Severe Thunderstorm Warning 23, NWS Fort Worth, TX

035 
WWUS54 KFWD 082313
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
513 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

TXC099-193-090000-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160309T0000Z/
HAMILTON TX-CORYELL TX-
513 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST
FOR CENTRAL HAMILTON AND NORTHWESTERN CORYELL COUNTIES...

AT 513 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER EVANT...OR 15
MILES SOUTH OF HAMILTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
CENTRAL HAMILTON AND NORTHWESTERN CORYELL COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3190 9792 3159 9770 3132 9808 3146 9818
      3144 9822 3171 9826
TIME...MOT...LOC 2313Z 223DEG 19KT 3148 9814 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DUNN

215 
WWUS54 KFWD 082329
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
529 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

TXC099-193-090000-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160309T0000Z/
HAMILTON TX-CORYELL TX-
529 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON AND NORTHWESTERN CORYELL COUNTIES...

AT 527 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHEAST
OF EVANT...OR 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HAMILTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
25 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT WIND 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
IRELAND.
JONESBORO.
PANCAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3179 9786 3159 9770 3135 9804 3148 9815
      3152 9816 3164 9814
TIME...MOT...LOC 2327Z 226DEG 24KT 3154 9802 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DUNN

841 
WWUS54 KFWD 082347
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
547 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

TXC099-193-090000-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160309T0000Z/
HAMILTON TX-CORYELL TX-
547 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON AND NORTHWESTERN CORYELL COUNTIES...

AT 545 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTH OF
CRANFILLS GAP...OR 15 MILES EAST OF HAMILTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... 
JONESBORO.
HIGHWAY 36 BETWEEN WHITEWAY AND JONESBORO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3179 9786 3159 9770 3143 9793 3152 9805
      3159 9809 3168 9806
TIME...MOT...LOC 2345Z 220DEG 26KT 3164 9790 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DUNN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
406 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

.DISCUSSION...
THE MCS THAT CHARGED INTO NORTH TEXAS THIS MORNING IS NOW EXITING
INTO EAST TEXAS...LEAVING SUBSIDENCE IN ITS WAKE. EVEN WITH THIS
DOWNGLIDE WORKING AGAINST ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...SUNSHINE HAS
HELPED TEMPERATURES REBOUND FROM THE RAIN-COOLED 50S INTO THE 60S
AND EVEN 70S. DESPITE MUCAPE VALUES SOARING OVER 1000 J/KG THIS
AFTERNOON IN AREAS WEST OF I-35...THE ONLY CONVECTIVE INITIATION
HAS BEEN IN OUR SOUTHWESTERN ZONES WHERE CONVERGENCE HAS BEEN
MAXIMIZED ALONG A SOUTHWARD MOVING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. THIS BOUNDARY
WILL SOON INTERACT WITH EVEN MORE UNSTABLE AIR ACROSS BELL
COUNTY...WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR 80F WITH DEW POINTS AS HIGH
AS 70F. THE WINDOW FOR ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE INITIATION WILL
CLOSE AT NIGHTFALL...BUT SOME ONGOING ACTIVITY WILL LINGER INTO
THE EVENING HOURS. ELSEWHERE...ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY
THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...WITH WEAK SUBSIDENCE AND NO CLEAR
SURFACE FOCUS.

THE UPPER LOW IS CONTINUING ITS EQUATORWARD TRAJECTORY. DESPITE
FEW PREVIOUS EVENTS TO SUPPORT THIS...THE ECMWF TAKES THE CENTER
OF THE 500MB LOW INTO AGUASCALIENTES BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IN THE
MEANTIME...THIS WILL INDUCE INCREASINGLY DIFFLUENT FLOW ACROSS
TEXAS...WITH AN ANOMALOUSLY STRONG FETCH OF MOISTURE FROM DEEP
INTO THE TROPICAL LATITUDES. AS THE NEXT IMPULSE SWINGS INTO THE
LONE STAR STATE TONIGHT...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL
SURGE INTO CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN
EFFECT FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM CAMERON...TO
CORSICANA...TO PARIS...WHERE PW VALUES WILL APPROACH RECORD VALUES
FOR MARCH. THE EVENTUAL RAINFALL TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL VARY
CONSIDERABLY ACROSS OUR REGION...FROM 1/4 INCH THE NORTHWEST TO
OVER 3 INCHES WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. THE MOST EXTRAORDINARY
RAINFALL DURING THE EVENT WILL BE EAST OF OUR CWA.

THE SEVERE THREAT TONIGHT WILL BE PRIMARILY DAMAGING WINDS IN
SOUTHERN ZONES...WHERE THE ACTIVITY MAY BE ABLE TO TAP INTO THE
SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY WITHIN THE BOUNDARY LAYER. IF SURFACE-
BASED CONVECTION DOMINATES IN SOUTH TEXAS...THIS THREAT WOULD BE
MORE LIMITED. THE NAM IS INSISTENT ON DEVELOPING A SURFACE LOW
ATTENDANT WITH THE MOST INTENSE CONVECTION...TRACKING IT THROUGH
CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS. IF THIS TRANSPIRES...THERE WILL BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR NOCTURNAL TORNADOES AS SURFACE INFLOW WINDS BACK.
THIS WOULD BE GENERALLY SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM TEMPLE TO ATHENS.

A COLD FRONT WILL INVADE ON WEDNESDAY...SHUTTING OFF MUCH OF THE
SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY. BUT WITH THE LOW NOW CUT OFF FROM THE
MID-LATITUDE FLOW...RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK AS THE FEATURE SLOWLY DRIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST. THE NEXT
BIG EVENT LOOKS TO BE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...AS THE UPPER
LOW APPROACHES...INDUCING UPGLIDE OVER THE COOL SURFACE LAYER.
THIS WILL BE PRIMARILY A HEAVY RAIN EVENT...WITH FLASH FLOODING
AND WORSENING RIVER FLOODING THE PRIMARY CONCERNS.

