Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 155

May 10, 2015Howard County, Little River County, Sevier County, Arkansas; 74 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 10, 2015, 10:19 AM CDT for Howard County, Little River County, Sevier County, Arkansas; 74 counties in Texas. It was in force for 13 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2015, 10:19 AM CDT (15:19 UTC)
Expired
May 10, 2015, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
13 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 77 counties

Howard County, AR, Little River County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Anderson County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bell County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Brown County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Camp County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comal County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Concho County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hays County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Menard County, TX, Milam County, TX, Mills County, TX, Morris County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Real County, TX, Red River County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Smith County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Titus County, TX, Travis County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wise County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

68 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 10:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho, McCulloch, Menard51 min
May 10, 10:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTKimble, Mason, Menard38 min
May 10, 10:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Dallas, Kaufman, Rockwall41 min
May 10, 10:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown, Coleman, McCulloch, San Saba49 min
May 10, 11:04 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDCollin, Dallas, Fannin, Grayson3 hr
May 10, 11:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown42 min
May 10, 12:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCooke, Denton, Wise43 min
May 10, 12:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTKimble, Menard, Schleicher, Sutton45 min
May 10, 12:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMcCulloch32 min
May 10, 12:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDWise5 hr
May 10, 12:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTKimble, Menard16 min
May 10, 1:13 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDCooke, Denton10 hr
May 10, 1:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDenton, Parker, Tarrant, Wise63 min
May 10, 1:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown, San Saba31 min
May 10, 1:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDGrayson6 hr
May 10, 2:02 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDDenton28 min
May 10, 2:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDMills54 min
May 10, 2:25 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDDenton35 min
May 10, 2:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Grayson56 min
May 10, 2:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHamilton, Lampasas, Mills65 min
May 10, 2:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDenton21 min
May 10, 3:15 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDGrayson30 min
May 10, 3:38 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDGrayson52 min
May 10, 3:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCoryell, Hamilton63 min
May 10, 3:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDGrayson24 min
May 10, 3:58 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDHamilton32 min
May 10, 4:02 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDGrayson28 min
May 10, 4:23 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDBosque, Hamilton37 min
May 10, 4:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDBosque, Hamilton64 min
May 10, 4:57 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDBosque, Hill48 min
May 10, 5:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCooke, Montague58 min
May 10, 5:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDBosque, Hill63 min
May 10, 5:40 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDBosque, Hill50 min
May 10, 5:55 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDKaufman50 min
May 10, 6:18 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVLittle River, Sevier42 min
May 10, 6:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEllis, Hill, Navarro66 min
May 10, 6:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDBosque, Hill5 hr
May 10, 6:31 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDKaufman29 min
May 10, 6:33 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDHill27 min
May 10, 6:47 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDEllis, Hill, Navarro43 min
May 10, 6:57 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDHunt, Rockwall33 min
May 10, 7:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDBosque, Hill, Limestone, McLennan, Navarro53 min
May 10, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVLittle River, Sevier42 min
May 10, 7:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEllis, Hill, Navarro67 min
May 10, 7:28 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDGrayson4 hr
May 10, 7:29 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDEllis, Navarro31 min
May 10, 7:37 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDBosque, Hill3 hr
May 10, 7:41 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDHill, Navarro49 min
May 10, 7:42 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDEllis, Navarro5 hr
May 10, 8:03 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVSevier42 min
May 10, 8:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEllis, Henderson, Kaufman, Navarro53 min
May 10, 8:33 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVHoward, Sevier38 min
May 10, 8:50 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDMcLennan3 hr
May 10, 8:55 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDVan Zandt35 min
May 10, 9:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSmith, Wood53 min
May 10, 9:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDHenderson, Kaufman, Van Zandt3 hr
May 10, 9:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEllis, Henderson, Kaufman, Navarro, Van Zandt61 min
May 10, 9:26 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVSmith, Wood29 min
May 10, 9:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHenderson, Van Zandt66 min
May 10, 10:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHempstead, Howard, Little River, Sevier39 min
May 10, 10:09 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDVan Zandt36 min
May 10, 10:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSmith, Upshur, Wood59 min
May 10, 10:19 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVHempstead, Little River26 min
May 10, 10:26 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVSmith, Wood49 min
May 10, 10:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDNavarro64 min
May 10, 10:43 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVHempstead, Howard, Little River, Sevier32 min
May 10, 10:48 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyFWDNavarro3 hr
May 10, 10:58 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDBosque, Hill, Limestone, McLennan3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 3.3 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2108 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 259 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2108 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-13 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
628 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
259 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
279 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.8
Supercell composite
14.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

565 
WWUS20 KWNS 101517
SEL5  
SPC WW 101517
TXZ000-110200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 155
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1015 AM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTH CENTRAL THROUGH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1015 AM UNTIL
  900 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
    TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELL
CLUSTERS WITH DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...AND A FEW TORNADOES
EXPECTED TO MOVE / DEVELOP GENERALLY NORTHEAST ACROSS WATCH THROUGH
THIS EVENING.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
PARIS TEXAS TO 55 MILES SOUTH OF JUNCTION TEXAS.  FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 154...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 8:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas, Grant and 6 more59 min
May 10, 2:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCleburne, Conway, Franklin, Independence, Jackson, Johnson and 4 more66 min
May 10, 6:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHoward, Little River, Polk, Sevier2 hr
May 10, 8:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Polk, Sebastian2 hr
May 10, 9:28 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Howard and 13 more6 hr
May 10, 11:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Cleburne, Conway, Dallas, Faulkner, Franklin and 26 more2 hr
May 10, 12:58 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCrawford, Franklin, Sebastian10 hr
May 10, 2:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLittle River2 hr
May 10, 5:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Cross, Faulkner and 19 more115 min
May 10, 6:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 2 more90 min
May 9, 7:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton, Eastland and 17 more56 min
May 9, 8:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDimmit, Frio, Kinney, La Salle, Maverick, Uvalde and 2 more84 min
May 9, 9:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche, Concho and 12 more2 hr
May 9, 10:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBosque, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche and 33 more10 hr
May 10, 2:06 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Callahan, Coleman, Concho, Crockett, Irion and 6 more54 min
May 10, 2:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBosque, Collin, Comanche, Coryell, Dallas, Denton and 22 more6 hr
May 10, 4:20 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Clay, Collin, Comanche and 28 more55 min
May 10, 9:49 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Blanco, Bosque, Brown, Burnet, Camp and 49 more2 hr
May 10, 12:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Clay, Montague2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2015Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.