Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2015

Flash Flood Warning 53, NWS Fort Worth, TX

May 10, 2015Ellis County, Navarro County, Texas

NWS Fort Worth, TX issued this flash flood warning at May 10, 2015, 7:42 PM CDT for Ellis County, Navarro County, Texas. It was in force for 5 hr. 7 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 10, 2015, 7:42 PM CDT (00:42 UTC)
Expired: May 11, 2015, 12:15 AM CDT
In force: 5 hr
Issued by: NWS Fort Worth, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

Counties Ellis County, TX, Navarro County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 10, 8:16 PM CDT	FLOOD	Italy, TX	REPORT OF WATER IN HOMES IN ITALY.
May 10, 8:18 PM CDT	FLASH FLOOD	Avalon, TX	STREET FLOODING REPORTED IN AVALON.
May 10, 8:33 PM CDT	FLASH FLOOD	Ennis, TX	STREET FLOODING REPORTED IN ENNIS.
May 10, 8:56 PM CDT	FLASH FLOOD	Dawson, TX	STREET FLOODING REPORTED IN DAWSON.
May 10, 9:44 PM CDT	FLASH FLOOD	Corsicana, TX	HIGH WATER RESCUES UNDERWAY IN CORSICANA AND ALONG INTERSTATE 45 SOUTH OF CORSICANA.
May 10, 10:06 PM CDT	FLASH FLOOD	Corsicana, TX	NUMEROUS STALLED CARS ON BUSINESS 45 IN CORSICANA
May 11, 12:15 AM CDT	FLOOD	5 S Ennis, TX	RESIDUAL FLOODING STILL OCCURRING ON FM985 AT MCCRADY RD, OTHERWISE EARILER FLOOD WATERS HAVE RECEDED.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 5 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 36 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 107 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1254 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -105 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1336 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 229 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 265 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.8
Supercell composite: 6.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

361 
WGUS54 KFWD 110042
FFWFWD
TXC139-349-110515-
/O.NEW.KFWD.FF.W.0053.150511T0042Z-150511T0515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
742 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  ELLIS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
  NAVARRO COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1215 AM CDT
    
* AT 739 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED FLASH FLOODING 
  IN ITALY IN SOUTHWESTERN ELLIS COUNTY.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE SPREADING ACROSS ELLIS AND NAVARRO 
COUNTIES. ALTHOUGH THE BULK OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL IMPACT NAVARRO 
COUNTY...MUCH OF ELLIS COUNTY REMAINS SOGGY FROM PREVIOUS HEAVY 
RAIN...AND ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL THERE COULD RESULT IN FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT ENTER OR CROSS FLOWING WATER OR WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. 

&&

LAT...LON 3180 9650 3181 9672 3207 9689 3205 9694
      3226 9709 3255 9709 3254 9651 3245 9650
      3241 9644 3235 9645 3230 9630 3226 9629
      3225 9624 3220 9619 3222 9615 3218 9618
      3215 9610 3210 9612 3208 9606 3201 9605

$$

25

6 follow-up statements

193 
WGUS74 KFWD 110124
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
824 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

TXC139-349-110515-
/O.CON.KFWD.FF.W.0053.000000T0000Z-150511T0515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ELLIS TX-NAVARRO TX-
824 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT FOR
ELLIS AND NAVARRO COUNTIES...

AT 820 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED FLOODED HOMES IN 
ITALY. IN ADDITION...STREET FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN AVALON. BOTH OF 
THESE COMMUNITIES ARE IN SOUTHERN ELLIS COUNTY.

FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO EXPECTED IN NAVARRO COUNTY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS...AS 
WELL AS CULVERTS...CAN BECOME UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE.

&&

LAT...LON 3180 9650 3181 9672 3207 9689 3205 9694
      3226 9709 3255 9709 3254 9651 3245 9650
      3241 9644 3235 9645 3230 9630 3226 9629
      3225 9624 3220 9619 3222 9615 3218 9618
      3215 9610 3210 9612 3208 9606 3201 9605

$$

25

063 
WGUS74 KFWD 110135
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
835 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

TXC139-349-110515-
/O.CON.KFWD.FF.W.0053.000000T0000Z-150511T0515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ELLIS TX-NAVARRO TX-
835 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT FOR
ELLIS AND NAVARRO COUNTIES...

