Flash Flood Warning 4, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
525 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

.AVIATION...
AN MCS LOCATED JUST THIS SIDE OF KDYS WILL CONTINUE EAST INTO THE
DALLAS-FORT WORTH AREA THIS MORNING...REACHING METROPLEX TAF SITES
14-15Z. SIMILAR TIMING IS EXPECTED IN THE WACO AREA BASED ON THE
NORTH-TO-SOUTH ORIENTATION OF THE LINE OF CONVECTION. HI-RES MODEL
DATA DOES INDICATE SOME SLOWING-DOWN OF THE LINE AS IT REACHES
AREA TAF SITES THIS MORNING...SO WE WILL INCLUDE A 3-HOUR TEMPO
GROUP FOR THUNDER DURING THE 14-17Z TIME FRAME. SUBSIDENCE ON THE
BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD ALLOW FOR A BREAK IN THE CONVECTION
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ANY DRY-LINE ACTIVITY WHICH MAY DEVELOP LIKELY
REMAINING WEST OF THE REGION.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING AS ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE ROTATES AROUND THE EAST SIDE OF THE LARGE UPPER LOW OVER
MEXICO. ACTIVITY SHOULD BEGIN TO AFFECT THE KACT AREA AROUND
09/06Z...THEN LIFT NORTH INTO THE DALLAS-FORT WORTH METROPLEX
DURING THE 08-10Z TIME FRAME WEDNESDAY.

OTHERWISE...BORDERLINE IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...THEN RETURN TO THE IFR/MVFR
CATEGORIES AGAIN TONIGHT.

30

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 415 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2016/
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE UPPER BAJA PENINSULA IS DROPPING
SOUTHEASTWARD INTO MEXICO EARLY THIS MORNING AND IT WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE INTO CENTRAL MEXICO BY TONIGHT. THIS TRACK IS UNUSUALLY
FAR SOUTH FOR AN UPPER LOW TO TAKE...AND THE LACK OF A
CLIMATOLOGICAL BASIS MAKES THIS FORECASTER A LITTLE WARY ON
TRUSTING MODEL GUIDANCE ON THE CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION TODAY AND INTO
TONIGHT. WHILE THE CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON PARTICULAR SEVERE HAZARDS
IN TIME AND SPACE...IT IS CERTAIN THAT ALL OF THE SYNOPTIC
INGREDIENTS THAT PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL ARE
AVAILABLE. THE PRIMARY FORECAST CHALLENGE IS THE YET TO BE RESOLVED
MESOSCALE FEATURES WHICH WILL MAKE OR BREAK THE SEVERE POTENTIAL.

THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT MOVED THROUGH THE NORTHWESTERN ZONES
YESTERDAY EVENING IS WELL UP INTO THE MIDWEST AT THIS TIME...BUT
THE NEXT SHORTWAVE IS ALREADY MOVING THROUGH WEST TEXAS AND HAS
RESULTED IN A LINE OF STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE CONVECTION TO
THE WEST OF OUR CWA. THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...AND THERE IS HIGH
CONFIDENCE THAT IT WILL TRACK ACROSS THE REGION NORTHWEST OF A
COMANCHE TO DALLAS TO BONHAM LINE WHERE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN ARE
POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP SOUTHEAST OF THIS
LINE...BUT POPS ARE LOWER IN THIS REGION DUE TO MORE UNCERTAINTY.
THE LIKELY TRACK OF THIS MORNING/S CONVECTIVE SYSTEM WILL TAKE IT
ACROSS THE MINERAL WELLS TO SHERMAN AREA THAT SAW 3 TO 6 INCHES
OF RAIN LAST NIGHT. MORE RAIN WILL EXACERBATE FLOODING PROBLEMS
AND THEREFORE HAVE ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A BAND OF THE
COUNTIES NORTH AND WEST OF THE DFW METROPLEX THROUGH NOON. THERE
IS A LOW SEVERE THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY...BUT GIVEN THE TIME OF
DAY THIS SHOULD BE MORE OF A MARGINAL WIND/SMALL HAIL THREAT.

