Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 754

May 26, 201626 counties in Kansas; 14 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 26, 2016, 8:52 PM CDT for 26 counties in Kansas; 14 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 53 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 26, 2016, 8:52 PM CDT (01:52 UTC)
Expired
May 26, 2016, 9:45 PM CDT
In force
53 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 40 counties

Allen County, KS, Barber County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Comanche County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Elk County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Harper County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marion County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Reno County, KS, Rice County, KS, Saline County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Sumner County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Alfalfa County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harper County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Major County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Washita County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK

The radar

The Wichita radar (KICT), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 178 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2016-05-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2656 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2016-05-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 474 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2656 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-42 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
966 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
67 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
474 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
628 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
10.9
Supercell composite
42.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

150 
ACUS11 KWNS 270153
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270152 
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-270245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0754
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0852 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH KS...WEST OK

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 214...216...

VALID 270152Z - 270245Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 214...216...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...WITH WW/S 214 AND 216 SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 03Z...SPC
WILL COORDINATE WITH AFFECTED WFOS REGARDING WATCH REPLACEMENT
AND/OR LOCAL TEMPORAL EXTENSION.

DISCUSSION...NUMEROUS STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE ONGOING FROM
CENTRAL KS TO THE RED RIVER AREA OF SOUTHWEST OK/NORTHWEST TX.
FARTHER EAST...A WEST-EAST/ORIENTED QLCS PERSISTS ALONG/NORTH OF
LARGE-SCALE CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL KS TO CENTRAL MO.
A PLUME OF 65-69 DEG F SURFACE DEW POINTS IS PRESENT WITHIN A
CONFINED CORRIDOR OF WEST OK ARCING INTO SOUTH KS. MODIFIED 00Z
OUN/LMN RAOBS SUGGEST AMPLE MLCIN EXISTS EAST OF THIS MOISTURE PLUME
ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR IN OK. THUS...OVERALL SPATIAL EXTENT OF THE
SEVERE RISK SHOULD HOLD ACROSS AREAS ALREADY UNDER A WATCH FROM WEST
OK AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KS. PRESENCE OF A 40-45 KT LOW-LEVEL JET WILL
BE SUPPORTIVE OF ALL HAZARDS NEAR-TERM /ESPECIALLY WITH STORMS THAT
CAN EVOLVE ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IN SOUTH-CENTRAL KS/.
CONGLOMERATION OF COLD POOLS AND UPSCALE GROWTH INTO AN MCS SHOULD
RESULT IN THE PREDOMINANT THREAT BEING STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS
TOWARDS MIDNIGHT. THIS WOULD APPEAR MOST LIKELY ACROSS SOUTH KS INTO
PERHAPS FAR NORTH OK.

..GRAMS.. 05/27/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...

LAT...LON   38139872 38199860 38789824 38959778 38949720 38489623
            38319532 37619526 37289604 37269707 36829799 36049851
            34239915 34359967 35570005 37149965 37949908 38139872

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 9:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEllis, Graham, Norton, Osborne, Phillips, Rooks and 2 more58 min
May 26, 9:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCButler, Chase, Chautauqua, Clay, Cowley, Dickinson and 17 more4 hr
May 27, 1:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley and 15 more88 min
May 27, 2:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarber, Barton, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Clark and 45 more7 hr
May 27, 5:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLane, Ness, Pawnee, Rush, Scott, Wichita90 min
May 27, 5:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Chase, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Geary and 8 more92 min
May 27, 5:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Doniphan64 min
May 26, 7:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Comanche, Cotton, Custer and 13 more59 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.