Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 157
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 10, 2015, 12:58 PM CDT for 47 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 10 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 10, 2015, 12:58 PM CDT (17:58 UTC)
- Expired
- May 10, 2015, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 47 counties
Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Coal County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Grady County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Kay County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McClain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Murray County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Noble County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK
The radar
The Norman radar (KTLX), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 1:05 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Carter, Johnston, Love, Marshall | 3 hr |
| May 10, 2:02 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Atoka, Bryan, Johnston, Marshall | 8 hr |
| May 10, 3:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Atoka, Coal, Hughes, Johnston | 44 min |
| May 10, 4:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Bryan | 45 min |
| May 10, 4:09 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OUN | Bryan | 36 min |
| May 10, 4:31 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Carter, Johnston, Love, Marshall | 6 hr |
| May 10, 4:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Bryan | 23 min |
| May 10, 4:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Carter, Love, Marshall | 30 min |
| May 10, 4:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Atoka, Bryan, Johnston, Marshall | 32 min |
| May 10, 5:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Atoka, Bryan | 50 min |
| May 10, 5:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Bryan, Johnston, Marshall | 37 min |
| May 10, 5:52 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha | 6 hr |
| May 10, 5:53 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Atoka, Bryan, Coal, Johnston | 4 hr |
| May 10, 5:55 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OUN | Atoka | 23 min |
| May 10, 5:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Pushmataha | 46 min |
| May 10, 6:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Pushmataha | 35 min |
| May 10, 6:36 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Pittsburg, Pushmataha | 39 min |
| May 10, 6:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Atoka | 39 min |
| May 10, 6:52 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Latimer, Pittsburg, Pushmataha | 38 min |
| May 10, 7:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | LeFlore | 44 min |
| May 10, 7:21 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer | 39 min |
| May 10, 7:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | LeFlore | 45 min |
| May 10, 7:55 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore | 20 min |
| May 10, 8:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Sequoyah | 46 min |
| May 10, 8:21 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | LeFlore | 39 min |
| May 10, 8:30 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Haskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah | 6 hr |
| May 10, 8:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | LeFlore, Sequoyah | 52 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 85 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1564 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -39 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 614 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 255 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 256 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 2.9
- Supercell composite
- 11.8
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
366 WWUS20 KWNS 101755 SEL7 SPC WW 101755 OKZ000-110200- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 157 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1255 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA * EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1255 PM UNTIL 900 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS...EXPECTED TO FORM ALONG AND SPREAD EASTWARD WITH COLD FRONT NOW OVER WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...WITH A RISK FOR SEVERE WIND...HAIL...AND A COUPLE TORNADOES. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF BARTLESVILLE OKLAHOMA TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF ARDMORE OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 154...WW 155...WW 156... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035. ...CORFIDI
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 7:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Jefferson, Johnston and 4 more | 56 min |
| May 10, 4:20 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Coal, Cotton and 9 more | 55 min |
| May 10, 6:44 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bryan, Choctaw, McCurtain, Pushmataha | 2 hr |
| May 10, 8:56 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Cherokee, Delaware, Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore and 8 more | 2 hr |
| May 10, 9:28 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adair, Cherokee, Choctaw, Craig, Delaware, Haskell and 11 more | 6 hr |
| May 10, 10:19 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | McCurtain | 13 hr |
| May 10, 12:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter, Cleveland, Cotton, Garvin, Grady, Jefferson and 12 more | 2 hr |
| May 10, 3:22 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Carter, Cleveland, Coal, Creek, Garvin and 24 more | 53 min |
| May 10, 5:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Cleveland, Creek and 12 more | 96 min |
| May 10, 6:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bryan, Choctaw, McCurtain | 90 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.