BY THIS AFTERNOON THE SHORTWAVE RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS MORNING/S
RAIN WILL BE MOVING OUT OF THE REGION AND SUBSIDENCE AND DRIER AIR
IN THE 700-850MB LAYER WILL SPREAD IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THIS
SUBSIDENCE MAY EVEN BE ENOUGH TO RESULT IN SOME CLEARING SKIES
ACROSS WESTERN AND SOUTHERN AREAS. HIGH TEMPS WOULD RESPOND TO THE
SUNSHINE AND COULD REACH THE MID 70S TO 80 DEGREES ACROSS THIS
PART OF THE CWA. JUST LOW TO MID 70S ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.

THE AFTERNOON FORECAST IS UNCERTAIN DUE TO CONFLICTING SIGNALS IN
THE ATMOSPHERE. ON ONE HAND...RATHER STRONG UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE
ON THE SYNOPTIC SCALE IS EXPECTED AND IT WOULD CERTAINLY SUPPRESS
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON...BUT IT WOULD BUILD UP A
TREMENDOUS AMOUNT OF SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY. MODEL GUIDANCE IS
UNANIMOUSLY SHOWING CAPE VALUES OF AT LEAST 2000 J/KG WITH SOME
INDICATING 3500 J/KG. THIS INSTABILITY WOULD BE UNCAPPED...BUT IF
THE SUBSIDENCE IS DOMINANT...CONVECTION WOULD HAVE A TOUGH TIME
FORMING. ON THE OTHER HAND...SOME OF THE HI-RES GUIDANCE SHOWS
MESOSCALE FEATURES WHICH COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED UPWARD FORCING
THAT WOULD ALLOW THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. ONE OF THESE MAY BE A
DRY LINE THAT ACTUALLY MOVES UP FROM THE SOUTH FROM THE HILL
COUNTRY INTO THE SOUTHWEST ZONES TODAY. THIS IS CERTAINLY NOT A
NORMAL OCCURRENCE HERE AND IS ATTRIBUTED TO THE UNUSUAL SOUTHERLY
TRACK OF THE UPPER LOW. THE SECOND FEATURE OF INTEREST IS FORECAST
BY THE RAP...WHICH SUGGESTS THIS MORNING/S CONVECTION WILL LEAVE
AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SOMEWHERE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST ZONES. STRONG
SOUTH WINDS IN THE LOW LEVELS WOULD INDUCE STRONG WARM ADVECTION
AND LIFT OVER THE TOP OF THIS BOUNDARY AND COULD RESULT IN
CONVECTIVE INITIATION. IF ANY STORMS DEVELOP ALL FACETS OF SEVERE
WEATHER WOULD BE POSSIBLE DUE TO THE HIGH INSTABILITY AND DEEP
SHEAR. THE MOST LIKELY REGION WHERE AFTERNOON STORMS WOULD DEVELOP
IS WEST OF I-35...BUT DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE/COVERAGE WILL KEEP
AFTERNOON POPS AT 30 PERCENT OR LESS.

