Alert archive / Kansas / River Flood Warnings in 2016

River Flood Warning 14, NWS Wichita, KS

May 27, 2016McPherson County, Saline County, Kansas

NWS Wichita, KS issued this river flood warning at May 27, 2016, 1:33 AM CDT for McPherson County, Saline County, Kansas. It took effect at May 28, 2016, 3:24 AM CDT. It was in force for 29 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 27, 2016, 1:33 AM CDT (06:33 UTC)
In effect from
May 28, 2016, 3:24 AM CDT
Expired
May 29, 2016, 8:32 AM CDT
In force
29 hr
Issued by
NWS Wichita, KS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties McPherson County, KS, Saline County, KS

The radar

The Wichita radar (KICT), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Smoky Hill River near Mentor (MTRK1). The gauge peaked at 17.40 ft at May 28, 2016, 9:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate102005/2705/2805/2905/30
Action stage
18 ft
Minor stage
20 ft
Moderate stage
24 ft
Major stage
28 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06866500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

042 
WGUS43 KICT 270633
FLWICT
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
133 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a Flood Warning
for the following river in Kansas... 

  Smoky Hill River At Lindsborg affecting McPherson County.

  Smoky Hill River Near Mentor affecting McPherson and Saline 
  Counties.

  Smoky Hill River At New Cambria affecting Saline County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC113-272033-
/O.NEW.KICT.FL.W.0013.160527T1650Z-160528T2143Z/
/LNSK1.1.ER.160527T1650Z.160527T1800Z.160528T0943Z.NO/
133 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

The National Weather Service in Wichita, KS has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Smoky Hill River At Lindsborg.
* From this morning until Saturday afternoon.
* At 12:30 AM Friday the stage was 9.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 23.8 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 24.5 feet...The Old Mill Campgrounds are covered by 3 to
  4 feet of flood waters.

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sat    Sun    Mon
  Lindsborg       21.0   9.0  Fri 12 AM   16.3   10.8    9.5
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3851 9792 3847 9766 3860 9758 3865 9766
      3857 9774 3866 9792             

$$

KSC113-169-272033-
/O.NEW.KICT.FL.W.0014.160528T0824Z-160529T1332Z/
/MTRK1.1.ER.160528T0824Z.160528T1200Z.160529T0132Z.UU/
133 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

The National Weather Service in Wichita, KS has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Smoky Hill River near Mentor.
* From late tonight until Sunday morning.
* At 12:45 AM Friday the stage was 6.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Saturday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 21.5 feet by late Saturday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...The lower portions of ball fields and bike 
  trail at Burke Park in Salina floods along with soccer fields near 
  the river south of Magnolia Road. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sat    Sun    Mon
  Mentor          20.0   6.2  Fri 1 AM    21.5   10.2    6.9
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3860 9758 3869 9753 3883 9754 3886 9763
      3871 9762 3865 9766             

$$

KSC169-272032-
/O.NEW.KICT.FL.W.0015.160528T1603Z-160529T2324Z/
/NCMK1.1.ER.160528T1603Z.160528T1800Z.160529T1124Z.NO/
133 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

The National Weather Service in Wichita, KS has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Smoky Hill River at New Cambria.
* From Saturday morning until Sunday evening.
* At 12:45 AM Friday the stage was 10.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Saturday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 28.1 feet by early Saturday afternoon. The
  river will fall below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Expect flooding of low-lying areas and 
  bottom land along both sides of the river. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sat    Sun    Mon
  New Cambria     27.0  10.2  Fri 1 AM    27.1   24.8   19.3
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3879 9753 3883 9737 3896 9737 3889 9765


$$
4 follow-up statements
602 
WGUS83 KICT 271009
FLSICT
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 
509 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Smoky Hill River At Lindsborg affecting McPherson County.

  Smoky Hill River Near Mentor affecting McPherson and Saline 
  Counties.

  Smoky Hill River At New Cambria affecting Saline County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC113-280009-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0013.160527T1614Z-160528T2143Z/
/LNSK1.1.ER.160527T1614Z.160528T0000Z.160528T0943Z.NO/
509 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Smoky Hill River At Lindsborg.
* From this morning until Saturday afternoon.
* At 4:30 AM Friday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 23.8 feet by this evening. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 24.5 feet...The Old Mill Campgrounds are covered by 3 to
  4 feet of flood waters.

