Severe Thunderstorm Warning 154, NWS Wichita, KS

245 
WWUS53 KICT 272250
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
550 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

KSC105-167-272315-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0154.000000T0000Z-160527T2315Z/
LINCOLN KS-RUSSELL KS-
550 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN AND NORTHEASTERN RUSSELL COUNTIES...

AT 548 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER LUCAS...OR 18
MILES NORTH OF WILSON...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LUCAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

THIS THUNDERSTORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ALL TYPES OF SEVERE
WEATHER...INCLUDING EXTREMELY LARGE HAIL...DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS...AND A BRIEF WEAK TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE. MOVE QUICKLY TO A
SAFE SHELTER...SUCH AS AN INTERIOR ROOM...A BATHROOM OR CLOSET OR
BASEMENT.

&&

LAT...LON 3898 9847 3900 9860 3913 9861 3913 9849
      3922 9849 3922 9834
TIME...MOT...LOC 2248Z 191DEG 10KT 3910 9852 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JAKUB

352 
WWUS53 KICT 272305
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
605 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

KSC167-272314-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0154.000000T0000Z-160527T2315Z/
RUSSELL KS-
605 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN RUSSELL COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
CENTRAL KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3922 9834 3898 9847 3899 9848 3906 9849
      3922 9849
TIME...MOT...LOC 2304Z 189DEG 17KT 3915 9847 

$$

KSC105-272315-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0154.000000T0000Z-160527T2315Z/
LINCOLN KS-
605 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN COUNTY...

AT 604 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHEAST
OF LUCAS...OR 22 MILES NORTH OF WILSON...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

THIS THUNDERSTORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ALL TYPES OF SEVERE
WEATHER...INCLUDING LARGE HAIL...DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS...AND A BRIEF TORNADO. MOVE QUICKLY TO A SAFE SHELTER...SUCH
AS AN INTERIOR ROOM...A BATHROOM OR CLOSET OR BASEMENT.

&&

LAT...LON 3922 9834 3898 9847 3899 9848 3906 9849
      3922 9849
TIME...MOT...LOC 2304Z 189DEG 17KT 3915 9847 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JAKUB

834 
WWUS53 KICT 272312
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
612 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

KSC105-272322-
/O.EXP.KICT.SV.W.0154.000000T0000Z-160527T2315Z/
LINCOLN KS-
612 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 615 PM CDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER SMALL HAIL
IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
CENTRAL KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3922 9834 3898 9847 3899 9848 3906 9849
      3922 9849
TIME...MOT...LOC 2311Z 191DEG 10KT 3915 9847 

$$

JAKUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
313 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 248 PM CDT Fri May 27 2016

Thunderstorms have developed along the dry line this afternoon
across south central and central Kansas as upper-level energy
continues to lift out across the central Plains. With an unstable
atmosphere in place and decent shear, ongoing thunderstorm
activity has become strong to severe.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday night)
Issued at 248 PM CDT Fri May 27 2016

The main forecast concerns are severe thunderstorms this evening,
additional chances for thunderstorm activity through the
beginning of the work week, a few storms could be strong to
severe, and the potential to see additional rainfall over already
saturated grounds. The flash flood watch will remain in effect
through Saturday morning given the potential for additional
flooding and/or worsening of ongoing flooding.

As upper-level energy continues to eject out across the central
Plains, expect thunderstorm activity to increase in coverage this
evening. With good instability and decent shear in place, severe
thunderstorms will be capable of producing large hail and
damaging winds; however, a few tornadoes cannot be ruled out.
Tonight as surface low pressure slowly moves eastward across
central Kansas, expect thunderstorms activity to slowly move
eastward as well. Into the late evening/overnight hours, with
lingering instability up to 1000-1500 J/kg and 30-40 kt of bulk
shear, severe storms will still be possible. After midnight into
early Saturday morning, thunderstorm activity will begin to
diminish from west to east across the area as large scale lift and
moisture transport will lift into Missouri. With surface low
pressure lifting northeast of the region, the dry line boundary
will become more diffuse and stall out across far southeast Kansas
on Saturday. With ample low-level moisture still in place ahead of
the surface boundary, expect at least moderate instability to
develop across southeast Kansas. Convergence is not outstanding
along this boundary during the late afternoon/early evening;
however, with moisture streaming back northward have included at
least slight chance mentions for thunderstorms across far
southeast Kansas Saturday night. With shear being on the weak end
of the spectrum across southeast Kansas, chances for severe
weather look more favorable south of the border in northern
Oklahoma.

