Severe Thunderstorm Warning 24, NWS Fort Worth, TX

518 
WWUS54 KFWD 090010
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
610 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

TXC193-090019-
/O.CAN.KFWD.SV.W.0024.000000T0000Z-160309T0045Z/
HAMILTON TX-
610 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL HAMILTON COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA.  THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3209 9747 3206 9749 3202 9749 3201 9748
      3201 9745 3203 9743 3199 9741 3198 9738
      3193 9744 3190 9738 3187 9739 3185 9734
      3168 9767 3171 9769 3167 9777 3183 9788
TIME...MOT...LOC 0009Z 228DEG 22KT 3179 9770 

$$

TXC035-090045-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0024.000000T0000Z-160309T0045Z/
BOSQUE TX-
610 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CST
FOR CENTRAL BOSQUE COUNTY...

AT 609 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CLIFTON...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

THIS SEVERE STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MERIDIAN STATE PARK AROUND 620 PM CST. 
  CLIFTON AROUND 625 PM CST. 
  MERIDIAN AROUND 630 PM CST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3209 9747 3206 9749 3202 9749 3201 9748
      3201 9745 3203 9743 3199 9741 3198 9738
      3193 9744 3190 9738 3187 9739 3185 9734
      3168 9767 3171 9769 3167 9777 3183 9788
TIME...MOT...LOC 0009Z 228DEG 22KT 3179 9770 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

DUNN

882 
WWUS54 KFWD 090026
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
626 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

TXC035-090035-
/O.CAN.KFWD.SV.W.0024.000000T0000Z-160309T0045Z/
BOSQUE TX-
626 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL BOSQUE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  HOWEVER SMALL HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3209 9747 3206 9749 3202 9749 3201 9748
      3201 9745 3203 9743 3199 9741 3198 9738
      3193 9744 3190 9738 3187 9739 3185 9734
      3168 9767 3171 9769 3167 9777 3183 9788
TIME...MOT...LOC 0023Z 232DEG 26KT 3186 9759 

$$

DUNN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
406 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

.DISCUSSION...
THE MCS THAT CHARGED INTO NORTH TEXAS THIS MORNING IS NOW EXITING
INTO EAST TEXAS...LEAVING SUBSIDENCE IN ITS WAKE. EVEN WITH THIS
DOWNGLIDE WORKING AGAINST ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...SUNSHINE HAS
HELPED TEMPERATURES REBOUND FROM THE RAIN-COOLED 50S INTO THE 60S
AND EVEN 70S. DESPITE MUCAPE VALUES SOARING OVER 1000 J/KG THIS
AFTERNOON IN AREAS WEST OF I-35...THE ONLY CONVECTIVE INITIATION
HAS BEEN IN OUR SOUTHWESTERN ZONES WHERE CONVERGENCE HAS BEEN
MAXIMIZED ALONG A SOUTHWARD MOVING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. THIS BOUNDARY
WILL SOON INTERACT WITH EVEN MORE UNSTABLE AIR ACROSS BELL
COUNTY...WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR 80F WITH DEW POINTS AS HIGH
AS 70F. THE WINDOW FOR ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE INITIATION WILL
CLOSE AT NIGHTFALL...BUT SOME ONGOING ACTIVITY WILL LINGER INTO
THE EVENING HOURS. ELSEWHERE...ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY
THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...WITH WEAK SUBSIDENCE AND NO CLEAR
SURFACE FOCUS.

THE UPPER LOW IS CONTINUING ITS EQUATORWARD TRAJECTORY. DESPITE
FEW PREVIOUS EVENTS TO SUPPORT THIS...THE ECMWF TAKES THE CENTER
OF THE 500MB LOW INTO AGUASCALIENTES BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IN THE
MEANTIME...THIS WILL INDUCE INCREASINGLY DIFFLUENT FLOW ACROSS
TEXAS...WITH AN ANOMALOUSLY STRONG FETCH OF MOISTURE FROM DEEP
INTO THE TROPICAL LATITUDES. AS THE NEXT IMPULSE SWINGS INTO THE
LONE STAR STATE TONIGHT...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL
SURGE INTO CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN
EFFECT FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM CAMERON...TO
CORSICANA...TO PARIS...WHERE PW VALUES WILL APPROACH RECORD VALUES
FOR MARCH. THE EVENTUAL RAINFALL TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL VARY
CONSIDERABLY ACROSS OUR REGION...FROM 1/4 INCH THE NORTHWEST TO
OVER 3 INCHES WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. THE MOST EXTRAORDINARY
RAINFALL DURING THE EVENT WILL BE EAST OF OUR CWA.

THE SEVERE THREAT TONIGHT WILL BE PRIMARILY DAMAGING WINDS IN
SOUTHERN ZONES...WHERE THE ACTIVITY MAY BE ABLE TO TAP INTO THE
SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY WITHIN THE BOUNDARY LAYER. IF SURFACE-
BASED CONVECTION DOMINATES IN SOUTH TEXAS...THIS THREAT WOULD BE
MORE LIMITED. THE NAM IS INSISTENT ON DEVELOPING A SURFACE LOW
ATTENDANT WITH THE MOST INTENSE CONVECTION...TRACKING IT THROUGH
CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS. IF THIS TRANSPIRES...THERE WILL BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR NOCTURNAL TORNADOES AS SURFACE INFLOW WINDS BACK.
THIS WOULD BE GENERALLY SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM TEMPLE TO ATHENS.