AT 834 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED STREET FLOODING IN 
THE CITY OF ENNIS. FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO OCCURRING IN ITALY AND 
AVALON. ALL OF THESE COMMUNITIES ARE IN ELLIS COUNTY.

FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO EXPECTED IN NAVARRO COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 3180 9650 3181 9672 3207 9689 3205 9694
      3226 9709 3255 9709 3254 9651 3245 9650
      3241 9644 3235 9645 3230 9630 3226 9629
      3225 9624 3220 9619 3222 9615 3218 9618
      3215 9610 3210 9612 3208 9606 3201 9605

$$

25

204 
WGUS74 KFWD 110202
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
902 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

TXC139-349-110515-
/O.CON.KFWD.FF.W.0053.000000T0000Z-150511T0515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ELLIS TX-NAVARRO TX-
902 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT FOR
ELLIS AND NAVARRO COUNTIES...

AT 859 PM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED FLASH FLOODING IN THE 
TOWN OF DAWSON IN SOUTHERN NAVARRO COUNTY. IN ADDITION...A TRAINED 
SPOTTER REPORTED FLOODING AT THE INTERSECTION OF STATE HIGHWAY 31 
AND BUSINESS 45. THIS IS A SIGNIFICANT INTERSECTION IN THE CENTER OF 
CORSICANA...ALSO KNOWN AS THE INTERSECTION OF 7TH STREET AND 7TH 
AVENUE.

IN ELLIS COUNTY...FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES IN ENNIS...ITALY...AND 
AVALON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3180 9650 3181 9672 3207 9689 3205 9694
      3226 9709 3255 9709 3254 9651 3245 9650
      3241 9644 3235 9645 3230 9630 3226 9629
      3225 9624 3220 9619 3222 9615 3218 9618
      3215 9610 3210 9612 3208 9606 3201 9605

$$

25

530 
WGUS74 KFWD 110239
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
939 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

TXC139-349-110515-
/O.CON.KFWD.FF.W.0053.000000T0000Z-150511T0515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ELLIS TX-NAVARRO TX-
939 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT FOR
ELLIS AND NAVARRO COUNTIES...

AT 935 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED TWO STALLED CARS ON STATE 
HIGHWAY 31...ALSO KNOWN AS 7TH AVENUE...IN THE CITY OF CORSICANA. 
THIS IS AT ITS INTERSECTION WITH BUSINESS 45...ALSO KNOWN AS 7TH 
STREET.

STREET FLOODING CONTINUES IN ENNIS...ITALY...AND AVALON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3180 9650 3181 9672 3207 9689 3205 9694
      3226 9709 3255 9709 3254 9651 3245 9650
      3241 9644 3235 9645 3230 9630 3226 9629
      3225 9624 3220 9619 3222 9615 3218 9618
      3215 9610 3210 9612 3208 9606 3201 9605

$$

25

141 
WGUS74 KFWD 110317
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1017 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

TXC139-349-110515-
/O.CON.KFWD.FF.W.0053.000000T0000Z-150511T0515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ELLIS TX-NAVARRO TX-
1017 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT FOR
ELLIS AND NAVARRO COUNTIES...

AT 1011 PM CDT...NUMEROUS ROADS WERE FLOODED ACROSS ELLIS AND 
NAVARRO COUNTIES. IN ADDITION...THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXTREMELY HEAVY 
RAIN WILL ONLY EXACERBATE FLOODING. PEOPLE LIVING IN LOW LYING AREAS 
MAY START TO SEE FLOODING IN THEIR HOMES. TAKE ACTION NOW IF YOUR
HOME IS SUBJECT TO FLOODING.  


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3180 9650 3181 9672 3207 9689 3205 9694
      3226 9709 3255 9709 3254 9651 3245 9650
      3241 9644 3235 9645 3230 9630 3226 9629
      3225 9624 3220 9619 3222 9615 3218 9618
      3215 9610 3210 9612 3208 9606 3201 9605

$$

25

053 
WGUS74 KFWD 110327 CCA
FFSFWD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1027 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

TXC139-349-110515-
/O.COR.KFWD.FF.W.0053.000000T0000Z-150511T0515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ELLIS TX-NAVARRO TX-
1027 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT FOR
ELLIS AND NAVARRO COUNTIES...