Sunday and Monday chances for thunderstorms will return to much of
the area as multiple rounds of moisture return northward. Although
the shear does not look too impressive, albeit better on Monday
than Sunday, given the unstable, buoyant air mass that will be
overhead at least a few strong storms may be possible during the
end of the weekend/early work week.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 248 PM CDT Fri May 27 2016

With increasing cloud cover over the region, temperatures look to
remain below normal through the work week. Chance for thunderstorms
will linger across much of the area as well. Models are fairly
consistent with cold front dropping south across the region during
the middle of the work week. Right now, there is some uncertainty
in regards to the actual timing of this frontal passage, with the
ECMWF being a bit more progressive than the GFS.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 656 AM CDT Fri May 27 2016

Areas of MVFR CIGS can be expected this morning with very
brief period of IFR in central Kansas. Otherwise, daytime
heating and the approach of low pressure aloft will result
in scattered to numerous showers and storms from midday
into the evening across much of the area again. For now
have inserted VCTS and will amend as needed as convection
become more imminent.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    58  82  61  84 /  50  10  10  40
Hutchinson      57  81  59  84 /  50  10  10  40
Newton          57  80  60  83 /  50  20  10  40
ElDorado        59  81  61  84 /  50  20  10  40
Winfield-KWLD   60  83  63  85 /  50  10  10  40
Russell         56  79  57  82 /  60  20  10  40
Great Bend      55  80  58  82 /  50  10  10  40
Salina          57  80  59  84 /  60  20  10  40
McPherson       56  80  59  84 /  60  20  10  40
Coffeyville     64  83  63  85 /  60  20  20  40
Chanute         63  82  62  84 /  60  30  20  40
Iola            63  82  62  84 /  60  30  20  30
Parsons-KPPF    63  82  62  85 /  60  30  20  40

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flash Flood Watch through Saturday morning for KSZ032-033-
047>053-067>069-082-083.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JMR
SHORT TERM...JMR
LONG TERM...JMR
AVIATION...KED

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
325 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-282030-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
325 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS,
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MAIN THREATS
WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF
BALLS...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES AND FLOODING ALSO
POSSIBLE. A FEW TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT. SEE LATEST FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE REMAINS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRIMARILY ACROSS
SOUTHEAST KANSAS EARLY ON SATURDAY AND AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT. THE
STRONGEST STORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS.
THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL
ARRIVE ON SUNDAY WITH CHANCES CONTINUING THROUGH THE WORK WEEK.
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR REPORTS OF SEVERE
WEATHER AND FLOODING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND WEST OF I-135.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
526 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

KSZ032-033-272300-
RUSSELL KS-LINCOLN KS-
526 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN RUSSELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...
  NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT

* AT 525 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF LUCAS...OR 24
  MILES NORTH OF WILSON...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LUCAS...ASH GROVE AND WILSON LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LISTEN FOR
LATER STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS...SHOULD THE RISK FOR
MINOR LOW-LAND FLOODING BECOME MORE IMMINENT.

&&

LAT...LON 3922 9835 3918 9832 3894 9848 3898 9864
      3913 9862 3913 9849 3922 9849
TIME...MOT...LOC 2225Z 139DEG 14KT 3918 9847

METZGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
527 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0527 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 S LEON                37.67N 96.78W
05/27/2016  E60 MPH          BUTLER             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL HAIL ALSO REPORTED

&&

CWH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
528 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0527 PM     HAIL             3 SW LEON               37.66N 96.82W
05/27/2016  E0.75 INCH       BUTLER             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CWH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
529 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0527 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 W LEON                37.69N 96.82W
05/27/2016  E70 MPH          BUTLER             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JMC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
531 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0531 PM     TSTM WND GST     LEON                    37.69N 96.78W
05/27/2016  E60 MPH          BUTLER             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CWH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
532 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0526 PM     TORNADO          4 SW LEON               37.65N 96.84W
05/27/2016                   BUTLER             KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

            VERY BRIEF TOUCHDOWN FOR ABOUT 15 SECONDS.

&&

CWH