Alert archive / Colorado / Tornado Watches in 2016

Tornado Watch 250

June 13, 20164 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 13, 2016, 1:27 PM MDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 13, 2016, 1:27 PM MDT (19:27 UTC)
Expired
Jun 13, 2016, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 40 counties

Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Crowley County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Otero County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Colfax County, NM, Guadalupe County, NM, Harding County, NM, Mora County, NM, Quay County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Union County, NM, Cimarron County, OK, Texas County, OK, Dallam County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Moore County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Sherman County, TX

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

57 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 13, 1:35 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax25 min
Jun 13, 1:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano, Las Animas, Pueblo15 min
Jun 13, 1:46 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedPUBLas Animas29 min
Jun 13, 1:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano, Las Animas27 min
Jun 13, 2:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano, Pueblo39 min
Jun 13, 2:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas36 min
Jun 13, 2:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding, Mora33 min
Jun 13, 2:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding, Mora, San Miguel43 min
Jun 13, 2:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas24 min
Jun 13, 2:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe, San Miguel26 min
Jun 13, 2:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBPueblo23 min
Jun 13, 2:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax, Harding, Mora45 min
Jun 13, 3:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso, Pueblo53 min
Jun 13, 3:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding, Mora, San Miguel46 min
Jun 13, 3:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAOldham23 min
Jun 13, 3:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax, Harding, Union37 min
Jun 13, 3:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso36 min
Jun 13, 3:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBPueblo30 min
Jun 13, 3:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUElbert37 min
Jun 13, 3:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe, Quay, San Miguel34 min
Jun 13, 3:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQUnion32 min
Jun 13, 4:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding, San Miguel41 min
Jun 13, 4:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQQuay25 min
Jun 13, 4:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBPueblo29 min
Jun 13, 4:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBent, Prowers26 min
Jun 13, 4:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUElbert38 min
Jun 13, 4:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe, Quay, San Miguel26 min
Jun 13, 4:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso30 min
Jun 13, 4:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADallam, Hartley59 min
Jun 13, 4:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAOldham50 min
Jun 13, 4:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Weld30 min
Jun 13, 4:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUElbert32 min
Jun 13, 4:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Arapahoe27 min
Jun 13, 4:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca25 min
Jun 13, 4:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQQuay21 min
Jun 13, 4:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding, Union37 min
Jun 13, 5:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca, Prowers45 min
Jun 13, 5:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAPotter60 min
Jun 13, 5:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACimarron55 min
Jun 13, 5:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUArapahoe, Elbert39 min
Jun 13, 5:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca21 min
Jun 13, 5:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Morgan, Weld38 min
Jun 13, 5:26 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUAdams, Morgan34 min
Jun 13, 5:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHartley, Moore62 min
Jun 13, 5:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADallam59 min
Jun 13, 5:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMATexas67 min
Jun 13, 5:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso12 min
Jun 13, 5:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACarson, Potter61 min
Jun 13, 6:12 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBEl Paso3 hr
Jun 13, 6:50 PM MDTTornado WarningAMAPotter25 min
Jun 13, 7:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULogan, Washington38 min
Jun 13, 7:07 PM MDTTornado WarningAMAMoore23 min
Jun 13, 7:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACarson, Potter48 min
Jun 13, 7:23 PM MDTTornado WarningAMACarson, Potter24 min
Jun 13, 7:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULogan, Washington50 min
Jun 13, 7:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAPotter24 min
Jun 13, 8:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAPotter, Randall45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2016-06-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 223 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2016-06-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 10 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
223 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-213 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
820 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-33 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

193 
WWUS20 KWNS 131925
SEL0  
SPC WW 131925
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-NMZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-140300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 250
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
125 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  EASTERN COLORADO
  WESTERN KANSAS
  FAR SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
  NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
  OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
  TEXAS PANHANDLE

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 125 PM UNTIL
  900 PM MDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...WITHIN A MOIST ENVIRONMENT...STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE INITIALLY ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN COLORADO AND NORTHEAST
NEW MEXICO. SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON...PARTICULARLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST COLORADO AND NORTHEAST NEW
MEXICO. A TORNADO THREAT WILL EXIST PARTICULARLY AS STORMS MOVE
EASTWARD TOWARD AN INCREASINGLY LOW-LEVEL JET EARLY THIS EVENING.
THIS LOW-LEVEL JET MAY ALSO SUPPORT UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A LINEAR
CLUSTER OF STORMS TOWARD PARTS OF KANSAS AND THE OKLAHOMA/TEXAS
PANHANDLES.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH OF AKRON
COLORADO TO 30 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF DALHART TEXAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 249...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.


...GUYER

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 13, 11:18 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Baca, Bent, Boulder, Broomfield and 20 more117 min
Jun 13, 4:16 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Baca, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley and 15 more89 min
Jun 13, 3:43 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLea, Roosevelt3 hr
Jun 13, 5:12 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver63 min
Jun 13, 5:31 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCBeaver, Cimarron, Texas6 hr
Jun 13, 5:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCEllis, Harper, Roger Mills, Woodward6 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2016Tornado Watches in Texas, 2016Tornado Watches in New Mexico, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.