Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 224

May 27, 201651 counties in Kansas; 7 counties in Nebraska; 41 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 27, 2016, 2:32 PM CDT for 51 counties in Kansas; 7 counties in Nebraska; 41 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 27, 2016, 2:32 PM CDT (19:32 UTC)
Expired: May 27, 2016, 10:00 PM CDT
In force: 7 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected: 2.5 in
Strongest gust expected: 60 kt

All 99 counties

Barber County, KS, Barton County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Clark County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Comanche County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Elk County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Geary County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Harper County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Lane County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marion County, KS, Marshall County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Morris County, KS, Ness County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Reno County, KS, Republic County, KS, Rice County, KS, Riley County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Saline County, KS, Scott County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Sumner County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Clay County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Saline County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Alfalfa County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Blaine County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Carter County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Coal County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Creek County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Grady County, OK, Grant County, OK, Harper County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Major County, OK, McClain County, OK, Murray County, OK, Noble County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Osage County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Washita County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK

The radar

The Wichita radar (KICT), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes: 20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes: 5%
Ten or more severe wind reports: 40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more: 10%
Ten or more severe hail reports: 70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more: 30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports: 95%

Warnings issued inside it

69 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 27, 2:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Sumner	57 min
May 27, 3:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Harper, Sumner	34 min
May 27, 3:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Grant	51 min
May 27, 3:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Sedgwick	40 min
May 27, 3:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Sumner	42 min
May 27, 3:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Harvey	54 min
May 27, 3:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Harvey, Reno	36 min
May 27, 3:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Sumner	26 min
May 27, 3:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Kingman, Sedgwick	25 min
May 27, 3:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Grant	38 min
May 27, 4:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Scott	23 min
May 27, 4:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Butler, Cowley, Sedgwick, Sumner	66 min
May 27, 4:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane, Scott	64 min
May 27, 4:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Harper	20 min
May 27, 4:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Scott	54 min
May 27, 4:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Caddo, Comanche, Grady	35 min
May 27, 4:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Cowley, Sumner	28 min
May 27, 4:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Grant	42 min
May 27, 4:54 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Scott	36 min
May 27, 4:57 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Lane, Scott	33 min
May 27, 5:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Butler, Cowley	42 min
May 27, 5:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Butler, Greenwood	50 min
May 27, 5:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Garvin, Grady, McClain, Stephens	45 min
May 27, 5:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Sumner	26 min
May 27, 5:33 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Lane	27 min
May 27, 5:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TOP	Dickinson, Geary, Morris	26 min
May 27, 5:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Fillmore, Thayer	40 min
May 27, 5:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Lincoln, Russell	36 min
May 27, 5:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Carter, Garvin, Stephens	50 min
May 27, 5:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Mitchell, Osborne	49 min
May 27, 5:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Canadian, Cleveland, Grady, McClain	44 min
May 27, 5:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Nuckolls, Thayer	42 min
May 27, 5:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane	35 min
May 27, 5:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Garfield, Grant, Kay	41 min
May 27, 5:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ness, Trego	62 min
May 27, 6:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Russell	25 min
May 27, 6:19 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Fillmore	26 min
May 27, 6:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Canadian, Cleveland, Grady, McClain, Oklahoma	41 min
May 27, 6:22 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Ness, Trego	23 min
May 27, 6:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Grant, Kay	38 min
May 27, 6:31 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Lane, Ness	18 min
May 27, 6:32 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TOP	Republic	4 hr
May 27, 6:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Cleveland, Lincoln, Oklahoma	40 min
May 27, 6:37 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TOP	Clay, Riley, Washington	4 hr
May 27, 6:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Pawnee	30 min
May 27, 6:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Rush	15 min
May 27, 6:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Garfield, Kingfisher, Logan, Noble	44 min
May 27, 6:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane, Ness	42 min
May 27, 6:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Logan, Oklahoma	52 min
May 27, 6:56 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	GID	Fillmore, Thayer	3 hr
May 27, 6:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Kay	48 min
May 27, 6:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hodgeman, Ness, Pawnee, Rush	47 min
May 27, 7:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Canadian, Kingfisher, Lincoln, Logan, Oklahoma, Payne	47 min
May 27, 7:15 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OAX	Saline, Seward	3 hr
May 27, 7:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Garfield, Logan, Noble, Payne	52 min
May 27, 7:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Hodgeman, Ness, Pawnee	11 min
May 27, 7:29 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TOP	Marshall	4 hr
May 27, 7:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Russell	39 min
May 27, 7:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Garvin, Johnston, Murray, Pontotoc	46 min
May 27, 7:57 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OUN	Carter, Garvin, Murray	3 hr
May 27, 7:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Carter, Garvin, Murray	46 min
May 27, 8:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Ness, Rush	36 min
May 27, 8:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ICT	Russell	65 min
May 27, 8:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Noble	15 min
May 27, 8:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Carter, Coal, Garvin, Johnston, Murray, Pontotoc	39 min
May 27, 8:49 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OAX	Butler, Gage, Lancaster, Saline, Seward	3 hr
May 27, 8:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Atoka, Carter, Coal, Johnston, Marshall, Murray and 1 more	39 min
May 27, 8:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage	39 min
May 27, 9:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Carter, Johnston, Marshall, Murray	30 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 159 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 672 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -213 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 721 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 106 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 127 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 26, 8:52 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Allen, Barber, Butler, Chase, Coffey, Comanche and 20 more	53 min
May 26, 9:17 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Ellis, Graham, Norton, Osborne, Phillips, Rooks and 2 more	58 min
May 26, 9:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Clay, Cowley, Dickinson and 17 more	4 hr
May 27, 1:02 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Barber, Barton, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley and 15 more	88 min
May 27, 5:00 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Lane, Ness, Pawnee, Rush, Scott, Wichita	90 min
May 27, 5:13 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Geary and 8 more	92 min
May 27, 5:41 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Brown, Doniphan	64 min
May 26, 7:46 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Comanche, Cotton, Custer and 13 more	59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2016 Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2016 Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.