 30, 3:06 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVSmith39 min
Mar 30, 4:13 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVCamp, Upshur, Wood47 min
Mar 30, 4:57 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVBowie, Camp, Cass, Morris, Red River, Titus and 1 more48 min
Mar 30, 5:17 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKGarland, Grant, Hot Spring, Pulaski, Saline3 hr
Mar 30, 5:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Garland, Grant, Hot Spring, Saline40 min
Mar 30, 5:21 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring, Pike6 hr
Mar 30, 5:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleveland, Dallas, Grant, Hot Spring, Ouachita29 min
Mar 30, 5:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Dallas, Grant, Hot Spring26 min
Mar 30, 5:37 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Lonoke and 4 more3 hr
Mar 30, 5:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBowie, Cass, Morris, Titus58 min
Mar 30, 5:54 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKDallas, Grant36 min
Mar 30, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCamp, Franklin, Upshur, Wood60 min
Mar 30, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Lafayette, Miller62 min
Mar 30, 6:14 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVCamp, Franklin, Titus, Upshur, Wood46 min
Mar 30, 6:18 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKCleveland, Jefferson42 min
Mar 30, 6:21 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVColumbia, Lafayette, Miller, Nevada39 min
Mar 30, 6:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGrant, Hot Spring, Jefferson, Pulaski, Saline49 min
Mar 30, 6:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson, Prairie, White, Woodruff6 hr
Mar 30, 6:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDrew37 min
Mar 30, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson49 min
Mar 30, 7:00 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKDesha, Drew45 min
Mar 30, 7:07 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Dallas, Hot Spring and 1 more3 hr
Mar 30, 7:10 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVColumbia, Union50 min
Mar 30, 7:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Cleveland, Drew, Lincoln34 min
Mar 30, 7:17 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKBradley, Cleveland, Drew, Lincoln43 min
Mar 30, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Webster44 min
Mar 30, 7:27 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVBienville, Webster48 min
Mar 30, 7:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleveland, Dallas, Grant, Hot Spring, Jefferson, Lonoke and 4 more6 hr
Mar 30, 7:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDesha, Drew48 min
Mar 30, 7:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln26 min
Mar 30, 8:07 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKGarland, Grant, Hot Spring, Pulaski, Saline3 hr
Mar 30, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Claiborne, Lincoln, Union53 min
Mar 30, 8:27 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Independence, Izard, Jackson, Lonoke and 5 more3 hr
Mar 30, 8:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKArkansas, Bradley, Cleveland, Drew, Grant, Jefferson and 5 more3 hr
Mar 30, 9:11 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSHVBienville, Claiborne, Lincoln, Union3 hr
Mar 30, 9:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Claiborne, Lincoln, Union61 min
Mar 30, 9:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSHVBienville, Bossier, Claiborne, Lincoln, Red River, Webster4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 96 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2016-03-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 568 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2016-03-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 35 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
568 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-248 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
547 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
123 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

455 
WWUS20 KWNS 301926
SEL0  
SPC WW 301926
ARZ000-LAZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-310300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 60
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
225 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
  NORTHWEST LOUISIANA
  EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
  NORTHEAST TEXAS

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 225 PM
  UNTIL 1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...A GRADUAL INCREASE IN STORM INTENSITY IS EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING AS THUNDERSTORMS BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO NORTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS.  THE STORM ENVIRONMENT WILL ALSO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE A FEW TORNADOES...ALONG
WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS INTO TONIGHT.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
TEXARKANA ARKANSAS TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SHREVEPORT
LOUISIANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 58...WW 59...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 30, 11:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Conway and 27 more63 min
Mar 30, 2:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Nevada and 1 more83 min
Mar 30, 5:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Columbia, Dallas, Hempstead, Lafayette and 5 more84 min
Mar 30, 6:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 17 more90 min
Mar 30, 6:53 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAshley, Chicot, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Lee and 4 more8 hr
Mar 30, 3:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Avoyelles, Evangeline, Grant, LaSalle, Pointe Coupee and 3 more97 min
Mar 30, 1:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland and 20 more2 hr
Mar 30, 1:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCaddo, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Comanche, Cotton and 28 more8 hr
Mar 30, 3:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Canadian, Carter, Cleveland, Coal, Cotton and 26 more96 min
Mar 30, 6:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Craig, Creek, Delaware, Mayes, Nowata and 9 more53 min
Mar 30, 1:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Collin and 28 more63 min
Mar 30, 2:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBosque, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Collin and 28 more5 hr
Mar 30, 5:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Bell, Bosque, Collin, Coryell, Dallas and 30 more4 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2016Tornado Watches in Texas, 2016Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.