AT 1025 PM CDT...NUMEROUS ROADS WERE FLOODED ACROSS ELLIS AND 
NAVARRO COUNTIES. IN ADDITION...THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXTREMELY HEAVY 
RAIN WILL ONLY EXACERBATE FLOODING ACROSS NAVARRO COUNTY. PEOPLE IN  
NAVARRO COUNTY LIVING IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY START TO SEE FLOODING 
IN THEIR HOMES. TAKE ACTION NOW IF YOUR HOME IS SUBJECT TO FLOODING. 
 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 3180 9650 3181 9672 3207 9689 3205 9694
      3226 9709 3255 9709 3254 9651 3245 9650
      3241 9644 3235 9645 3230 9630 3226 9629
      3225 9624 3220 9619 3222 9615 3218 9618
      3215 9610 3210 9612 3208 9606 3201 9605

$$

25

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 10, 7:09 PM CDT, 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 10, 7:09 PM CDT, 33 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
709 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

YET ANOTHER ACTIVE DAY AND CHALLENGES WITH REGARD TO CONVECTIVE
TIMING INTO ALL TERMINALS...AS THE PERSISTENT UPPER LOW FINALLY
SHOWS SIGNS OF LIFTING NORTHEAST OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS. A COLD
FRONT WAS SEEN MOVING INTO THE KABI/KSPS AREAS ATTM. LINEAR
FORCING WILL HOLD ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH MOST HIGH RES
MODELS PROGRESSING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY TO THE EAST OF I-35 BY
MIDNIGHT AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT...OUTSIDE OF THE NAM WHICH HOLDS
SOME ISOLATED ELEVATED ACTIVITY BACK W/SW OF WACO OVERNIGHT. WE
WILL TIME CONVECTION THROUGH ALL TERMINALS THROUGH 03Z WITH
POSSIBLE MVFR CONDITIONS. A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH WILL ARRIVE BY
MIDNIGHT AT DFW TERMINALS SHIFTING WINDS LIGHT W/SW LESS THAN 10
KTS...WHILE BEING DELAYED 3-4 HOURS AT WACO. AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH WINDS WILL BE S/SE 10-15 KTS. THE FROPA WILL GENERALLY
OCCUR BETWEEN 09Z-12Z AT ALL TERMINALS WITH WINDS BECOMING NW
NEAR 10 KTS...THOUGH IT MAY OCCUR SOONER ACROSS THE DFW AREA.
WE/LL MONITOR FROPA TRENDS CLOSELY FOR CONVERSION TO N FLOW.

OTHERWISE...EXPECT CONDITIONS TO BE VFR THROUGH 05Z-06Z...WITH
POTENTIAL FOR MVFR CIGS AND/OR VSBYS OVERNIGHT. MAIN CHALLENGE
WILL BE IF SKIES CLEAR MORE THAN EXPECTED AROUND AND AFTER FROPA
BEFORE SUNRISE MONDAY MORNING. WITH STANDING WATER AND A LOT OF
WET SOIL...WE CANNOT RULE OUT BRIEF IFR FORMATION EARLY MONDAY
MORNING. A LOT WILL DEPEND ON CLEARING AND WIND SPEEDS BY 12Z
MONDAY AND WE HOPE TO HAVE BETTER CONFIDENCE ON TRENDS LEADING UP
TO THE 06Z AND 12Z TAF SETS.

05/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 319 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015/
ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
AS ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY INTERACTS WITH
NUMEROUS MESO-SCALE BOUNDARIES LEFT OVER FROM EARLIER CONVECTION.
THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE AS WELL AS
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHWEST ZONES THIS EVENING AND
PROVIDE ADDITIONAL FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS. WE EXPECT STORM
CHANCES TO DECREASE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE NIGHT
AND INTO MONDAY MORNING AS DRIER AIR BEGINS TO WORK IN BEHIND THE
FRONT. THE BEST CHANCES FOR STORMS OVERNIGHT WILL BE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST ZONES. AGAIN SEVERE STORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE. WE WILL LEAVE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN PLACE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA THROUGH 7 AM MONDAY.

