Alert archive / North Dakota / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Bismarck, ND

July 10, 2016Dickey County, LaMoure County, North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this special weather statement at Jul 10, 2016, 11:58 PM CDT for Dickey County, LaMoure County, North Dakota. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 10, 2016, 11:58 PM CDT (04:58 UTC)
Expired: Jul 11, 2016, 12:30 AM CDT
In force: 32 min
Issued by: NWS Bismarck, ND

Counties Dickey County, ND, LaMoure County, ND

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1848 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -98 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1509 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 265 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.2
Supercell composite: 4.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 10, 9:44 PM CDT, 2 hours 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 10, 9:44 PM CDT, 2 hours 14 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
944 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 944 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Cancelled severe thunderstorm watch 368 across southwestern ND and
cancelled the watch for the northwestern counties. Currently have
a line of severe thunderstorms pushing through central ND that has
produced 60 to 70 mph winds. Watch 369 is scheduled to end at 11
pm CDT and will likely have to be extended in time for eastern
counties. Otherwise, made some adjustments to pops to account for
current trends.

UPDATE Issued at 700 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

All of western and central ND is under a severe thunderstorm watch
through late evening. Severe thunderstorms are ongoing across the
west with very large hail and damaging winds. Significant damage
in Amidon earlier with 2.75 inch size hail reported. Current
thinking is that the storms will organize into an MCS and progress
across the state, which we are beginning to see with a distinct line
of storms just moving through KDIK, which had a 51 knot gust.
Large hail and strong winds would remain the biggest threats. HRRR
brings this line through Bismarck by 9 pm, but timing may change
as line accelerates.

Also cancelled heat advisory across far south central.

UPDATE Issued at 430 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Update to cancel the heat advisory for the southern James river
valley. Clouds kept temperatures from rising into the 90s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Robust upper level low across the northwest Conus will move
east and approach the northern plains this period. A line of
thunderstorms has formed along a cold frontal boundary in eastern
Montana and southwest North Dakota. To the east warm and humid air
will push the heat index above 100 south central early this
evening.

Overnight it appears the threat for thunderstorms will be highest
across the north and west with lower pops south central where it
will take longer to erode the elevated mixed layer and cap.
The threat for severe weather will however extend south to the
south dakota border as the cape and shear are very favorable.
Precipitable water will support some heavy rain potential across
portions of northwest north dakota this evening and possibly east
late tonight.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Main concerns in the long term will be an anomalous h500 low
forecast to move across northern north dakota into southern canada
by wednesday. Global models look consistent in bringing strong
wrap around winds monday evening and overnight into tuesday
morning. Bufkit soundings show strong wind potential with wind
advisory criteria likely met with a low end warning criteria not
out if the question southwest monday night into tuesday.

will not issue wind headlines yet but will highlight in the
hazardous weather outlook.

the remainder of teh week will be cooler behind the upper upper
low however with a Northwest flow regime there will be at least
chances for thunderstorms through sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 700 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Thunderstorms remain the main threat through tonight. KDIK just
had 51 knot gust and 1/4 mile visible, which should improve
shortly as the storms push east. This same line will impact KBIS
by 02Z and KJMS approximately 04Z.

&&

.BIS Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...JNS
SHORT TERM...WAA
LONG TERM...WAA
AVIATION...JNS

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 10, 11:01 PM CDT, 57 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1101 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

NDZ025-037-047-048-050-051-120415-
FOSTER-STUTSMAN-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
1101 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH
DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH POSSIBLE LATE
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO FORWARD ANY SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-031>036-040>046-120415-
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-SLOPE-
HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-
1101 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016 /1001 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PERIODS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...A FEW STORMS MAY
BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND
VERY HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH POSSIBLE LATE
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO FORWARD ANY SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 10, 10:10 PM CDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1010 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1009 PM     TSTM WND GST     LINTON                  46.27N 100.23W
07/10/2016  E50 MPH          EMMONS             ND   PUBLIC

            .

&&

MM

Local storm report, Jul 10, 10:18 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1018 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1011 PM     TSTM WND GST     STEELE                  46.86N 99.92W
07/10/2016  E65 MPH          KIDDER             ND   PUBLIC

            .

&&

MM

Local storm report, Jul 10, 10:26 PM CDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1026 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1023 PM     HAIL             2 W BOWDON              47.47N 99.74W
07/10/2016  E1.00 INCH       WELLS              ND   PUBLIC

            .

&&

MM

Local storm report, Jul 10, 11:21 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1121 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1110 PM     TSTM WND GST     10 W JAMESTOWN          46.91N  98.92W
07/10/2016  M58 MPH          STUTSMAN           ND   MESONET

            NORTH DAKOTA STATE UNIVERSITY NDAWN OBSERVATION SITE.