THE UPPER LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT HEADS INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
SATURDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH ANOTHER PACIFIC SYSTEM MAY TRACK DIRECTLY
OVER NORTH TEXAS ON SUNDAY...IT APPEARS THIS WILL HAVE LITTLE
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH. A DRYING WEST WIND WILL DOMINATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...AND SUNSHINE SHOULD PUSH TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE
70S. DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL PREVAIL EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

25

&&

.AVIATION...
WE SHOULD SEE A BIT OF A BREAK IN THE RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE PREVAILS. HOWEVER...OVERCAST
CIGS OSCILLATING BETWEEN VFR AND MVFR CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
REST OF THE AFTERNOON WITH A CHAOTIC SKY IN PLACE FROM PREVIOUS
CONVECTION.

THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST HINGES ON A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY AT
THIS POINT...BEGINNING WITH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE
IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY DEVELOP LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT IF STORMS DO DEVELOP...THEY WILL BE CAPABLE OF
BECOMING SEVERE. HOWEVER...EVEN IF THIS ACTIVITY DEVELOPS....IT
DOES APPEAR THAT IT SHOULD REMAIN WEST OF THE TAF SITES. THIS
POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
HOURS AND TAFS WILL BE AMENDED IF NECESSARY.

THE NEXT FORECAST CHALLENGE IS OUR NEXT WAVE OF WIDESPREAD RAIN
AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL BE ENCROACHING ON THE AREA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. IT APPEARS A SWATH OF OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION WITH
STRONG ISENTROPIC ASCENT AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL PROMOTE
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AND THUNDERSTORMS...FIRST SPREADING INTO
CENTRAL TEXAS AFTER MIDNIGHT AND THEN INTO THE METROPLEX TAF SITES
BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. HAVE PREVAILED VCTS AND INCLUDE TEMPO
MENTION OF TSRA DURING THIS TIME FRAME. IN ADDITION...DEPENDING ON
THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW OVERNIGHT...WINDS MAY QUICKLY SHIFT
FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTHEAST TO NORTH TO WEST IN THE SPAN OF A FEW
HOURS IF THE SURFACE LOW PASSES JUST SOUTH OF THE DFW AREA.
OTHERWISE...RAIN IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF ONCE AGAIN BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

STALLEY

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  61  70  57  67  54 /  90  70  20  40  60
WACO, TX              60  71  57  67  53 / 100  70  30  50  60
PARIS, TX             60  69  57  67  52 /  80  90  50  50  60
DENTON, TX            59  69  56  67  53 /  80  70  20  40  60
MCKINNEY, TX          60  69  56  67  53 /  80  70  20  40  60
DALLAS, TX            62  71  58  68  55 /  90  70  20  40  60
TERRELL, TX           61  70  56  68  54 /  90  80  30  50  50
CORSICANA, TX         62  71  59  69  55 / 100  80  40  50  50
TEMPLE, TX            61  71  56  67  53 / 100  70  30  50  60
MINERAL WELLS, TX     58  70  53  65  52 /  80  70  20  40  60

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR TXZ095-105>107-
121>123-135-146>148-160>162-174-175.

&&

25/25

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
300 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-091215-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
300 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
WHILE A LULL IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CAN BE EXPECTED FOR MOST
AREAS THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THERE IS A SMALL
CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AS LOW LEVEL MOIST AIR RETURNS NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL TEXAS. THUNDERSTORMS
WOULD PRIMARILY POSE A LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT...BUT
TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT SHOULD ANY SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP.

THE NEXT WAVE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE
LATE TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE LIKELY WHICH MAY RESULT IN
FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG...WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS. HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER
ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

STALLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
251 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 AM     FLOOD            WACO                    31.55N  97.15W
03/08/2016                   MCLENNAN           TX   PUBLIC

            DELAYED REPORT - PUBLIC REPORT OF 1800-2900 BLOCK OF
            FRANKLIN IN WACO IMPASSABLE DUE TO FLOODING AROUND
            1115AM.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
316 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0307 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 E JUSTIN              33.08N  97.27W
03/08/2016                   DENTON             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SWIFT WATER RESCUE ON FM 407 WHERE DENTON CREEK HAS
            FLOODED THE ROAD. OCCUPANT RESCUED ABOUT 100 YARDS WEST
            OF THE MAIN ROAD.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
335 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1235 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MALAKOFF                32.17N  96.02W
03/08/2016                   HENDERSON          TX   PUBLIC

            DELAYED REPORT - WIND DAMAGE IN DOWNTOWN MALAKOFF
            RECEIVED FROM PUBLIC VIA TWITTER. TIME IS RADAR
            ESTIMATED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
408 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MALAKOFF                32.17N  96.02W
03/08/2016                   HENDERSON          TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN. ROOF DAMAGE TO A
            HOME IN DOWNTOWN MALAKOFF.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
415 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 PM     HAIL             CORYELL CITY            31.55N  97.62W
03/08/2016  M0.88 INCH       CORYELL            TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            NICKEL TO DIME HAIL COVERING THE GROUND IN CORYELL CITY
            ON FM 929.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
452 PM CST TUE MAR 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SW GRAPEVINE          32.91N  97.10W
03/08/2016                   TARRANT            TX   PUBLIC

            DELAYED REPORT - NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS TREE DAMAGE IN
            GRAPEVINE JUST WEST OF 121/360 SPLIT. TIME RADAR
            ESTIMATED.