Severe Thunderstorm Warning 102, NWS Albuquerque, NM

888 
WWUS55 KABQ 132305
SVSABQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
505 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2016

NMC037-132330-
/O.CON.KABQ.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-160613T2330Z/
QUAY-
505 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN QUAY COUNTY...

AT 505 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES EAST OF
QUAY...OR 19 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TUCUMCARI...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SAN JON AND WHEATLAND. 

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 352 AND 359.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT FOR EAST CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3495 10328 3491 10329 3484 10353 3498 10364
      3518 10332 3496 10315
TIME...MOT...LOC 2305Z 238DEG 23KT 3492 10356 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

34

805 
WWUS55 KABQ 132311
SVSABQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
511 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2016

NMC037-132321-
/O.CAN.KABQ.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-160613T2330Z/
QUAY-
511 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN QUAY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  HOWEVER SMALL HAIL....
GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT FOR EAST CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3495 10328 3491 10329 3484 10353 3498 10364
      3518 10332 3496 10315
TIME...MOT...LOC 2309Z 238DEG 23KT 3493 10354 

$$

34

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
250 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
The last active weather day for a while may go out with a bang as
a tornado watch is in effect for northeast NM. Line of storms is
located from central San Miguel to eastern Colfax counties and
looking impressive.

The main weather story after today will be dry weather with a
significant warming trend. Highs will be above normal from
Wednesday through next weekend, and they will reach the century
mark or higher over much of eastern NM. ABQ to Socorro and around
FMN may reach 100 as well for a couple of days. Our far southeast
zones may get a thunderstorm or two late Wednesday, otherwise it
will be dry through at least this next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Line of storms turning severe over northeast NM. Threat will
continue into this evening, including isolated tornadoes. Most of
the activity will be gone by midnight.

The remainder of the forecast will be dry with just one or two
exceptions. A lingering shower could still pop up over the
northern mountain peaks Tuesday afternoon. Coverage though will
be small with little or no rain from them. A dryline may drift
west into far eastern NM Wednesday and could become active late
Wednesday into Wednesday night. Then a strong high pressure area
will settle in over NM and linger into next week. Forecasted 500
mb heights reach 600 decameters on both the GFS and ECMWF models.
Dry and hot will be the rule Thursday through at least the
weekend. Record highs could be approached by Friday over much of
the area. A weak back door cold front may slip into northeast NM
over the weekend but may only bring slight cooling. Moisture from
the south could creep into the state next week. Models have been
inconsistent on this, however. Would think the strong high would
suppress any activity.

CHJ

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
West to southwesterly breezes have picked up today across western
and central NM for the first time in quite a while. Low level
dewpoints are decreasing as we continue to mix some of the drier air
aloft downward. Meanwhile, a wind shift slid into much of eastern NM
early this morning, which allowed dewpoints to rise into the 60s. A
broken line of thunderstorms have developed east of the Sangre de
Cristo Mountains and this line is expected to shift eastward toward
the TX/OK borders through the afternoon and early evening. Wetting
rains are expected as well as some severe weather.

A strong dry slot will move overhead on Tuesday after todays weak
trough slides into the plains. Though temperatures will change
little from today, humidities will decrease.  In fact, several hours
of single digit humidities are expected from the middle Rio Grande
Valley westward as well as across portions of east central NM.
Haines will also increase, with widespread 5 and 6 Haines expected.
Winds are not expected to be quite as strong as today, but a few
breezes are still expected along and east of the central mountain
chain.

On Wednesday, models continue to show some mid level moisture
creeping into the east central plains, which may allow a few
thunderstorms to develop in the afternoon. Elsewhere, hot, dry and
unstable conditions will be the rule. Single digit humidities are
expected for 5 to 12 hours across most areas along and west of the
Rio Grande Valley, and at least a few hours are also expected across
the northeast.  Breezy to windy conditions will also return to
northeast NM, and several hours of critical fire weather conditions
will be possible. However, the mosaic of greenup and soil moisture
will be a concern.

