Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 155
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 10, 2015, 10:19 AM CDT for Howard County, Little River County, Sevier County, Arkansas; 74 counties in Texas. It was in force for 13 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 10, 2015, 10:19 AM CDT (15:19 UTC)
- Expired
- May 10, 2015, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 13 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 77 counties
Howard County, AR, Little River County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Anderson County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bell County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Brown County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Camp County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comal County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Concho County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hays County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Menard County, TX, Milam County, TX, Mills County, TX, Morris County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Real County, TX, Red River County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Smith County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Titus County, TX, Travis County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wise County, TX, Wood County, TX
The radar
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 60%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 80%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
68 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 10:24 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Concho, McCulloch, Menard | 51 min |
| May 10, 10:37 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Kimble, Mason, Menard | 38 min |
| May 10, 10:53 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Collin, Dallas, Kaufman, Rockwall | 41 min |
| May 10, 10:56 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Brown, Coleman, McCulloch, San Saba | 49 min |
| May 10, 11:04 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Collin, Dallas, Fannin, Grayson | 3 hr |
| May 10, 11:48 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Brown | 42 min |
| May 10, 12:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Cooke, Denton, Wise | 43 min |
| May 10, 12:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Kimble, Menard, Schleicher, Sutton | 45 min |
| May 10, 12:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | McCulloch | 32 min |
| May 10, 12:45 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Wise | 5 hr |
| May 10, 12:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Kimble, Menard | 16 min |
| May 10, 1:13 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Cooke, Denton | 10 hr |
| May 10, 1:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Denton, Parker, Tarrant, Wise | 63 min |
| May 10, 1:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Brown, San Saba | 31 min |
| May 10, 1:56 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Grayson | 6 hr |
| May 10, 2:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Denton | 28 min |
| May 10, 2:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Mills | 54 min |
| May 10, 2:25 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Denton | 35 min |
| May 10, 2:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Collin, Grayson | 56 min |
| May 10, 2:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Hamilton, Lampasas, Mills | 65 min |
| May 10, 2:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Denton | 21 min |
| May 10, 3:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Grayson | 30 min |
| May 10, 3:38 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Grayson | 52 min |
| May 10, 3:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Coryell, Hamilton | 63 min |
| May 10, 3:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Grayson | 24 min |
| May 10, 3:58 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Hamilton | 32 min |
| May 10, 4:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Grayson | 28 min |
| May 10, 4:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Bosque, Hamilton | 37 min |
| May 10, 4:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Bosque, Hamilton | 64 min |
| May 10, 4:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Bosque, Hill | 48 min |
| May 10, 5:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Cooke, Montague | 58 min |
| May 10, 5:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Bosque, Hill | 63 min |
| May 10, 5:40 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Bosque, Hill | 50 min |
| May 10, 5:55 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Kaufman | 50 min |
| May 10, 6:18 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Little River, Sevier | 42 min |
| May 10, 6:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Ellis, Hill, Navarro | 66 min |
| May 10, 6:30 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Bosque, Hill | 5 hr |
| May 10, 6:31 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Kaufman | 29 min |
| May 10, 6:33 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Hill | 27 min |
| May 10, 6:47 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Ellis, Hill, Navarro | 43 min |
| May 10, 6:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Hunt, Rockwall | 33 min |
| May 10, 7:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Bosque, Hill, Limestone, McLennan, Navarro | 53 min |
| May 10, 7:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Little River, Sevier | 42 min |
| May 10, 7:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Ellis, Hill, Navarro | 67 min |
| May 10, 7:28 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Grayson | 4 hr |
| May 10, 7:29 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Ellis, Navarro | 31 min |
| May 10, 7:37 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Bosque, Hill | 3 hr |
| May 10, 7:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Hill, Navarro | 49 min |
| May 10, 7:42 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Ellis, Navarro | 5 hr |
| May 10, 8:03 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Sevier | 42 min |
| May 10, 8:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Ellis, Henderson, Kaufman, Navarro | 53 min |
| May 10, 8:33 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Howard, Sevier | 38 min |
| May 10, 8:50 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | McLennan | 3 hr |
| May 10, 8:55 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Van Zandt | 35 min |
| May 10, 9:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Smith, Wood | 53 min |
| May 10, 9:10 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Henderson, Kaufman, Van Zandt | 3 hr |
| May 10, 9:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Ellis, Henderson, Kaufman, Navarro, Van Zandt | 61 min |
| May 10, 9:26 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Smith, Wood | 29 min |
| May 10, 9:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Henderson, Van Zandt | 66 min |
| May 10, 10:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Sevier | 39 min |
| May 10, 10:09 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Van Zandt | 36 min |
| May 10, 10:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Smith, Upshur, Wood | 59 min |
| May 10, 10:19 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Little River | 26 min |
| May 10, 10:26 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Smith, Wood | 49 min |
| May 10, 10:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Navarro | 64 min |
| May 10, 10:43 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Sevier | 32 min |
| May 10, 10:48 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Navarro | 3 hr |
| May 10, 10:58 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Bosque, Hill, Limestone, McLennan | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 3.3 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2108 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -13 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 628 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 46 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 259 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 279 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 2.8
- Supercell composite
- 14.7
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
565
WWUS20 KWNS 101517
SEL5
SPC WW 101517
TXZ000-110200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 155
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1015 AM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL THROUGH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1015 AM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELL
CLUSTERS WITH DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...AND A FEW TORNADOES
EXPECTED TO MOVE / DEVELOP GENERALLY NORTHEAST ACROSS WATCH THROUGH
THIS EVENING.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
PARIS TEXAS TO 55 MILES SOUTH OF JUNCTION TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 154...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 8:46 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas, Grant and 6 more | 59 min |
| May 10, 2:39 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cleburne, Conway, Franklin, Independence, Jackson, Johnson and 4 more | 66 min |
| May 10, 6:44 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Howard, Little River, Polk, Sevier | 2 hr |
| May 10, 8:56 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crawford, Polk, Sebastian | 2 hr |
| May 10, 9:28 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Howard and 13 more | 6 hr |
| May 10, 11:25 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Cleburne, Conway, Dallas, Faulkner, Franklin and 26 more | 2 hr |
| May 10, 12:58 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian | 10 hr |
| May 10, 2:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Little River | 2 hr |
| May 10, 5:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Cross, Faulkner and 19 more | 115 min |
| May 10, 6:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Columbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 2 more | 90 min |
| May 9, 7:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Collin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton, Eastland and 17 more | 56 min |
| May 9, 8:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dimmit, Frio, Kinney, La Salle, Maverick, Uvalde and 2 more | 84 min |
| May 9, 9:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche, Concho and 12 more | 2 hr |
| May 9, 10:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche and 33 more | 10 hr |
| May 10, 2:06 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Concho, Crockett, Irion and 6 more | 54 min |
| May 10, 2:55 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Coryell, Dallas, Denton and 22 more | 6 hr |
| May 10, 4:20 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Brown, Clay, Collin, Comanche and 28 more | 55 min |
| May 10, 9:49 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Brown, Burnet, Camp and 49 more | 2 hr |
| May 10, 12:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Clay, Montague | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Texas, 2015Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.