Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 133, NWS Dodge City, KS

May 27, 2016Ness County, Trego County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 27, 2016, 5:58 PM CDT for Ness County, Trego County, Kansas. It was in force for 62 min. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 27, 2016, 5:58 PM CDT (22:58 UTC)
Expired: May 27, 2016, 7:00 PM CDT
In force: 62 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.5 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Ness County, KS, Trego County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where
May 27, 6:26 PM CDT	TORNADO	2 E Ransom, KS
May 27, 6:27 PM CDT	TORNADO	4 Ese Ransom, KS
May 27, 6:29 PM CDT	TORNADO	2 E Ransom, KS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 27, 2:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 110 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 672 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -213 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 721 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 106 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 127 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

486 
WUUS53 KDDC 272258
SVRDDC
KSC135-195-280000-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0133.160527T2258Z-160528T0000Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
558 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN TREGO COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...
  NORTHEASTERN NESS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* AT 557 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTHWEST
  OF RANSOM...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

  HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
           WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  RANSOM...BROWNELL...ARNOLD...CEDAR BLUFF AND TREGO CENTER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3891 9970 3856 9959 3847 9999 3870 10017
      3870 10015 3887 10015 3895 10004
TIME...MOT...LOC 2257Z 153DEG 10KT 3861 9998 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

FINCH

3 follow-up statements

942 
WWUS53 KDDC 272308
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
608 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

KSC135-195-280000-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0133.000000T0000Z-160528T0000Z/
TREGO KS-NESS KS-
608 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN TREGO AND NORTHEASTERN NESS COUNTIES...

AT 608 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF ARNOLD... MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RANSOM...BROWNELL...ARNOLD AND CEDAR BLUFF. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3882 9970 3856 9959 3852 9995 3870 10017
      3870 10015 3877 10009 3883 10001
TIME...MOT...LOC 2308Z 153DEG 10KT 3864 10000 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

TURNER

306 
WWUS53 KDDC 272312
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
612 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

KSC135-195-280000-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0133.000000T0000Z-160528T0000Z/
TREGO KS-NESS KS-
612 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN TREGO AND NORTHEASTERN NESS COUNTIES...

AT 611 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ARNOLD...
MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RANSOM...BROWNELL...ARNOLD AND CEDAR BLUFF. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3882 9970 3858 9970 3855 9995 3870 10017
      3870 10015 3877 10009 3883 10001
TIME...MOT...LOC 2311Z 153DEG 10KT 3865 10001 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

FINCH

027 
WWUS53 KDDC 272354
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
654 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

KSC135-195-280002-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0133.000000T0000Z-160528T0000Z/
TREGO KS-NESS KS-
654 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN TREGO AND
NORTHEASTERN NESS COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 700 PM CDT...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS LIKELY
NEAR BROWNELL OVER THE NEXT FEW MINUTES.  THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 7 PM. 

LAT...LON 3882 9970 3858 9970 3855 9995 3870 10017
      3870 10015 3877 10009 3883 10001
TIME...MOT...LOC 2350Z 153DEG 10KT 3865 10001 

$$

TURNER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 27, 5:50 PM CDT, 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 27, 5:50 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
550 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...updated aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 258 PM CDT Fri May 27 2016

Immediate concern is the areal coverage and intensity of
convection the remainder of the afternoon into early evening. A
relatively cold upper low was moving into west central Kansas this
afternoon. It has developed a negative tilt as a speed max punches
around the southern periphery. Lightning has increased
dramatically under the cold pool across east central Colorado.
Farther east, the westerly boundary layer surge had moved into
my southeast counties. Across my northern counties an easterly
flow has developed with increasing theta-e air. With the cold
system moving east the likelihood of severe will continue into
the early evening hours.

Saturday should be a down day with the upper system far removed.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 258 PM CDT Fri May 27 2016

The upper flow becomes favorable again late in the weekend with
lowering heights again across the southwest. Deep boundary layer
moisture will be moving back into the high plains during the early
part of the period. All the deterministic models due indicate at
least a weak s/wv trough moving out late Sunday and these models
generate an MCS looking signal.