THE FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA ON MONDAY AND BRING
AN END TO MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION. HOWEVER...SOME SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL LINGER NORTH OF THE FRONT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES.

THE COLD FRONT SHOULD BEGIN TO LIFT NORTH/NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY IN
RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE WEST. AS A
RESULT...PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT.

THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE INTO NEW MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY
AND ACROSS WEST TEXAS ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL BRING A GOOD CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO NORTH TEXAS WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY.

PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL DECREASE FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE
UPPER TROUGH AXIS MOVES EAST OF THE REGION AND UPPER LEVEL HIGH
PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS OVER THE STATE. THE UPPER RIDGE IS PROGGED
TO FLATTEN AND MOVE QUICKLY EAST ON SATURDAY AS YET ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING
MORE RAIN CHANCES NEXT SUNDAY AND BEYOND.

RIGHT NOW IT APPEARS THAT THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WILL BE MUCH LOWER THAN WE HAVE SEEN THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS
BUT THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE ON THE INCREASE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. WE WILL STILL HAVE TO BE CONCERNED WITH FLOODING
THROUGH THE WEEK DUE TO SATURATED CONDITIONS IN MANY LOCATIONS.

79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  61  79  56  73  59 /  70  20  20  40  50
WACO, TX              65  82  57  72  60 /  80  40  60  60  50
PARIS, TX             63  78  56  73  59 /  80  30  10  30  40
DENTON, TX            58  79  54  74  59 /  70  20  10  40  50
MCKINNEY, TX          59  78  56  74  59 /  80  20  10  40  50
DALLAS, TX            62  80  57  73  59 /  80  20  20  40  50
TERRELL, TX           64  80  58  74  60 /  80  40  20  40  50
CORSICANA, TX         65  83  59  73  61 /  80  40  40  40  50
TEMPLE, TX            66  84  58  69  62 /  80  60  60  60  50
MINERAL WELLS, TX     58  78  56  72  59 /  50  20  20  40  50

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR TXZ091>095-100>107-
115>121-129>134-141-143>145.

&&

05/79

Hazardous weather outlook, May 10, 3:44 PM CDT, 3 hours 58 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
344 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-111200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
344 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT WHICH WILL
RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A
THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. HOWEVER...THE CHANCE FOR SEVERE
STORMS WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUESTED ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH TONIGHT.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 10, 5:53 PM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
553 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0528 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NW CLIFTON            31.83N  97.64W
05/10/2015                   BOSQUE             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BARN WAS DAMAGED ON ROUTE 6 BETWEEN CLIFTON AND
            MERIDIAN.

Local storm report, May 10, 5:54 PM CDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
554 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0528 PM     HAIL             5 NW CLIFTON            31.83N  97.64W
05/10/2015  E1.75 INCH       BOSQUE             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS REPORTED BETWEEN
            MERIDIAN AND CLIFTON ON ROUTE 6.

Special weather statement, May 10, 6:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
605 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

TXZ091-101-102-102345-
MONTAGUE TX-WISE TX-JACK TX-
605 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN WISE...MONTAGUE AND
JACK COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CDT...

AT 604 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MONTAGUE AND JACK COUNTIES...MOVING NORTH AT 30
MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO AREAS OF FLOODING IN
LOCATIONS THAT HAVE VERY SATURATED GROUNDS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BRIDGEPORT...BOWIE...JACKSBORO...NOCONA...ALVORD...ST. JO...CHICO...
BRYSON...STONEBURG...FORESTBURG...SUNSET...BOONSVILLE...NEWPORT...
RUNAWAY BAY AND LAKE BRIDGEPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3390 9758 3392 9750 3352 9749 3301 9791
      3301 9841 3324 9842 3347 9820 3347 9798
      3369 9798 3374 9793 3396 9760
TIME...MOT...LOC 2304Z 202DEG 24KT 3359 9771

JLDUNN

Local storm report, May 10, 6:40 PM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
640 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0638 PM     HAIL             CARL'S CORNER           32.09N  97.04W
05/10/2015  E1.00 INCH       HILL               TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL NEAR THE I35W/I35E SPLIT AT CARL'S
            CORNER.