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sat    Sun    Mon
  Lindsborg       21.0  14.5  Fri 04 AM   19.9   11.6    9.7
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3851 9792 3847 9766 3860 9758 3865 9766
      3857 9774 3866 9792             

$$

KSC113-169-280009-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0014.160528T0843Z-160529T1332Z/
/MTRK1.1.ER.160528T0843Z.160528T1800Z.160529T0132Z.UU/
509 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Smoky Hill River Near Mentor.
* From late tonight until Sunday morning.
* At 4:45 AM Friday the stage was 8.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Saturday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 21.5 feet by early Saturday afternoon. The
  river will fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...The lower portions of ball fields and bike 
  trail at Burke Park in Salina floods along with soccer fields near 
  the river south of Magnolia Road. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sat    Sun    Mon
  Mentor          20.0   8.7  Fri 05 AM   21.2   13.3    7.2
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3860 9758 3869 9753 3883 9754 3886 9763
      3871 9762 3865 9766             

$$

KSC169-280009-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0015.160528T1200Z-160529T1320Z/
/NCMK1.1.ER.160528T1200Z.160528T1800Z.160529T0120Z.NO/
509 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Smoky Hill River At New Cambria.
* From Saturday morning until Sunday morning.
* At 4:45 AM Friday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 27.9 feet by early Saturday afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Expect flooding of low-lying areas and 
  bottom land along both sides of the river. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sat    Sun    Mon
  New Cambria     27.0  12.2  Fri 05 AM   27.0   22.8   18.0
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3879 9753 3883 9737 3896 9737 3889 9765


$$

KED
010 
WGUS83 KICT 271525
FLSICT
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 
1025 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Smoky Hill River At Lindsborg affecting McPherson County.

  Smoky Hill River Near Mentor affecting McPherson and Saline 
  Counties.

  Smoky Hill River At New Cambria affecting Saline County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC113-280525-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0013.160527T1739Z-160528T1212Z/
/LNSK1.1.ER.160527T1739Z.160527T1800Z.160528T0012Z.NO/
1025 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Smoky Hill River At Lindsborg.
* From this afternoon until Saturday morning.
* At  9:30 AM Friday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 21.2 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below
  flood stage by this evening.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...South bank overflows extend out to 20 feet 
  from bank. Old Mill Park floods along with low lying fields in 
  rural areas. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sat    Sun    Mon
  Lindsborg       21.0  19.1  Fri 09 AM   16.9   12.0    9.6
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3851 9792 3847 9766 3860 9758 3865 9766
      3857 9774 3866 9792             

$$

KSC113-169-280525-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0014.160528T1124Z-160529T0042Z/
/MTRK1.1.ER.160528T1124Z.160528T1200Z.160528T1242Z.UU/
1025 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Smoky Hill River Near Mentor.
* From Saturday morning until Saturday evening.
* At  9:45 AM Friday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 20.2 feet by Saturday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Flood waters overflow the banks and 
  agricultural fields upstream from Bridgeport to Assaria. Lowland 
  flooding can be expected in the vicinity of the river. A portion of
  the bike trail near Burke Park in Salina floods. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sat    Sun    Mon
  Mentor          20.0  11.8  Fri 10 AM   20.2   13.0    7.1
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3860 9758 3869 9753 3883 9754 3886 9763
      3871 9762 3865 9766             

$$

KSC169-280525-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0015.160528T1702Z-160529T1242Z/
/NCMK1.1.ER.160528T1702Z.160528T1800Z.160529T0042Z.NO/
1025 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Smoky Hill River At New Cambria.
* From Saturday afternoon until Sunday morning.
* At  9:45 AM Friday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Saturday afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 27.4 feet by early Saturday afternoon. The
  river will fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Expect flooding of low-lying areas and 
  bottom land along both sides of the river. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sat    Sun    Mon
  New Cambria     27.0  14.5  Fri 10 AM   24.9   24.1   19.8
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3879 9753 3883 9737 3896 9737 3889 9765


$$

JAS
514 
WGUS83 KICT 271924
FLSICT
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 
224 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Kansas...
 
  Smoky Hill River At Lindsborg affecting McPherson County.
 
...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...

  Smoky Hill River Near Mentor affecting McPherson and Saline 
  Counties.

