Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 152

May 9, 201539 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 9, 2015, 10:51 PM CDT for 39 counties in Texas. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 9, 2015, 10:51 PM CDT (03:51 UTC)
Expired
May 10, 2015, 9:00 AM CDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 39 counties

Bosque County, TX, Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Concho County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Irion County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Menard County, TX, Mills County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX

The radar

The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 19 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 11:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDErath61 min
May 9, 11:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHood, Johnson, Somervell63 min
May 9, 11:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTIrion, Sterling, Tom Green41 min
May 9, 11:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Pecos, Upton53 min
May 9, 11:54 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDEastland, Erath, Hood5 hr
May 10, 12:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGlasscock, Reagan, Upton60 min
May 10, 12:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCrockett62 min
May 10, 12:34 AM CDTTornado WarningMAFPecos26 min
May 10, 12:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCoke, Irion, Runnels, Sterling, Tom Green65 min
May 10, 12:41 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFPecos, Terrell64 min
May 10, 12:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJohnson28 min
May 10, 12:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEastland, Erath, Palo Pinto55 min
May 10, 12:54 AM CDTTornado WarningMAFReagan36 min
May 10, 12:55 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDJohnson3 hr
May 10, 12:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFPecos48 min
May 10, 1:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFReagan, Upton58 min
May 10, 1:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCoke, Runnels, Taylor60 min
May 10, 1:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCrockett, Irion, Runnels, Schleicher, Tom Green55 min
May 10, 2:27 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho, Menard, Runnels, Schleicher, Tom Green48 min
May 10, 2:45 AM CDTTornado WarningSJTTaylor30 min
May 10, 2:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown, Coleman, Concho, McCulloch67 min
May 10, 3:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Shackelford68 min
May 10, 3:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Shackelford67 min
May 10, 3:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDComanche, Eastland66 min
May 10, 3:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Jones, Shackelford, Taylor46 min
May 10, 3:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown, Coleman38 min
May 10, 4:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDStephens61 min
May 10, 4:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDErath, Palo Pinto73 min
May 10, 4:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDComanche, Eastland23 min
May 10, 5:06 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDEastland, Erath, Hood4 hr
May 10, 5:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHood, Parker, Somervell62 min
May 10, 5:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho, Menard, Schleicher64 min
May 10, 5:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDTarrant48 min
May 10, 7:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHill53 min
May 10, 8:02 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFWDCollin, Dallas, Ellis, Fannin, Grayson3 hr
May 10, 8:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Dallas, Ellis, Hunt, Kaufman, Rockwall48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 3.9 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2015-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2015-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 13 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3886 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 7:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton, Eastland and 17 more56 min
May 9, 8:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDimmit, Frio, Kinney, La Salle, Maverick, Uvalde and 2 more84 min
May 9, 9:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche, Concho and 12 more2 hr
May 10, 2:06 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Callahan, Coleman, Concho, Crockett, Irion and 6 more54 min
May 10, 2:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBosque, Collin, Comanche, Coryell, Dallas, Denton and 22 more6 hr
May 10, 4:20 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Clay, Collin, Comanche and 28 more55 min
May 10, 6:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Camp, Collin, Dallas, Delta, Denton and 15 more2 hr
May 10, 9:28 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBowie, Red River6 hr
May 10, 9:49 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Blanco, Bosque, Brown, Burnet, Camp and 49 more2 hr
May 10, 10:19 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Bandera, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Bowie and 68 more13 hr
May 10, 12:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Clay, Montague2 hr
May 10, 2:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Bowie, Brown and 58 more2 hr
May 10, 6:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Bowie, Burnet, Camp, Cass, Collin and 33 more90 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.