Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 138, NWS Dodge City, KS

May 27, 20164 counties in Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 27, 2016, 6:58 PM CDT for 4 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 47 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 27, 2016, 6:58 PM CDT (23:58 UTC)
Expired: May 27, 2016, 7:45 PM CDT
In force: 47 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.5 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Hodgeman County, KS, Ness County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Rush County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 27, 2:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 12.0 hours before the alert went out and 69 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 672 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -213 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 721 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 106 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 127 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

262 
WUUS53 KDDC 272358
SVRDDC
KSC083-135-145-165-280045-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0138.160527T2358Z-160528T0045Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
658 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN RUSH COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...
  NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  SOUTHEASTERN NESS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...
  NORTHERN HODGEMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS...

* UNTIL 745 PM CDT

* AT 657 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF
  BAZINE...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

  HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
           WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BAZINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3828 9954 3823 9975 3847 9988 3853 9958
TIME...MOT...LOC 2357Z 167DEG 15KT 3837 9968 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

TURNER

3 follow-up statements

544 
WWUS53 KDDC 280011
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
711 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

KSC083-280020-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0138.000000T0000Z-160528T0045Z/
HODGEMAN KS-

711 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN HODGEMAN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. 

LAT...LON 3828 9954 3829 9970 3847 9984 3853 9958
TIME...MOT...LOC 0010Z 167DEG 15KT 3843 9970 

$$

KSC135-145-165-280045-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0138.000000T0000Z-160528T0045Z/
RUSH KS-PAWNEE KS-NESS KS-
711 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN RUSH...NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE AND SOUTHEASTERN NESS
COUNTIES...

AT 710 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED VERY NEAR BAZINE...
MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BAZINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3828 9954 3829 9970 3847 9984 3853 9958
TIME...MOT...LOC 0010Z 167DEG 15KT 3843 9970 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

TURNER

617 
WWUS53 KDDC 280026
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
726 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

KSC145-280035-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0138.000000T0000Z-160528T0045Z/
PAWNEE KS-

726 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS
MOVED OUT OF THE AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3840 9956 3837 9975 3847 9984 3853 9958
TIME...MOT...LOC 0025Z 167DEG 15KT 3849 9972 

$$

KSC135-165-280045-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0138.000000T0000Z-160528T0045Z/
RUSH KS-NESS KS-
726 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL RUSH AND EAST CENTRAL NESS COUNTIES...

AT 725 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTHWEST
OF BAZINE...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND UP TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BAZINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3840 9956 3837 9975 3847 9984 3853 9958
TIME...MOT...LOC 0025Z 167DEG 15KT 3849 9972 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

TURNER

384 
WWUS53 KDDC 280036
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
736 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

KSC135-165-280046-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0138.000000T0000Z-160528T0045Z/
RUSH KS-NESS KS-
736 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL RUSH AND EAST
CENTRAL NESS COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 745 PM CDT...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING IS WEAKENING AND
MOVING OUT OF THE WARNED AREA. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL
BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 745 PM. 

LAT...LON 3840 9956 3837 9975 3847 9984 3853 9958
TIME...MOT...LOC 0034Z 167DEG 15KT 3849 9972 

$$

TURNER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 27, 5:50 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 27, 5:50 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
550 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...updated aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 258 PM CDT Fri May 27 2016

Immediate concern is the areal coverage and intensity of
convection the remainder of the afternoon into early evening. A
relatively cold upper low was moving into west central Kansas this
afternoon. It has developed a negative tilt as a speed max punches
around the southern periphery. Lightning has increased
dramatically under the cold pool across east central Colorado.
Farther east, the westerly boundary layer surge had moved into
my southeast counties. Across my northern counties an easterly
flow has developed with increasing theta-e air. With the cold
system moving east the likelihood of severe will continue into
the early evening hours.

Saturday should be a down day with the upper system far removed.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 258 PM CDT Fri May 27 2016

The upper flow becomes favorable again late in the weekend with
lowering heights again across the southwest. Deep boundary layer
moisture will be moving back into the high plains during the early
part of the period. All the deterministic models due indicate at
least a weak s/wv trough moving out late Sunday and these models
generate an MCS looking signal.