UPPER LEVEL FORCING WILL INCREASE DRAMATICALLY OVER THE REGION
TONIGHT AS THE NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE REGION FROM
THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST. THERE WILL BE A LOT OF INSTABILITY OVER NORTH
AND CENTRAL TEXAS...BUT ALSO IN SOUTH TEXAS. CONVECTION WILL
LIKELY FORM ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS FIRST THIS EVENING...WITH A
DOWNWIND PROPAGATING MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM LIKELY FORMING
AND TRACKING NORTHEAST OR NORTH-NORTHEAST. THE TRACK OF THIS MCS
WOULD LIKELY BRING IT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN ZONES
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE MAIN
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WITH THIS MCS WOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS BUT IF
WINDS DO BACK TO THE EAST AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW IN
CENTRAL TEXAS...EMBEDDED TORNADOES WOULD BE POSSIBLE. USUALLY
WHEN VIGOROUS CONVECTION DEVELOPS IN SOUTH TEXAS...THE CONVECTION
ACROSS NORTH TEXAS TENDS TO STRUGGLE. SO WHILE WIDESPREAD RAIN
AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM AND TRACK THROUGH THE AREA NORTH
OF A COMANCHE TO TERRELL LINE...THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL
SHOULD BE MORE LIMITED ACROSS THE NORTHERN CWA. AGAIN THIS PART
OF THE FORECAST ALL HINGES ON THE DEVELOPMENT AND TRACK OF THE
SOUTHERN TEXAS MCS THIS EVENING...SO WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH TRENDS
CLOSELY. RAINFALL TONIGHT IS FORECAST TO BE HIGHEST IN THE
SOUTHEAST ZONES WHERE 2-4 INCHES IS LIKELY...AND 1-3 INCHES IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE EASTERN ZONES. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE
EAST AND SOUTHEAST ZONES WILL CONTINUE AS IS. THE REMAINDER OF THE
CWA WILL ONLY SEE 1-2 INCHES OF RAIN TONIGHT WITH RAINFALL RATES
LOW ENOUGH TO MITIGATE FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS.

RAIN AND EMBEDDED STORMS SHOULD END FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY AS
THIS SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OUT OF THE REGION. HAVE DROPPED POPS
TO SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A GOOD PART OF THE CWA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND NIGHT DUE TO SUBSIDENCE AND VIGOROUS CONVECTION OCCURRING EAST
AND SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION WHICH WILL ALSO STABILIZE OUR AREA.
MEANWHILE A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE CWA AND STALL
ACROSS THE I-35 CORRIDOR. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE A LITTLE COOLER DUE
TO CLOUDS AND DAMP CONDITIONS...WHILE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PROVIDE
SOME COLD ADVECTION TO THE WESTERN PART OF THE CWA FOR COOLER LOW
TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID 50S.

ON THURSDAY THE UPPER LOW WILL BEGIN TO HEAD NORTH OUT OF MEXICO
AND EASTERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE MID LEVELS. THIS WILL RESULT
IN ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE AND A SWATH OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED STORMS
WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.
HAVE SIDED WITH THE ECMWF FOR THE RAIN FORECAST THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY OVER THE OTHER MODELS AS IT HAS BEEN VERY CONSISTENT WITH
THIS SYSTEM OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS AND IS PERFORMING WELL. HIGHEST
RAIN CHANCES WILL OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...WITH RAIN
COMING TO AN END FRIDAY NIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL 1-2 INCHES OF RAIN
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ROUND.

ANY LINGERING SHOWERS WILL END SATURDAY MORNING AS THE UPPER LOW
MOVES OVER AND OUT OF THE REGION. DRY CONDITIONS WITH WARM
TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY SOUTH WINDS WILL PREVAIL SUNDAY AND
MONDAY.

TR.92

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  75  59  68  57  66 /  90  90  70  20  40
WACO, TX              78  59  70  57  67 /  60 100  70  20  50
PARIS, TX             71  60  68  59  68 /  70  80  90  60  50
DENTON, TX            73  58  67  57  64 / 100  80  70  20  40
MCKINNEY, TX          71  59  67  57  66 /  90  80  70  20  40
DALLAS, TX            74  59  68  58  66 /  90  90  70  20  40
TERRELL, TX           72  60  68  58  69 /  70  90  80  30  50
CORSICANA, TX         75  61  68  59  70 /  70 100  80  40  50
TEMPLE, TX            80  59  70  57  68 /  50 100  70  30  50
MINERAL WELLS, TX     77  56  68  55  63 /  90  80  50  20  40

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
FOR TXZ095-105>107-121>123-135-146>148-160>162-174-175.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR TXZ091>093-101>103-
116-117.

&&

30/92

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
419 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-091030-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
419 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH TONIGHT. ONE ROUND OF STORMS WILL OCCUR TODAY AS A
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX MOVES EAST ACROSS THE AREA. SOME OF THESE
STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH QUARTER TO HALF-DOLLAR SIZED HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY
OVER AREAS WHICH RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL MONDAY EVENING.

THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF ADDITIONAL ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACROSS WESTERN
PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS. IF THESE STORMS DO DEVELOP...LARGE HAIL
DAMAGING WINDS AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO WOULD BE POSSIBLE.

ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN AND STORMS IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WOULD BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY TO THE
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM GOLDTHWAITE TO HILLSBORO TO CANTON. OTHERWISE
THE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING COULD OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE AREA.
A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG...WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT OVER ALL
OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
503 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

TXZ100-115-129-081200-
STEPHENS TX-EASTLAND TX-YOUNG TX-
503 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTLAND...WESTERN YOUNG AND
STEPHENS COUNTIES UNTIL 600 AM CST...

AT 502 AM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ALBANY TO NEAR MORAN TO
NEAR CROSS PLAINS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BRECKENRIDGE...EASTLAND...CISCO...OLNEY...RANGER...GORMAN...RISING STAR...
NECESSITY...GUNSIGHT...CRYSTAL FALLS...NEWCASTLE...CARBON AND US-
180 NEAR THE SHACKELFORD-STEPHENS COUNTY LINE.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 324 AND 359.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CST FOR
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3295 9910 3296 9895 3340 9895 3340 9875
      3292 9857 3252 9858 3251 9854 3228 9856
      3208 9893 3208 9912
TIME...MOT...LOC 1102Z 240DEG 30KT 3273 9932 3247 9912 3217 9918

30

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
607 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

TXZ100-081245-
YOUNG TX-
607 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR YOUNG COUNTY UNTIL 645 AM CST...

AT 606 AM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
GRAHAM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GRAHAM...OLNEY AND NEWCASTLE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CST FOR
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3340 9895 3339 9842 3295 9843 3296 9895
TIME...MOT...LOC 1206Z 210DEG 38KT 3304 9865

30

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
621 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

TXZ142-144-081300-
MILLS TX-BOSQUE TX-
621 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MILLS COUNTY UNTIL 700 AM CST...

AT 621 AM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
MULLIN...OR 21 MILES SOUTHEAST OF EARLY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GOLDTHWAITE AND MULLIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CST FOR
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3161 9878 3169 9876 3172 9850 3167 9845
      3194 9796 3203 9799 3189 9787 3187 9790
      3193 9796 3167 9844 3141 9827 3123 9856
      3127 9863 3133 9859 3137 9865 3135 9871
      3143 9873 3138 9878 3141 9878 3147 9900
TIME...MOT...LOC 1221Z 232DEG 53KT 3154 9867

30

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
626 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

TXZ116-081315-
PALO PINTO TX-
626 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PALO PINTO COUNTY UNTIL 715 AM
CST...

AT 625 AM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 14
MILES SOUTH OF GRAFORD...OR 15 MILES WEST OF MINERAL WELLS...MOVING
EAST AT 45 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MINERAL WELLS...GRAFORD...GORDON...POSSUM KINGDOM STATE PARK...STRAWN AND
MINGUS.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 368 AND 389.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CST FOR
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3295 9858 3295 9843 3301 9843 3300 9806
      3251 9807 3251 9857
TIME...MOT...LOC 1225Z 250DEG 37KT 3275 9834

30

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
632 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

TXZ130-141-081330-
COMANCHE TX-ERATH TX-
632 AM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR COMANCHE AND ERATH COUNTIES UNTIL
730 AM CST...

AT 631 AM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR GORDON TO 10 MILES
EAST OF ZEPHYR...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
STEPHENVILLE...COMANCHE...DUBLIN...DE LEON...GUSTINE...HUCKABAY AND MORGAN
MILL.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 364 AND 368.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CST FOR
NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3230 9847 3251 9847 3251 9807 3209 9786
      3192 9820 3184 9816 3169 9846 3172 9850
      3170 9867 3208 9892
TIME...MOT...LOC 1231Z 244DEG 17KT 3249 9840 3173 9862

30