Upper level high pressure will build over the state Thursday and
Friday, and will continue into the weekend. Precipitation chances
will be non-existent, but temperatures will increase and humidities
will be very low. Poor relative humidity recoveries are expected
each night across the majority of central and western NM. Daytime
humidities will be in the single digits for most areas for several
hours. Could see some critical fire weather conditions again on
Thursday across northeast NM, and thereafter, high Haines and
SuperHaines are expected Friday through the weekend.

Looks like the upper high will stay over the area into early next
week. Will need to continue to watch for smoke concerns if fires get
going and the smoke gets entrained into the the high center over NM.
Have a hard time believing that there will be much moisture seepage
from the south early next week given the strength of the high, and
models continue to flip back and forth on the topic.

34

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
Boundary that moved into eastern NM overnight will be a focus
for thunderstorm development this afternoon. Storms are already
developing along and just east of the central mountain chain. Some
storms are expected to be severe with large hail and damaging
winds across far NE NM in the vicinity of the boundary. Otherwise,
a few dry storms will be possible across W and especially NW NM.
Gusty winds will be the main threat with these storms.
Additionally, breezy southwest winds will increase this afternoon.
Gusts near 35kt will be possible. These winds will lower around
sunset and most storms should have moved out of the area by sunset
as well.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  50  86  49  91 /  10   0   0   0
Dulce...........................  41  80  38  87 /  20   5   0   0
Cuba............................  43  81  43  87 /  10   0   0   0
Gallup..........................  41  84  41  87 /   5   0   0   0
El Morro........................  41  78  41  84 /   5   0   0   0
Grants..........................  43  84  42  89 /   5   0   0   0
Quemado.........................  44  81  44  86 /   5   0   0   0
Glenwood........................  53  89  51  93 /   5   0   0   0
Chama...........................  39  75  39  80 /  20   5   0   0
Los Alamos......................  50  80  50  86 /  10   0   0   0
Pecos...........................  49  81  47  87 /  10   0   0   0
Cerro/Questa....................  43  76  42  80 /  10   5   0   0
Red River.......................  40  73  36  75 /  10   5   0   5
Angel Fire......................  35  73  32  79 /  10   5   0   5
Taos............................  42  81  39  86 /  10   0   0   0
Mora............................  48  79  45  85 /  10   0   0   0
Espanola........................  52  85  48  90 /   5   0   0   0
Santa Fe........................  51  81  51  86 /   5   0   0   0
Santa Fe Airport................  50  85  49  90 /   5   0   0   0
Albuquerque Foothills...........  57  86  57  91 /   5   0   0   0
Albuquerque Heights.............  59  88  59  93 /   5   0   0   0
Albuquerque Valley..............  56  89  56  95 /   5   0   0   0
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  57  89  57  95 /   5   0   0   0
Los Lunas.......................  57  88  56  94 /   5   0   0   0
Rio Rancho......................  57  88  58  94 /   5   0   0   0
Socorro.........................  57  90  59  96 /   5   0   0   0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  52  82  51  87 /   5   0   0   0
Tijeras.........................  53  86  53  91 /   5   0   0   0
Moriarty/Estancia...............  51  82  47  88 /   5   0   0   0
Clines Corners..................  50  81  51  87 /   5   0   0   0
Gran Quivira....................  53  82  52  88 /   5   0   0   0
Carrizozo.......................  58  87  58  93 /   5   0   0   0
Ruidoso.........................  54  83  54  88 /   5   0   0   0
Capulin.........................  51  83  49  88 /  20   5   0   5
Raton...........................  50  87  47  93 /  20   5   0   5
Springer........................  50  88  49  94 /  20   0   0   0
Las Vegas.......................  50  84  49  89 /  10   0   0   0
Clayton.........................  58  91  57  96 /  30   0   0   0
Roy.............................  53  88  52  92 /  30   0   0   0
Conchas.........................  61  93  58  97 /  30   0   0   0
Santa Rosa......................  60  94  58  99 /  20   0   0   0
Tucumcari.......................  62  98  59 100 /  20   0   0   0
Clovis..........................  62  95  60  97 /  10   0   0   5
Portales........................  63  96  61  98 /  10   0   0  10
Fort Sumner.....................  62  95  60  98 /  10   0   0   5
Roswell.........................  63 101  62 102 /   5   0   0   5
Picacho.........................  60  92  60  96 /   5   0   0   5
Elk.............................  58  85  57  89 /   5   0   0   5

