Severe Thunderstorm Warning 22, NWS Fort Worth, TX

139 
WWUS54 KFWD 082242
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
442 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

TXC193-281-333-082330-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160308T2330Z/
LAMPASAS TX-HAMILTON TX-MILLS TX-
442 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CST
FOR CENTRAL LAMPASAS...SOUTH CENTRAL HAMILTON AND SOUTHEASTERN MILLS
COUNTIES...

AT 441 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 13 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF EVANT...OR 20 MILES NORTH OF LAMPASAS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LOMETA...
FM 581...
FM 1047.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3143 9840 3154 9822 3147 9818 3146 9818
      3124 9802 3109 9830 3109 9844
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 222DEG 20KT 3132 9828 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DUNN

767 
WWUS54 KFWD 082302
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
502 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

TXC193-281-333-082330-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160308T2330Z/
LAMPASAS TX-HAMILTON TX-MILLS TX-
502 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CST
FOR CENTRAL LAMPASAS...SOUTH CENTRAL HAMILTON AND EAST CENTRAL MILLS
COUNTIES...

AT 502 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR EVANT...OR 19
MILES SOUTH OF HAMILTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ADAMSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3143 9840 3154 9822 3147 9818 3146 9818
      3127 9805 3115 9830 3121 9840
TIME...MOT...LOC 2302Z 226DEG 23KT 3142 9818 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DUNN

186 
WWUS54 KFWD 082319
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
519 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

TXC193-281-333-082328-
/O.CAN.KFWD.SV.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160308T2330Z/
LAMPASAS TX-HAMILTON TX-MILLS TX-
519 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL LAMPASAS AND EAST
CENTRAL MILLS COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
HAS MOVED JUST TO THE EAST OF THE EVANT AREA.

LAT...LON 3143 9840 3154 9822 3147 9818 3146 9818
      3127 9805 3115 9830 3121 9840
TIME...MOT...LOC 2317Z 232DEG 24KT 3149 9808 

$$

DUNN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
406 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

.DISCUSSION...
THE MCS THAT CHARGED INTO NORTH TEXAS THIS MORNING IS NOW EXITING
INTO EAST TEXAS...LEAVING SUBSIDENCE IN ITS WAKE. EVEN WITH THIS
DOWNGLIDE WORKING AGAINST ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...SUNSHINE HAS
HELPED TEMPERATURES REBOUND FROM THE RAIN-COOLED 50S INTO THE 60S
AND EVEN 70S. DESPITE MUCAPE VALUES SOARING OVER 1000 J/KG THIS
AFTERNOON IN AREAS WEST OF I-35...THE ONLY CONVECTIVE INITIATION
HAS BEEN IN OUR SOUTHWESTERN ZONES WHERE CONVERGENCE HAS BEEN
MAXIMIZED ALONG A SOUTHWARD MOVING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. THIS BOUNDARY
WILL SOON INTERACT WITH EVEN MORE UNSTABLE AIR ACROSS BELL
COUNTY...WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR 80F WITH DEW POINTS AS HIGH
AS 70F. THE WINDOW FOR ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE INITIATION WILL
CLOSE AT NIGHTFALL...BUT SOME ONGOING ACTIVITY WILL LINGER INTO
THE EVENING HOURS. ELSEWHERE...ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY
THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...WITH WEAK SUBSIDENCE AND NO CLEAR
SURFACE FOCUS.

THE UPPER LOW IS CONTINUING ITS EQUATORWARD TRAJECTORY. DESPITE
FEW PREVIOUS EVENTS TO SUPPORT THIS...THE ECMWF TAKES THE CENTER
OF THE 500MB LOW INTO AGUASCALIENTES BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IN THE
MEANTIME...THIS WILL INDUCE INCREASINGLY DIFFLUENT FLOW ACROSS
TEXAS...WITH AN ANOMALOUSLY STRONG FETCH OF MOISTURE FROM DEEP
INTO THE TROPICAL LATITUDES. AS THE NEXT IMPULSE SWINGS INTO THE
LONE STAR STATE TONIGHT...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL
SURGE INTO CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN
EFFECT FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM CAMERON...TO
CORSICANA...TO PARIS...WHERE PW VALUES WILL APPROACH RECORD VALUES
FOR MARCH. THE EVENTUAL RAINFALL TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL VARY
CONSIDERABLY ACROSS OUR REGION...FROM 1/4 INCH THE NORTHWEST TO
OVER 3 INCHES WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. THE MOST EXTRAORDINARY
RAINFALL DURING THE EVENT WILL BE EAST OF OUR CWA.

THE SEVERE THREAT TONIGHT WILL BE PRIMARILY DAMAGING WINDS IN
SOUTHERN ZONES...WHERE THE ACTIVITY MAY BE ABLE TO TAP INTO THE
SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY WITHIN THE BOUNDARY LAYER. IF SURFACE-
BASED CONVECTION DOMINATES IN SOUTH TEXAS...THIS THREAT WOULD BE
MORE LIMITED. THE NAM IS INSISTENT ON DEVELOPING A SURFACE LOW
ATTENDANT WITH THE MOST INTENSE CONVECTION...TRACKING IT THROUGH
CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS. IF THIS TRANSPIRES...THERE WILL BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR NOCTURNAL TORNADOES AS SURFACE INFLOW WINDS BACK.
THIS WOULD BE GENERALLY SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM TEMPLE TO ATHENS.

A COLD FRONT WILL INVADE ON WEDNESDAY...SHUTTING OFF MUCH OF THE
SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY. BUT WITH THE LOW NOW CUT OFF FROM THE
MID-LATITUDE FLOW...RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK AS THE FEATURE SLOWLY DRIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST. THE NEXT
BIG EVENT LOOKS TO BE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...AS THE UPPER
LOW APPROACHES...INDUCING UPGLIDE OVER THE COOL SURFACE LAYER.
THIS WILL BE PRIMARILY A HEAVY RAIN EVENT...WITH FLASH FLOODING
AND WORSENING RIVER FLOODING THE PRIMARY CONCERNS.