  Smoky Hill River At New Cambria affecting Saline County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC113-271954-
/O.CAN.KICT.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160528T1212Z/
/LNSK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
224 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Smoky Hill River At Lindsborg.
* At  1:30 PM Friday the stage was 20.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 20.7 feet this
  evening.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...South bank overflows extend out to 20 feet 
  from bank. Old Mill Park floods along with low lying fields in 
  rural areas. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sat    Sun    Mon
  Lindsborg       21.0  20.5  Fri 01 PM   17.0   14.0   12.6
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3851 9792 3847 9766 3860 9758 3865 9766
      3857 9774 3866 9792             

$$

KSC113-169-280924-
/O.CON.KICT.FL.W.0014.160528T1124Z-160529T0042Z/
/MTRK1.1.ER.160528T1124Z.160528T1200Z.160528T1242Z.UU/
224 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Smoky Hill River Near Mentor.
* From Saturday morning until Saturday evening.
* At  1:45 PM Friday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 20.2 feet by Saturday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Flood waters overflow the banks and 
  agricultural fields upstream from Bridgeport to Assaria. Lowland 
  flooding can be expected in the vicinity of the river. A portion of
  the bike trail near Burke Park in Salina floods. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sat    Sun    Mon
  Mentor          20.0  14.0  Fri 02 PM   20.2   13.0    7.1
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3860 9758 3869 9753 3883 9754 3886 9763
      3871 9762 3865 9766             

$$

KSC169-280924-
/O.CON.KICT.FL.W.0015.160528T1702Z-160529T1242Z/
/NCMK1.1.ER.160528T1702Z.160528T1800Z.160529T0042Z.NO/
224 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Smoky Hill River At New Cambria.
* From Saturday afternoon until Sunday morning.
* At  1:45 PM Friday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Saturday afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 27.4 feet by early Saturday afternoon. The
  river will fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Expect flooding of low-lying areas and 
  bottom land along both sides of the river. 

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
Location          STG    STG  DAY TIME     Sat    Sun    Mon
  New Cambria     27.0  16.5  Fri 02 PM   24.9   24.1   19.8
    
&&
     
LAT...LON 3879 9753 3883 9737 3896 9737 3889 9765


$$

JAS
581 
WGUS83 KICT 280100
FLSICT
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 
800 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Kansas...
 
  Smoky Hill River Near Mentor affecting McPherson and Saline 
  Counties.
 
  Smoky Hill River At New Cambria affecting Saline County.
 
...The flood warning continues for the following river in Kansas...
 
  Smoky Hill River At Lindsborg affecting McPherson County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive into flooded areas or go around barricades. Nearly two 
feet of water will carry most vehicles away. Turn around don't drown.

&&

KSC113-281407-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-160528T1407Z/
/LNSK1.1.ER.160527T2045Z.160528T0030Z.160528T0207Z.NO/
800 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Smoky Hill River At Lindsborg.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At  7:30 PM Friday the stage was 21.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river is cresting and will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...South bank overflows extend out to 20 feet 
  from bank. Old Mill Park floods along with low lying fields in 
  rural areas. 

&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 PM
Location             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   
  Lindsborg          21.0  21.4  Fri 07 PM   13.5  12.8  12.3
    
&&
    
LAT...LON 3851 9792 3847 9766 3860 9758 3865 9766
      3857 9774 3866 9792             

$$

KSC113-169-280130-
/O.CAN.KICT.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-160529T0042Z/
/MTRK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
800 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Smoky Hill River Near Mentor.
* At  7:45 PM Friday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 19.2 feet 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Flood waters overflow the banks and 
  agricultural fields upstream from Bridgeport to Assaria. Lowland 
  flooding can be expected in the vicinity of the river. A portion of
  the bike trail near Burke Park in Salina floods. 

&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 PM
Location             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   
  Mentor             20.0  16.2  Fri 08 PM   16.5   9.7   8.7
    
&&
    
LAT...LON 3860 9758 3869 9753 3883 9754 3886 9763
      3871 9762 3865 9766             

$$

KSC169-280130-
/O.CAN.KICT.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160529T1242Z/
/NCMK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
800 PM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Smoky Hill River At New Cambria.
* At  7:45 PM Friday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 26.1 feet 
  Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Expect flooding of low-lying areas and 
  bottom land along both sides of the river. 