Additional chances for convection will exist until later in the
week as it appears a strong s/wv trough drops southeast out of the
northern branch of the westerlies. This should bring a fairly
strong cool front south into western Kansas by Wednesday. Details
beyond mid-week are uncertain.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 600 PM CDT Fri May 27 2016

VFR is expected through the TAF period. Have CB/TS for KDDC
based off radar for the first few hours. Convection should
be north of KGCK/KHYS. There will be a bkn080 deck. Winds will be
southwesterly and eventually become W/NW 5-10 kt by morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  53  80  58  82 /  40  10  10  50
GCK  51  81  56  83 /  40  10  10  30
EHA  51  81  54  84 /  10  10  10  30
LBL  53  81  57  84 /  10  10  10  40
HYS  55  77  57  81 /  40  10  10  30
P28  58  81  62  82 /  40  10  10  40

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM...07
AVIATION...Sugden

Hazardous weather outlook, May 27, 4:20 AM CDT, 14 hours 38 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
420 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-280930-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
420 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016 /320 AM MDT FRI MAY 27 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING. A FEW STORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS MAY
BECOME SEVERE WITH HAIL UP TO GOLF BALLS AND WINDS OVER 60 MPH
BEING THE MAIN CONCERN. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED FOG RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

DISCUSSION...

CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. IT IS
TOO EARLY TO TELL IF ANY OF THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE.

HAZARDS WEATHER RISK...

  SATURDAY...
  NO HAZARDS.

  SUNDAY...
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  LIMITED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK.

  MONDAY...
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.

  TUESDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

  WEDNESDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

  THURSDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT FOR
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

&&

FOR MORE DETAILS VISIT OUR WEBPAGE HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC/EHWO

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 27, 5:37 PM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
537 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     HAIL             3 S HEALY               38.56N 100.63W
05/10/2016  M1.75 INCH       LANE               KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

Local storm report, May 27, 5:58 PM CDT, 1 hour before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
558 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0556 PM     HAIL             13 S DIGHTON            38.29N 100.47W
05/27/2016  M1.00 INCH       LANE               KS   STORM CHASER

&&

Local storm report, May 27, 6:35 PM CDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
635 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0626 PM     TORNADO          2 E RANSOM              38.64N 99.89W
05/27/2016                   NESS               KS   STORM CHASER

&&

Local storm report, May 27, 6:36 PM CDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
636 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0629 PM     TORNADO          2 E RANSOM              38.64N 99.89W
05/27/2016                   NESS               KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

Local storm report, May 27, 6:43 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
643 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0629 PM     HAIL             5 N ALAMOTA             38.51N 100.31W
05/27/2016  M1.00 INCH       LANE               KS   STORM CHASER

&&

Local storm report, May 27, 6:44 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
644 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0627 PM     TORNADO          4 ESE RANSOM            38.61N 99.86W
05/27/2016                   NESS               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LEE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 26, 7:08 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Hodgeman, Pawnee	21 min
May 26, 7:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Comanche, Ford, Kiowa, Meade	49 min
May 26, 7:14 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Clark, Comanche, Kiowa	31 min
May 26, 7:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Pawnee, Stafford	48 min
May 26, 7:32 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Scott	30 min
May 26, 7:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Kiowa	47 min
May 26, 7:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Ford	16 min
May 26, 7:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Pawnee, Pratt, Rush, Stafford	50 min
May 26, 8:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Edwards, Ford, Kiowa	39 min
May 26, 8:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Comanche	52 min
May 26, 8:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Kiowa	19 min
May 26, 8:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Pawnee, Stafford	31 min
May 26, 8:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Kiowa	35 min
May 26, 9:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Barber	41 min
May 26, 9:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Kiowa, Pratt, Stafford	18 min
May 26, 9:25 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Clark	50 min
May 26, 9:33 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Barber, Pratt	42 min
May 26, 9:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Stafford	36 min
May 26, 9:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Pratt, Stafford	16 min
May 26, 10:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Barber	45 min
May 27, 4:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Scott	23 min
May 27, 4:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane, Scott	64 min
May 27, 4:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Scott	54 min
May 27, 4:54 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Scott	36 min
May 27, 4:57 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Lane, Scott	33 min
May 27, 5:33 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Lane	27 min
May 27, 5:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane	35 min
May 27, 5:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ness, Trego	62 min
May 27, 6:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hodgeman	40 min
May 27, 6:22 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Ness, Trego	23 min
May 27, 6:31 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Lane, Ness	18 min
May 27, 6:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Pawnee	30 min
May 27, 6:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Rush	15 min
May 27, 6:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane, Ness	42 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.