Severe Thunderstorm Warning 132, NWS Dodge City, KS

497 
WWUS53 KDDC 272324
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
624 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

KSC101-272334-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0132.000000T0000Z-160527T2345Z/
LANE KS-
624 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL LANE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND
MOVED OUT OF THE AREA. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED. 

LAT...LON 3832 10030 3829 10048 3848 10067 3862 10060
      3849 10045 3852 10036
TIME...MOT...LOC 2323Z 153DEG 10KT 3844 10049 

$$

TURNER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
319 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 258 PM CDT Fri May 27 2016

Immediate concern is the areal coverage and intensity of
convection the remainder of the afternoon into early evening. A
relatively cold upper low was moving into west central Kansas this
afternoon. It has developed a negative tilt as a speed max punches
around the southern periphery. Lightning has increased
dramatically under the cold pool across east central Colorado.
Farther east, the westerly boundary layer surge had moved into
my southeast counties. Across my northern counties an easterly
flow has developed with increasing theta-e air. With the cold
system moving east the likelihood of severe will continue into
the early evening hours.

Saturday should be a down day with the upper system far removed.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 258 PM CDT Fri May 27 2016

The upper flow becomes favorable again late in the weekend with
lowering heights again across the southwest. Deep boundary layer
moisture will be moving back into the high plains during the early
part of the period. All the deterministic models due indicate at
least a weak s/wv trough moving out late Sunday and these models
generate an MCS looking signal.

Additional chances for convection will exist until later in the
week as it appears a strong s/wv trough drops southeast out of the
northern branch of the westerlies. This should bring a fairly
strong cool front south into western Kansas by Wednesday. Details
beyond mid-week are uncertain.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 258 PM CDT Fri May 27 2016

Beyond the late afternoon and evening thunderstorms, there is
uncertainty about stratus redeveloping overnight tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  53  80  58  82 /  40  10  10  50
GCK  51  81  56  83 /  40  10  10  30
EHA  51  81  54  84 /  20  10  10  30
LBL  53  81  57  84 /  20  10  10  40
HYS  55  77  57  81 /  40  10  10  30
P28  58  81  62  82 /  40  10  10  40

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 224 valid until 10 PM
&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM...07
AVIATION...07

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
420 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-280930-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
420 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016 /320 AM MDT FRI MAY 27 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING. A FEW STORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS MAY
BECOME SEVERE WITH HAIL UP TO GOLF BALLS AND WINDS OVER 60 MPH
BEING THE MAIN CONCERN. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED FOG RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

DISCUSSION...

CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. IT IS
TOO EARLY TO TELL IF ANY OF THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE.

HAZARDS WEATHER RISK...

  SATURDAY...
  NO HAZARDS.

  SUNDAY...
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  LIMITED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK.

  MONDAY...
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.

  TUESDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

  WEDNESDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

  THURSDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT FOR
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

&&

FOR MORE DETAILS VISIT OUR WEBPAGE HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC/EHWO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
535 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     HAIL             4 E SCOTT CITY          38.48N 100.83W
05/10/2016  M0.88 INCH       SCOTT              KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
537 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     HAIL             3 S HEALY               38.56N 100.63W
05/10/2016  M1.75 INCH       LANE               KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&