&&


                     FLD       OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 PM
Location             STG    STG  DAY  TIME    Sat   Sun   Mon   
  New Cambria        27.0  20.0  Fri 08 PM   26.0  21.4  19.0
    
&&
    
LAT...LON 3879 9753 3883 9737 3896 9737 3889 9765


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 26, 11:31 PM CDT, 2 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 26, 11:31 PM CDT, 2 hours 2 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1131 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 221 PM CDT Thu May 26 2016

Elevated storms quickly developed early this afternoon in an area
of strong 850-700mb moisture transport. Around nearly the same
time surface based storms developed west of our forecast area on
the more traditional dryline. Large scale lift provided by
approaching shortwave is allowing for much more widespread
convection compared to the last couple of days.

With extreme instability, any storm that goes up will have a good
chance of producing very large hail. Surface flow today is
stronger than last couple of days along with deep layer shear
being more robust. Therefore, any surfaced based storm this
afternoon or evening will have a chance to produce a tornado with
a enhanced risk closer to the warm front/outflow, where winds will
be slightly more backed, resulting in strong low level shear.
Through 2pm, tornado threat is being mitigated by storms
interfering with each other. Going to need a storm to be more
isolated to get a longer lived tor this afternoon/evening.

Also ran with a flash flood watch through Fri afternoon with
several rounds of storms expected and grounds already saturated.
Should also see rivers continue to flood along with additional
rivers going into flood.

As the overnight hours progresses the more widespread convection
should push east and northeast on the better 850-700mb moisture.
Storms still look like a good bet for Fri as the upper wave takes
its time lifting across KS. What is left of the dryline looks to
still linger along the SW fringes of the forecast area by Fri
afternoon and may provide a focus. In addition, large scale lift
will be much better than the last few days which may allow storms
to more freely develop in the very unstable airmass. Severe storms
will be possible with any storms that develop Fri.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 221 PM CDT Thu May 26 2016

By 18z Sat, the upper wave will be lifting over northeast KS
which will push the better convective chances north and east of
the forecast area. Still not out of the question to get some
storms to develop late Sat night across the southern and southwest
portions of the forecast area as the better 850mb moisture starts
to roll back to the northeast. Confidence in rain chances starting
Sun is very low as we get broad sw flow aloft. While both GFS and
ECMWF agree on a northern stream shortwave tracking across the
northern Plains, they disagree on the timing, with the ECMWF
faster compared to the GFS which leads to low confidence. There is
still some suggestion that a weak impulse will track across
OK/southern KS Mon into Mon evening which may result in some
elevated rain chances.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1123 PM CDT Thu May 26 2016

Main Aviation Hazards: Stratus potential late tonight/early
Friday, and thunderstorms tonight and Friday afternoon/night.

Quasi-linear thunderstorm complex extending from northeast KS
through south-central KS...moving eastward at 30-35 mph as of
0425Z. This line should reach the CNU terminal between 0700Z-
0830Z given present movement. Will carry TEMPO +TSRA with strong
wind gusts at CNU for this line. Post-QLCS lightning strikes and
gusty outflow winds will continue for about an hour or two behind
this line, affecting the ICT and SLN terminals.

Otherwise, a very moist east-southeasterly boundary layer flow
aided by recent widespread heavy rainfall, should lead to low
stratus development across most of the area Friday morning. The
stratus should gradually lift and scatter out around midday. More
chances for thunderstorms will occur later Friday
afternoon/evening, as an upper trough lifts slowly out over Kansas
from the west.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    66  80  61  81 / 100  40  30  10
Hutchinson      65  80  59  81 / 100  40  30  10
Newton          63  79  61  80 / 100  50  40  10
ElDorado        67  78  62  80 /  80  50  40  10
Winfield-KWLD   66  80  63  82 /  60  40  30  10
Russell         59  81  57  79 /  60  40  30  10
Great Bend      57  81  57  79 /  70  40  30  10
Salina          60  80  58  80 / 100  50  40  20
McPherson       62  80  59  80 / 100  50  40  10
Coffeyville     67  77  65  81 /  40  50  40  10
Chanute         68  76  65  81 /  50  50  50  30
Iola            67  76  64  80 /  60  60  50  30
Parsons-KPPF    67  77  65  81 /  40  50  40  20

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flash Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for KSZ032-033-
047>053-067>069-082-083.