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

40

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
532 AM MDT MON JUN 13 2016

NMZ501>540-141200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
532 AM MDT MON JUN 13 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW STRONG AND EVEN BRIEFLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE NEAR AND EAST OF A LINE ROUGHLY FROM RATON TO CLOVIS
BETWEEN ABOUT 2 AND 9 PM MDT TODAY. THE MAIN THREATS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ONE HUNDRED DEGREE AFTERNOON HEAT WILL BECOME FAIRLY WIDESPREAD
BY FRIDAY ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS OF NEW
MEXICO. BY THE WEEKEND MOST OF THE EASTERN PLAINS AND EVEN
PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY WILL SEE THE
POTENTIAL OF TRIPLE DIGIT AFTERNOON HEAT.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST
FORECASTS...WATCHES AND WARNING FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED BETWEEN ROUGHLY 2 PM AND 9 PM
MDT FOR LOCALES NEAR AND EAST OF A LINE FROM RATON TO CLOVIS DUE
TO SOME RISK OF HAIL AND STRONG WIND PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS.

43

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
327 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2016

NMZ534-537-132200-
DE BACA COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
327 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN DE BACA AND
SOUTHWESTERN QUAY COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM MDT...

AT 327 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES EAST OF SUMNER LAKE STATE PARK...OR 11
MILES NORTH OF FORT SUMNER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN DE
BACA AND SOUTHWESTERN QUAY COUNTIES.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT FOR EAST CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3453 10430 3463 10438 3478 10424 3478 10413
      3490 10413 3499 10405 3474 10378
TIME...MOT...LOC 2127Z 228DEG 30KT 3465 10424

40

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
338 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0238 PM     HAIL             13 E WAGON MOUND        36.04N 104.48W
06/13/2016  E1.50 INCH       MORA               NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1601313

JLP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
338 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2016

NMZ535-536-132215-
CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
338 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CURRY AND EAST
CENTRAL ROOSEVELT COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM MDT...

AT 338 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CANNON AIR FORCE BASE...OR 9 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF CLOVIS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLOVIS...TEXICO...CANNON AIR FORCE BASE...OASIS STATE PARK...
RANCHVALE...PLEASANT HILL AND PORTAIR.

OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING LOCATION OASIS STATE
PARK.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR YOUR PREFERRED
MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

ACCUMULATIONS OF SMALL HAIL ON ROADS CAN CREATE VERY SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3420 10332 3434 10346 3465 10317 3453 10304
      3433 10305
TIME...MOT...LOC 2138Z 228DEG 30KT 3433 10333

40

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
442 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2016

NMZ530-531-132315-
UNION COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-
442 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN UNION AND
NORTHEASTERN HARDING COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM MDT...

AT 442 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER BUEYEROS...OR 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF
MOSQUERO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BUEYEROS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR YOUR PREFERRED
MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT FOR NORTHEASTERN
NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3584 10368 3599 10379 3629 10341 3601 10321
TIME...MOT...LOC 2242Z 238DEG 29KT 3596 10366

34

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
445 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2016

NMZ535-132300-
CURRY COUNTY-
445 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL CURRY COUNTY UNTIL
500 PM MDT...

AT 445 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER TEXICO...OR 7 MILES EAST OF CLOVIS...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FARWELL...TEXICO AND PLEASANT HILL.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3446 10316 3458 10305 3446 10304 3436 10304
      3436 10305
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 224DEG 23KT 3441 10307

34

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
447 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2016

NMZ534-132315-
QUAY COUNTY-
447 PM MDT MON JUN 13 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN QUAY COUNTY UNTIL
515 PM MDT...

AT 447 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR RAGLAND...OR 21 MILES SOUTH OF TUCUMCARI...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WHEATLAND.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR YOUR PREFERRED
MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT FOR EAST CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3486 10337 3487 10338 3486 10339 3479 10368
      3490 10378 3512 10343 3492 10328 3488 10329
TIME...MOT...LOC 2247Z 238DEG 23KT 3486 10365

34