THE UPPER LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT HEADS INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
SATURDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH ANOTHER PACIFIC SYSTEM MAY TRACK DIRECTLY
OVER NORTH TEXAS ON SUNDAY...IT APPEARS THIS WILL HAVE LITTLE
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH. A DRYING WEST WIND WILL DOMINATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...AND SUNSHINE SHOULD PUSH TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE
70S. DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL PREVAIL EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

25

&&

.AVIATION...
WE SHOULD SEE A BIT OF A BREAK IN THE RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE PREVAILS. HOWEVER...OVERCAST
CIGS OSCILLATING BETWEEN VFR AND MVFR CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
REST OF THE AFTERNOON WITH A CHAOTIC SKY IN PLACE FROM PREVIOUS
CONVECTION.

THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST HINGES ON A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY AT
THIS POINT...BEGINNING WITH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE
IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY DEVELOP LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT IF STORMS DO DEVELOP...THEY WILL BE CAPABLE OF
BECOMING SEVERE. HOWEVER...EVEN IF THIS ACTIVITY DEVELOPS....IT
DOES APPEAR THAT IT SHOULD REMAIN WEST OF THE TAF SITES. THIS
POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
HOURS AND TAFS WILL BE AMENDED IF NECESSARY.

THE NEXT FORECAST CHALLENGE IS OUR NEXT WAVE OF WIDESPREAD RAIN
AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL BE ENCROACHING ON THE AREA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. IT APPEARS A SWATH OF OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION WITH
STRONG ISENTROPIC ASCENT AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL PROMOTE
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AND THUNDERSTORMS...FIRST SPREADING INTO
CENTRAL TEXAS AFTER MIDNIGHT AND THEN INTO THE METROPLEX TAF SITES
BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. HAVE PREVAILED VCTS AND INCLUDE TEMPO
MENTION OF TSRA DURING THIS TIME FRAME. IN ADDITION...DEPENDING ON
THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW OVERNIGHT...WINDS MAY QUICKLY SHIFT
FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTHEAST TO NORTH TO WEST IN THE SPAN OF A FEW
HOURS IF THE SURFACE LOW PASSES JUST SOUTH OF THE DFW AREA.
OTHERWISE...RAIN IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF ONCE AGAIN BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

STALLEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  61  70  57  67  54 /  90  70  20  40  60
WACO, TX              60  71  57  67  53 / 100  70  30  50  60
PARIS, TX             60  69  57  67  52 /  80  90  50  50  60
DENTON, TX            59  69  56  67  53 /  80  70  20  40  60
MCKINNEY, TX          60  69  56  67  53 /  80  70  20  40  60
DALLAS, TX            62  71  58  68  55 /  90  70  20  40  60
TERRELL, TX           61  70  56  68  54 /  90  80  30  50  50
CORSICANA, TX         62  71  59  69  55 / 100  80  40  50  50
TEMPLE, TX            61  71  56  67  53 / 100  70  30  50  60
MINERAL WELLS, TX     58  70  53  65  52 /  80  70  20  40  60

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR TXZ095-105>107-
121>123-135-146>148-160>162-174-175.

&&

25/25

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
300 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-091215-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
300 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
WHILE A LULL IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CAN BE EXPECTED FOR MOST
AREAS THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THERE IS A SMALL
CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AS LOW LEVEL MOIST AIR RETURNS NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL TEXAS. THUNDERSTORMS
WOULD PRIMARILY POSE A LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT...BUT
TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT SHOULD ANY SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP.

THE NEXT WAVE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE
LATE TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE LIKELY WHICH MAY RESULT IN
FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG...WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS. HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER
ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

STALLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
240 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNE HURST             32.85N  97.14W
03/08/2016                   TARRANT            TX   PUBLIC

            DELAYED REPORT - WIND DAMAGE TO L.D. BELL HIGH SCHOOL IN
            HURST RELAYED VIA TWITTER FROM PUBLIC. TIME ESTIMATED
            830AM.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
251 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 AM     FLOOD            WACO                    31.55N  97.15W
03/08/2016                   MCLENNAN           TX   PUBLIC

            DELAYED REPORT - PUBLIC REPORT OF 1800-2900 BLOCK OF
            FRANKLIN IN WACO IMPASSABLE DUE TO FLOODING AROUND
            1115AM.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
316 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0307 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 E JUSTIN              33.08N  97.27W
03/08/2016                   DENTON             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SWIFT WATER RESCUE ON FM 407 WHERE DENTON CREEK HAS
            FLOODED THE ROAD. OCCUPANT RESCUED ABOUT 100 YARDS WEST
            OF THE MAIN ROAD.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
335 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1235 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MALAKOFF                32.17N  96.02W
03/08/2016                   HENDERSON          TX   PUBLIC

            DELAYED REPORT - WIND DAMAGE IN DOWNTOWN MALAKOFF
            RECEIVED FROM PUBLIC VIA TWITTER. TIME IS RADAR
            ESTIMATED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
408 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MALAKOFF                32.17N  96.02W
03/08/2016                   HENDERSON          TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN. ROOF DAMAGE TO A
            HOME IN DOWNTOWN MALAKOFF.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
415 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 PM     HAIL             CORYELL CITY            31.55N  97.62W
03/08/2016  M0.88 INCH       CORYELL            TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            NICKEL TO DIME HAIL COVERING THE GROUND IN CORYELL CITY
            ON FM 929.