&&

SHORT TERM...RBL
LONG TERM...RBL
AVIATION...JMC
Hazardous weather outlook, May 26, 10:06 PM CDT, 3 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1006 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-280315-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
1006 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS,
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NUMEROUS STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS INTO THE FLINT HILLS OVERNIGHT.
THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND ISOLATED LARGE
HAIL OCCURRENCES EARLY OVERNIGHT...WITH LOCALLY TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL RATES AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL FROM ANY STORMS TONIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. SEE LATEST FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR ADDITIONAL
DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT WITH HAIL UP TO GOLFBALL-SIZED
AND 60 TO 70 MPH WINDS.

THERE REMAINS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRIMARILY ACROSS
SOUTHEAST KANSAS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT THAT MAY PRODUCE
SMALL HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS. THE GREATER THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL WOULD BE AREA WIDE FROM SUNDAY THRU TUESDAY. STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED.

GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD...PLEASE CHECK LATER
OUTLOOKS FOR UPDATED INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT. HOWEVER ANY
REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER...FLOODING...AND HEAVY RAINFALL
MEASUREMENTS WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 27, 12:20 AM CDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1220 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

KSZ069-070-093-094-098-270615-
CHAUTAUQUA KS-ELK KS-GREENWOOD KS-BUTLER KS-COWLEY KS-
1220 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  WESTERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
  WESTERN ELK COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
  SOUTHWESTERN GREENWOOD COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
  BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  COWLEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 115 AM CDT

* AT 1217 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR EL
  DORADO TO 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DOUGLASS TO NEAR ARKANSAS CITY...AND
  MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  EL DORADO...ARKANSAS CITY...WINFIELD...ANDOVER...AUGUSTA...
  ROSE HILL...DOUGLASS...TOWANDA...BENTON...UDALL...LEON...
  CEDAR VALE...BURDEN...DEXTER...GRENOLA...ATLANTA...LATHAM...
  ROSALIA...ROCK AND CAMBRIDGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE.

THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. LISTEN FOR
LATER STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS...SHOULD THE RISK FOR
MINOR LOW-LAND FLOODING BECOME MORE IMMINENT.

&&

LAT...LON 3748 9712 3781 9713 3793 9645 3750 9637
      3700 9641 3700 9714
TIME...MOT...LOC 0517Z 262DEG 25KT 3780 9692 3746 9692 3700 9702

JAKUB
Local storm report, May 27, 12:23 AM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1223 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1220 AM     FLOOD            MCPHERSON               38.37N 97.66W
05/27/2016                   MCPHERSON          KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS WATER OVER NORTHVIEW ROAD AS WELL
            4 ROADS IN WINDOM AND OTHERS IN THE COUNTY.

&&

VJP
Special weather statement, May 27, 12:56 AM CDT, 37 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1256 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

KSZ069>071-093>095-098-099-270700-
WOODSON KS-CHAUTAUQUA KS-ELK KS-WILSON KS-GREENWOOD KS-BUTLER KS-
COWLEY KS-MONTGOMERY KS-
1256 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  WOODSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
  CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
  ELK COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
  WILSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
  GREENWOOD COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...
  SOUTHEASTERN BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  EASTERN COWLEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  WESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...

* UNTIL 200 AM CDT

* AT 1253 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HAMILTON
  TO 10 MILES EAST OF LATHAM TO 8 MILES SOUTH OF DEXTER...AND MOVING
  EAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  INDEPENDENCE...EUREKA...NEODESHA...FREDONIA...CANEY...
  YATES CENTER...SEDAN...HOWARD...CEDAR VALE...ALTOONA...MOLINE...
  LONGTON...ELK CITY...TORONTO...DEXTER...HAMILTON...SEVERY...
  BUFFALO...TYRO AND GRENOLA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE. THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.
&&

LAT...LON 3701 9679 3756 9660 3806 9629 3805 9596
      3804 9596 3804 9552 3798 9552 3701 9581
TIME...MOT...LOC 0553Z 278DEG 37KT 3799 9614 3754 9645 3707 9667

DARMOFAL
Local storm report, May 27, 1:10 AM CDT, 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
110 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0109 AM     HEAVY RAIN       HUTCHINSON              38.07N 97.91W
05/27/2016  M5.21 INCH       RENO               KS   PUBLIC

            TWITTER REPORT OF 5.21 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE LAST 24
            HOURS.