&&

JP MARTIN

Local storm report, Jul 10, 11:50 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1150 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 PM     TSTM WND GST     YPSILANTI               46.79N 98.56W
07/10/2016  E60 MPH          STUTSMAN           ND   PUBLIC

            TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

MM

Special weather statement, Jul 10, 11:58 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1158 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

NDZ037-048-050-051-110530-
STUTSMAN ND-DICKEY ND-MCINTOSH ND-LA MOURE ND-
1158 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN
STUTSMAN...DICKEY...LAMOURE AND EASTERN MCINTOSH COUNTIES UNTIL 1230
AM CDT...

AT 1157 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES EAST OF LITCHVILLE TO 4 MILES
NORTH OF ELM LAKE. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 45 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OAKES...ELLENDALE...EDGELEY...LAMOURE...KULM...FORBES...DICKEY...
AND MERRICOURT.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK SHELTER
INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4594 9927 4628 9907 4629 9904 4633 9904
      4674 9879 4671 9844 4663 9844 4663 9804
      4593 9801
TIME...MOT...LOC 0457Z 288DEG 37KT 4662 9801 4595 9867

HARGROVE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 10, 7:01 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	BIS	Stark	3 hr
Jul 10, 7:26 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Burke	49 min
Jul 10, 7:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Adams, Grant, Hettinger, Morton, Sioux, Stark	58 min
Jul 10, 7:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Mercer, Oliver	47 min
Jul 10, 7:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	McLean, Mercer, Oliver	65 min
Jul 10, 8:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burleigh, Emmons, Grant, Morton, Sioux	62 min
Jul 10, 8:36 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	BIS	Burleigh, Morton	3 hr
Jul 10, 8:54 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	McHenry, McLean, Sheridan	51 min
Jul 10, 9:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Renville	40 min
Jul 10, 9:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burleigh, Emmons, Kidder, Logan, McIntosh, Morton and 1 more	56 min
Jul 10, 9:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Pierce, Sheridan, Wells	44 min
Jul 10, 10:00 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	BIS	Burleigh, Emmons, Kidder, Logan, McIntosh	19 hr
Jul 10, 10:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Foster, Sheridan, Wells	57 min
Jul 10, 10:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Emmons, Kidder, Logan, McIntosh, Stutsman	34 min
Jul 10, 10:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Dickey, Foster, Kidder, LaMoure, Logan, McIntosh and 1 more	61 min
Jul 10, 11:19 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	BIS	Foster, Stutsman	3 hr
Jul 10, 11:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Adams, Bowman	67 min
Jul 11, 12:12 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Adams, Hettinger	63 min
Jul 11, 12:17 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Emmons	43 min
Jul 11, 12:27 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Emmons, Sioux	63 min
Jul 11, 12:43 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Grant	32 min
Jul 11, 12:55 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Grant, Sioux	65 min
Jul 11, 1:04 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Grant, Morton	35 min
Jul 11, 1:40 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Emmons, Logan	35 min
Jul 11, 1:50 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Emmons	55 min
Jul 11, 1:52 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Emmons, Morton, Sioux	23 min
Jul 11, 2:01 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Dickey	44 min
Jul 11, 2:41 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Emmons, Logan, McIntosh	64 min
Jul 11, 3:45 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Dickey, LaMoure, McIntosh	45 min
Jul 11, 3:58 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Emmons	32 min
Jul 11, 4:21 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Emmons, Logan	24 min
Jul 11, 4:51 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Logan	24 min
Jul 11, 5:33 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Emmons, Logan	27 min
Jul 11, 7:25 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	BIS	Dickey, LaMoure	3 hr
Jul 11, 10:08 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	BIS	Dickey	27 hr
Jul 11, 1:09 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Logan	36 min
Jul 11, 2:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Grant	34 min
Jul 11, 3:10 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Sioux	50 min
Jul 11, 3:36 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Morton	24 min
Jul 11, 3:49 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Morton	41 min
Jul 11, 4:03 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Morton, Sioux	42 min
Jul 11, 4:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Sioux	47 min
Jul 11, 5:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Emmons, Kidder, Logan	48 min
Jul 11, 5:37 PM CDT	Wind Advisory	BIS	Adams, Billings, Bowman, Dunn, Golden Valley, Hettinger and 3 more	4 hr
Jul 11, 5:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Wells	24 min
Jul 11, 6:16 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Foster, Kidder, Logan, McIntosh, Stutsman, Wells	44 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in North Dakota, 2016 Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.