Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 157

May 10, 201547 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 10, 2015, 12:58 PM CDT for 47 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2015, 12:58 PM CDT (17:58 UTC)
Expired
May 10, 2015, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 47 counties

Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Coal County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Grady County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Kay County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McClain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Murray County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Noble County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Norman radar (KTLX), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 1:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCarter, Johnston, Love, Marshall3 hr
May 10, 2:02 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNAtoka, Bryan, Johnston, Marshall8 hr
May 10, 3:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Coal, Hughes, Johnston44 min
May 10, 4:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBryan45 min
May 10, 4:09 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNBryan36 min
May 10, 4:31 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCarter, Johnston, Love, Marshall6 hr
May 10, 4:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBryan23 min
May 10, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Love, Marshall30 min
May 10, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Bryan, Johnston, Marshall32 min
May 10, 5:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Bryan50 min
May 10, 5:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBryan, Johnston, Marshall37 min
May 10, 5:52 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha6 hr
May 10, 5:53 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNAtoka, Bryan, Coal, Johnston4 hr
May 10, 5:55 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNAtoka23 min
May 10, 5:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAPushmataha46 min
May 10, 6:10 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAPushmataha35 min
May 10, 6:36 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAPittsburg, Pushmataha39 min
May 10, 6:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka39 min
May 10, 6:52 PM CDTTornado WarningTSALatimer, Pittsburg, Pushmataha38 min
May 10, 7:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALeFlore44 min
May 10, 7:21 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer39 min
May 10, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALeFlore45 min
May 10, 7:55 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore20 min
May 10, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Sequoyah46 min
May 10, 8:21 PM CDTTornado WarningTSALeFlore39 min
May 10, 8:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAHaskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah6 hr
May 10, 8:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALeFlore, Sequoyah52 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 85 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2015-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1564 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2015-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 255 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1564 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-39 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
614 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
255 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
256 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.9
Supercell composite
11.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

366 
WWUS20 KWNS 101755
SEL7  
SPC WW 101755
OKZ000-110200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 157
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1255 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1255 PM UNTIL
  900 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS...EXPECTED TO
FORM ALONG AND SPREAD EASTWARD WITH COLD FRONT NOW OVER WEST CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA...WITH A RISK FOR SEVERE WIND...HAIL...AND A COUPLE
TORNADOES.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
BARTLESVILLE OKLAHOMA TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF ARDMORE OKLAHOMA.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 154...WW 155...WW 156...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 7:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Jefferson, Johnston and 4 more56 min
May 10, 4:20 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Coal, Cotton and 9 more55 min
May 10, 6:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Choctaw, McCurtain, Pushmataha2 hr
May 10, 8:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Cherokee, Delaware, Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore and 8 more2 hr
May 10, 9:28 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Cherokee, Choctaw, Craig, Delaware, Haskell and 11 more6 hr
May 10, 10:19 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCMcCurtain13 hr
May 10, 12:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Cleveland, Cotton, Garvin, Grady, Jefferson and 12 more2 hr
May 10, 3:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Carter, Cleveland, Coal, Creek, Garvin and 24 more53 min
May 10, 5:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Cleveland, Creek and 12 more96 min
May 10, 6:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Choctaw, McCurtain90 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.