&&

VJP
Local storm report, May 27, 1:29 AM CDT, 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
129 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0127 AM     FLOOD            2 E BROOKVILLE          38.77N 97.83W
05/27/2016                   SALINE             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TWO INCHES OF WATER OVER OLD K-140 HIGHWAY.

&&

KED
Local storm report, May 27, 1:32 AM CDT, 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
132 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1227 AM     FLOOD            2 E BROOKVILLE          38.77N 97.83W
05/27/2016                   SALINE             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TWO INCHES OF WATER OVER OLD K-140 HIGHWAY.

&&

KED

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wichita, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 7:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTHarvey, McPherson, Reno32 min
May 26, 7:26 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTMarion49 min
May 26, 7:30 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTSaline30 min
May 26, 7:32 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTRussell43 min
May 26, 7:38 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTMcPherson52 min
May 26, 7:42 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTBarton48 min
May 26, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTBarton, Ellsworth, Reno, Rice64 min
May 26, 8:01 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTEllsworth, Lincoln44 min
May 26, 8:14 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTLincoln46 min
May 26, 8:15 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTLincoln45 min
May 26, 8:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTEllsworth, Lincoln, Saline46 min
May 26, 8:21 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTSaline24 min
May 26, 8:39 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningICTChase, Marion12 hr
May 26, 8:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTEllsworth, McPherson, Rice, Saline66 min
May 26, 9:28 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningICTEllsworth, Rice12 hr
May 26, 9:37 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTReno53 min
May 26, 9:43 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningICTChase4 hr
May 26, 9:51 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTHarper, Kingman54 min
May 26, 9:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTMcPherson, Saline26 min
May 26, 10:32 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTReno43 min
May 26, 10:46 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTSumner44 min
May 26, 10:56 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTHarvey34 min
May 26, 11:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTSedgwick30 min
May 26, 11:29 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTButler, Harvey, Sedgwick, Sumner61 min
May 27, 12:20 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTButler, Cowley55 min
May 27, 12:23 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningICTMcPherson, Saline9 hr
May 27, 12:56 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTChautauqua, Elk, Greenwood, Wilson, Woodson64 min
May 27, 1:13 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningICTChase5 hr
May 27, 1:33 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTMcPherson39 hr
May 27, 1:33 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTSaline65 hr
May 27, 2:11 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTMarion53 hr
May 27, 2:11 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTChase, Lyon67 hr
May 27, 2:59 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningICTHarvey30 hr
May 27, 7:03 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningICTChase, Marion27 hr
May 27, 8:39 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTChase3 days
May 27, 9:14 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningICTMcPherson, Saline24 hr
May 27, 9:22 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningICTRice72 hr
May 27, 10:12 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningICTReno71 hr
May 27, 11:31 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTReno, Rice6 days
May 27, 2:10 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTSumner65 min
May 27, 2:23 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTHarper67 min
May 27, 2:46 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTHarvey59 min
May 27, 2:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTSumner57 min
May 27, 3:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTHarper, Sumner34 min
May 27, 3:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTSedgwick40 min
May 27, 3:20 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTHarvey55 min
May 27, 3:21 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTButler54 min
May 27, 3:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTSumner42 min
May 27, 3:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTHarvey54 min
May 27, 3:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTHarvey, Reno36 min
May 27, 3:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTSumner26 min
May 27, 3:50 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTKingman25 min
May 27, 3:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTKingman, Sedgwick25 min
May 27, 4:06 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTMarion54 min
May 27, 4:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTButler, Cowley, Sedgwick, Sumner66 min
May 27, 4:11 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTSumner34 min
May 27, 4:15 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningICTMcPherson15 hr
May 27, 4:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTSedgwick29 min
May 27, 4:20 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningICTSumner18 hr
May 27, 4:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTHarper20 min
May 27, 4:38 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningICTButler, Cowley, Sedgwick, Sumner18 hr
May 27, 4:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTCowley, Sumner28 min
May 27, 5:02 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTKingman43 min
May 27, 5:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTButler, Cowley42 min
May 27, 5:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTMarion27 min
May 27, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTButler, Greenwood50 min
May 27, 5:26 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTLincoln34 min
May 27, 5:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTSumner26 min
May 27, 5:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTLincoln, Russell36 min
May 27, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTRussell25 min
May 27, 6:27 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementICTCowley63 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Kansas, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.