A COLD FRONT WILL INVADE ON WEDNESDAY...SHUTTING OFF MUCH OF THE
SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY. BUT WITH THE LOW NOW CUT OFF FROM THE
MID-LATITUDE FLOW...RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK AS THE FEATURE SLOWLY DRIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST. THE NEXT
BIG EVENT LOOKS TO BE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...AS THE UPPER
LOW APPROACHES...INDUCING UPGLIDE OVER THE COOL SURFACE LAYER.
THIS WILL BE PRIMARILY A HEAVY RAIN EVENT...WITH FLASH FLOODING
AND WORSENING RIVER FLOODING THE PRIMARY CONCERNS.

THE UPPER LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT HEADS INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
SATURDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH ANOTHER PACIFIC SYSTEM MAY TRACK DIRECTLY
OVER NORTH TEXAS ON SUNDAY...IT APPEARS THIS WILL HAVE LITTLE
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH. A DRYING WEST WIND WILL DOMINATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...AND SUNSHINE SHOULD PUSH TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE
70S. DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL PREVAIL EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

25

&&

.AVIATION...
WE SHOULD SEE A BIT OF A BREAK IN THE RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE PREVAILS. HOWEVER...OVERCAST
CIGS OSCILLATING BETWEEN VFR AND MVFR CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
REST OF THE AFTERNOON WITH A CHAOTIC SKY IN PLACE FROM PREVIOUS
CONVECTION.

THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST HINGES ON A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY AT
THIS POINT...BEGINNING WITH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE
IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY DEVELOP LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT IF STORMS DO DEVELOP...THEY WILL BE CAPABLE OF
BECOMING SEVERE. HOWEVER...EVEN IF THIS ACTIVITY DEVELOPS....IT
DOES APPEAR THAT IT SHOULD REMAIN WEST OF THE TAF SITES. THIS
POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
HOURS AND TAFS WILL BE AMENDED IF NECESSARY.

THE NEXT FORECAST CHALLENGE IS OUR NEXT WAVE OF WIDESPREAD RAIN
AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL BE ENCROACHING ON THE AREA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. IT APPEARS A SWATH OF OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION WITH
STRONG ISENTROPIC ASCENT AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL PROMOTE
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AND THUNDERSTORMS...FIRST SPREADING INTO
CENTRAL TEXAS AFTER MIDNIGHT AND THEN INTO THE METROPLEX TAF SITES
BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. HAVE PREVAILED VCTS AND INCLUDE TEMPO
MENTION OF TSRA DURING THIS TIME FRAME. IN ADDITION...DEPENDING ON
THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW OVERNIGHT...WINDS MAY QUICKLY SHIFT
FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTHEAST TO NORTH TO WEST IN THE SPAN OF A FEW
HOURS IF THE SURFACE LOW PASSES JUST SOUTH OF THE DFW AREA.
OTHERWISE...RAIN IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF ONCE AGAIN BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

STALLEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  61  70  57  67  54 /  90  70  20  40  60
WACO, TX              60  71  57  67  53 / 100  70  30  50  60
PARIS, TX             60  69  57  67  52 /  80  90  50  50  60
DENTON, TX            59  69  56  67  53 /  80  70  20  40  60
MCKINNEY, TX          60  69  56  67  53 /  80  70  20  40  60
DALLAS, TX            62  71  58  68  55 /  90  70  20  40  60
TERRELL, TX           61  70  56  68  54 /  90  80  30  50  50
CORSICANA, TX         62  71  59  69  55 / 100  80  40  50  50
TEMPLE, TX            61  71  56  67  53 / 100  70  30  50  60
MINERAL WELLS, TX     58  70  53  65  52 /  80  70  20  40  60

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR TXZ095-105>107-
121>123-135-146>148-160>162-174-175.

&&

25/25

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
300 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-091215-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
300 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
WHILE A LULL IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CAN BE EXPECTED FOR MOST
AREAS THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THERE IS A SMALL
CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AS LOW LEVEL MOIST AIR RETURNS NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL TEXAS. THUNDERSTORMS
WOULD PRIMARILY POSE A LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT...BUT
TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT SHOULD ANY SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP.

THE NEXT WAVE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE
LATE TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE LIKELY WHICH MAY RESULT IN
FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG...WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS. HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER
ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

STALLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
408 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MALAKOFF                32.17N  96.02W
03/08/2016                   HENDERSON          TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN. ROOF DAMAGE TO A
            HOME IN DOWNTOWN MALAKOFF.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
415 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 PM     HAIL             CORYELL CITY            31.55N  97.62W
03/08/2016  M0.88 INCH       CORYELL            TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            NICKEL TO DIME HAIL COVERING THE GROUND IN CORYELL CITY
            ON FM 929.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
452 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SW GRAPEVINE          32.91N  97.10W
03/08/2016                   TARRANT            TX   PUBLIC

            DELAYED REPORT - NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS TREE DAMAGE IN
            GRAPEVINE JUST WEST OF 121/360 SPLIT. TIME RADAR
            ESTIMATED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
510 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S BENBROOK            32.67N  97.45W
03/08/2016                   TARRANT            TX   PUBLIC

            DELAYED REPORT - DAMAGE TO BENBROOK MARINA RELAYED VIA
            TWITTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
515 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0509 PM     HAIL             15 NE LOMETA            31.38N  98.20W
03/08/2016  E1.75 INCH       LAMPASAS           TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORT OF GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL 5 MILES SSW OF
            EVANT, TX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
541 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     HAIL             IRELAND                 31.57N  97.97W
03/08/2016  M1.25 INCH       CORYELL            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL IN IRELAND.