Additional chances for convection will exist until later in the
week as it appears a strong s/wv trough drops southeast out of the
northern branch of the westerlies. This should bring a fairly
strong cool front south into western Kansas by Wednesday. Details
beyond mid-week are uncertain.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 600 PM CDT Fri May 27 2016

VFR is expected through the TAF period. Have CB/TS for KDDC
based off radar for the first few hours. Convection should
be north of KGCK/KHYS. There will be a bkn080 deck. Winds will be
southwesterly and eventually become W/NW 5-10 kt by morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  53  80  58  82 /  40  10  10  50
GCK  51  81  56  83 /  40  10  10  30
EHA  51  81  54  84 /  10  10  10  30
LBL  53  81  57  84 /  10  10  10  40
HYS  55  77  57  81 /  40  10  10  30
P28  58  81  62  82 /  40  10  10  40

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM...07
AVIATION...Sugden

Hazardous weather outlook, May 27, 4:20 AM CDT, 13 hours 38 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
420 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-280930-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
420 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016 /320 AM MDT FRI MAY 27 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING. A FEW STORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS MAY
BECOME SEVERE WITH HAIL UP TO GOLF BALLS AND WINDS OVER 60 MPH
BEING THE MAIN CONCERN. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED FOG RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

DISCUSSION...

CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. IT IS
TOO EARLY TO TELL IF ANY OF THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE.

HAZARDS WEATHER RISK...

  SATURDAY...
  NO HAZARDS.

  SUNDAY...
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  LIMITED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK.

  MONDAY...
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.

  TUESDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

  WEDNESDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

  THURSDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT FOR
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

&&

FOR MORE DETAILS VISIT OUR WEBPAGE HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC/EHWO

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 27, 5:35 PM CDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
535 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     HAIL             4 E SCOTT CITY          38.48N 100.83W
05/10/2016  M0.88 INCH       SCOTT              KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

Local storm report, May 27, 5:37 PM CDT, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
537 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     HAIL             3 S HEALY               38.56N 100.63W
05/10/2016  M1.75 INCH       LANE               KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

Local storm report, May 27, 5:58 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
558 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0556 PM     HAIL             13 S DIGHTON            38.29N 100.47W
05/27/2016  M1.00 INCH       LANE               KS   STORM CHASER

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 26, 7:08 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Hodgeman, Pawnee	21 min
May 26, 7:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Comanche, Ford, Kiowa, Meade	49 min
May 26, 7:14 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Clark, Comanche, Kiowa	31 min
May 26, 7:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Pawnee, Stafford	48 min
May 26, 7:32 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Scott	30 min
May 26, 7:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Kiowa	47 min
May 26, 7:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Ford	16 min
May 26, 7:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Pawnee, Pratt, Rush, Stafford	50 min
May 26, 8:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Edwards, Ford, Kiowa	39 min
May 26, 8:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Comanche	52 min
May 26, 8:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Kiowa	19 min
May 26, 8:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Pawnee, Stafford	31 min
May 26, 8:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Kiowa	35 min
May 26, 9:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Barber	41 min
May 26, 9:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Kiowa, Pratt, Stafford	18 min
May 26, 9:25 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Clark	50 min
May 26, 9:33 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Barber, Pratt	42 min
May 26, 9:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Stafford	36 min
May 26, 9:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Pratt, Stafford	16 min
May 26, 10:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Barber	45 min
May 27, 4:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Scott	23 min
May 27, 4:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane, Scott	64 min
May 27, 4:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Scott	54 min
May 27, 4:54 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Scott	36 min
May 27, 4:57 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Lane, Scott	33 min
May 27, 5:33 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Lane	27 min
May 27, 5:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane	35 min
May 27, 6:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hodgeman	40 min
May 27, 6:22 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Ness, Trego	23 min
May 27, 6:31 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Lane, Ness	18 min
May 27, 6:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Pawnee	30 min
May 27, 6:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Rush	15 min
May 27, 6:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane, Ness	42 min
May 27, 6:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hodgeman, Ness, Pawnee, Rush	47 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.