Local storm report, May 10, 7:32 PM CDT, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
732 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0728 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 N BYNUM               32.04N  97.00W
05/10/2015                   HILL               TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MULTIPLE LARGE TREES AND BRANCHES DOWN ACROSS HWY AT
            THIS LOCATION.

Local storm report, May 10, 7:40 PM CDT, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
740 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     TORNADO          BRANDON                 32.05N  96.97W
05/10/2015                   HILL               TX   STORM CHASER

            DELAYED REPORT FROM 7:20 PM...STORM CHASER SHOWED VIDEO OF
	    TORNADO NEAR THE COMMUNITY OF BRANDON.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fort Worth, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 10, 7:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Bosque, Hill, Limestone, McLennan, Navarro	53 min
May 10, 7:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Ellis, Hill, Navarro	67 min
May 10, 7:28 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Grayson	4 hr
May 10, 7:29 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	FWD	Ellis, Navarro	31 min
May 10, 7:37 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Bosque, Hill	3 hr
May 10, 7:41 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	FWD	Hill, Navarro	49 min
May 10, 7:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Henderson, Van Zandt	37 min
May 10, 8:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Ellis, Henderson, Kaufman, Navarro	53 min
May 10, 8:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Van Zandt	38 min
May 10, 8:50 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	McLennan	3 hr
May 10, 8:54 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	FWD	Comanche	34 hr
May 10, 8:55 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	FWD	Van Zandt	35 min
May 10, 9:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Delta, Hopkins, Rains	41 min
May 10, 9:10 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Henderson, Kaufman, Van Zandt	3 hr
May 10, 9:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Ellis, Henderson, Kaufman, Navarro, Van Zandt	61 min
May 10, 9:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Henderson, Van Zandt	66 min
May 10, 10:09 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	FWD	Van Zandt	36 min
May 10, 10:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Lampasas	41 min
May 10, 10:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Navarro	64 min
May 10, 10:48 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning Emergency	FWD	Navarro	3 hr
May 10, 10:58 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Bosque, Hill, Limestone, McLennan	3 hr
May 10, 11:14 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	FWD	Cooke, Denton	9 hr
May 10, 11:20 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	FWD	Grayson	9 hr
May 10, 11:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Coryell, Lampasas	40 min
May 11, 12:02 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	FWD	Coryell, Lampasas	3 hr
May 11, 12:02 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Lampasas	43 min
May 11, 12:05 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Henderson, Kaufman, Van Zandt	3 hr
May 11, 12:05 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Anderson	40 min
May 11, 12:13 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	FWD	Ellis	6 hr
May 11, 12:14 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	FWD	Anderson	31 min
May 11, 12:30 AM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	FWD	Anderson, Bell, Falls, Freestone, Henderson, Leon and 5 more	6 hr
May 11, 12:51 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning Emergency	FWD	Henderson	4 hr
May 11, 12:55 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Freestone, Limestone	3 hr
May 11, 1:24 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Anderson	51 min
May 11, 1:35 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Navarro	3 hr
May 11, 1:57 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	FWD	Hill, McLennan	6 hr
May 11, 2:08 AM CDT	Tornado Warning	FWD	Anderson, Freestone	37 min
May 11, 2:41 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Anderson	52 min
May 11, 2:56 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Leon	64 min
May 11, 3:00 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	FWD	Henderson, Van Zandt	3 hr
May 11, 3:05 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	FWD	Limestone	54 hr
May 11, 3:05 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	FWD	Leon, Robertson	13 days
May 11, 3:11 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Leon, Robertson	49 min
May 11, 4:00 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	FWD	Freestone, Limestone	6 hr
May 11, 4:41 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	FWD	Navarro	6 hr
May 11, 5:14 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FWD	Milam	46 min
May 11, 5:23 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	FWD	Milam, Robertson	3 hr
May 11, 5:59 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	FWD	Henderson, Van Zandt	3 hr
May 11, 9:18 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	FWD	Henderson, Van Zandt	6 hr
May 11, 9:48 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	FWD	Anderson, Freestone, Leon	58 days
May 11, 10:46 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	FWD	Navarro	6 hr
May 11, 3:56 PM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	FWD	Anderson, Bell, Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke and 40 more	52 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2015 Every flash flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.