Severe Thunderstorm Warning 132, NWS Bismarck, ND

110 
WWUS53 KBIS 110346
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1046 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

NDC029-043-047-051-093-110400-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0132.000000T0000Z-160711T0400Z/
KIDDER ND-STUTSMAN ND-LOGAN ND-MCINTOSH ND-EMMONS ND-
1046 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN KIDDER...WESTERN STUTSMAN...LOGAN...MCINTOSH AND EASTERN
EMMONS COUNTIES...

AT 1045 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES SOUTH OF CARRINGTON TO NEAR VENTURIA...MOVING
EAST AT 50 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
EASTERN KIDDER...WESTERN STUTSMAN...LOGAN...MCINTOSH AND EASTERN
EMMONS COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS: CRYSTAL
SPRINGS... BEAVER LAKE STATE PARK...EDMUNDS...FREDONIA...LAKE
WILLIAMS...CHASE LAKE... BURNSTAD...WINDSOR...DANZIG AND GREEN LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAIN IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4731 9967 4733 9893 4663 9897 4663 9904
      4629 9904 4628 9900 4595 9901 4595 10015
TIME...MOT...LOC 0345Z 271DEG 43KT 4729 9919 4597 9952 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

SIMOSKO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
944 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 944 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Cancelled severe thunderstorm watch 368 across southwestern ND and
cancelled the watch for the northwestern counties. Currently have
a line of severe thunderstorms pushing through central ND that has
produced 60 to 70 mph winds. Watch 369 is scheduled to end at 11
pm CDT and will likely have to be extended in time for eastern
counties. Otherwise, made some adjustments to pops to account for
current trends.

UPDATE Issued at 700 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

All of western and central ND is under a severe thunderstorm watch
through late evening. Severe thunderstorms are ongoing across the
west with very large hail and damaging winds. Significant damage
in Amidon earlier with 2.75 inch size hail reported. Current
thinking is that the storms will organize into an MCS and progress
across the state, which we are beginning to see with a distinct line
of storms just moving through KDIK, which had a 51 knot gust.
Large hail and strong winds would remain the biggest threats. HRRR
brings this line through Bismarck by 9 pm, but timing may change
as line accelerates.

Also cancelled heat advisory across far south central.

UPDATE Issued at 430 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Update to cancel the heat advisory for the southern James river
valley. Clouds kept temperatures from rising into the 90s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Robust upper level low across the northwest Conus will move
east and approach the northern plains this period. A line of
thunderstorms has formed along a cold frontal boundary in eastern
Montana and southwest North Dakota. To the east warm and humid air
will push the heat index above 100 south central early this
evening.

Overnight it appears the threat for thunderstorms will be highest
across the north and west with lower pops south central where it
will take longer to erode the elevated mixed layer and cap.
The threat for severe weather will however extend south to the
south dakota border as the cape and shear are very favorable.
Precipitable water will support some heavy rain potential across
portions of northwest north dakota this evening and possibly east
late tonight.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Main concerns in the long term will be an anomalous h500 low
forecast to move across northern north dakota into southern canada
by wednesday. Global models look consistent in bringing strong
wrap around winds monday evening and overnight into tuesday
morning. Bufkit soundings show strong wind potential with wind
advisory criteria likely met with a low end warning criteria not
out if the question southwest monday night into tuesday.

will not issue wind headlines yet but will highlight in the
hazardous weather outlook.

the remainder of teh week will be cooler behind the upper upper
low however with a Northwest flow regime there will be at least
chances for thunderstorms through sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 700 PM CDT Sun Jul 10 2016

Thunderstorms remain the main threat through tonight. KDIK just
had 51 knot gust and 1/4 mile visible, which should improve
shortly as the storms push east. This same line will impact KBIS
by 02Z and KJMS approximately 04Z.

&&

.BIS Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...JNS
SHORT TERM...WAA
LONG TERM...WAA
AVIATION...JNS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
647 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-120000-
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
647 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016 /547 PM MDT SUN JUL 10 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE REGION
THROUGH LATE EVENING. VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...HEAVY
RAIN...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH POSSIBLE LATE
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO FORWARD ANY SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

JNS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
946 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

NDZ012-013-021>023-025-110330-
MCHENRY ND-PIERCE ND-WELLS ND-FOSTER ND-MCLEAN ND-SHERIDAN ND-
946 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SHERIDAN...NORTHEASTERN
MCLEAN...SOUTHWESTERN PIERCE...SOUTHERN MCHENRY...WESTERN FOSTER AND
WELLS COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM CDT...

AT 944 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR SAWYER TO 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF ANAMOOSE TO
9 MILES SOUTH OF GOODRICH. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 35 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CARRINGTON...HARVEY...MCCLUSKY...VELVA...FESSENDEN...DRAKE...
ANAMOOSE...GOODRICH...HURDSFIELD...KARLSRUHE...MARTIN...BUTTE...
BALTA...CATHAY...BOWDON...SYKESTON...HEIMDAL AND BREMEN.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK SHELTER
INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
NORTH CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4824 9984 4802 9985 4802 9981 4785 9981
      4784 9929 4767 9930 4767 9927 4759 9927
      4759 9914 4733 9912 4733 10054 4769 10078
      4785 10102 4785 10097 4802 10097 4802 10102
      4811 10101 4832 10020
TIME...MOT...LOC 0244Z 254DEG 32KT 4811 10097 4791 10014 4734 10008

HARGROVE/KING

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
953 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0927 PM     TSTM WND GST     6 ENE BREIEN            46.42N 100.82W
07/10/2016  E60 MPH          MORTON             ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TORRENTIAL RAIN

&&

MMATHEWS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
957 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0955 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NE BISMARCK           46.83N 100.76W
07/10/2016  U1.42 INCH       BURLEIGH           ND   CO-OP OBSERVER

            RAIN FELL IN 50 MINUTES.

&&

MM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1010 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1009 PM     TSTM WND GST     LINTON                  46.27N 100.23W
07/10/2016  E50 MPH          EMMONS             ND   PUBLIC

            .

&&

MM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1018 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1011 PM     TSTM WND GST     STEELE                  46.86N 99.92W
07/10/2016  E65 MPH          KIDDER             ND   PUBLIC

            .

&&

MM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1026 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1023 PM     HAIL             2 W BOWDON              47.47N 99.74W
07/10/2016  E1.00 INCH       WELLS              ND   PUBLIC

            .

&&

MM