Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 533

October 13, 20148 counties in Arkansas; 4 parishes in Louisiana; 37 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 13, 2014, 3:22 AM CDT for 8 counties in Arkansas; 4 parishes in Louisiana; 37 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 13, 2014, 3:22 AM CDT (08:22 UTC)
Expired
Oct 13, 2014, 11:00 AM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 49 counties

Columbia County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Howard County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Miller County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Anderson County, TX, Angelina County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Falls County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Houston County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Madison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Milam County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Panola County, TX, Polk County, TX, Red River County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rusk County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Walker County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 160 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 13, 3:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDAnderson, Freestone, Navarro31 min
Oct 13, 4:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVRed River29 min
Oct 13, 4:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBowie, Camp, Cass, Franklin, Morris, Red River and 1 more52 min
Oct 13, 4:56 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCamp, Cass, Marion, Morris, Titus, Upshur49 min
Oct 13, 5:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVLafayette, Miller47 min
Oct 13, 6:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 1 more53 min
Oct 13, 6:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCherokee, Nacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, Shelby36 min
Oct 13, 7:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Union43 min
Oct 13, 8:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVShelby34 min
Oct 13, 8:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVDe Soto, Red River51 min
Oct 13, 9:01 AM CDTTornado WarningSHVDe Soto, Red River29 min
Oct 13, 9:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVDe Soto, Sabine24 min
Oct 13, 9:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Claiborne, Red River, Webster40 min
Oct 13, 9:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXGrimes, Montgomery, Walker, Waller32 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2014-10-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 17 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2014-10-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 228 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
17 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-404 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
641 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
228 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
253 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

284 
WWUS20 KWNS 130822
SEL3  
SPC WW 130822
ARZ000-LAZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-131600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 533
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS
  NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA
  CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING FROM 320 AM UNTIL 1100 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
    TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
TEMPLE TEXAS TO 35 MILES NORTH OF TEXARKANA ARKANSAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 531...WW 532...

DISCUSSION...QLCS PRODUCING SPORADIC DAMAGING WINDS...AS WELL AS
BANDS AND CLUSTERS OF NEARBY WARM-SECTOR TSTMS...ARE EXPECTED TO
MOVE INTO PROGRESSIVELY HIGHER-THETAE ENVIRONMENT WITH SFC-BASED
INFLOW. FAVORABLY LARGE LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS ARE FCST ACROSS WW AREA
TO SUPPORT SLGT TORNADO POTENTIAL FROM EITHER SUPERCELLS OR QLCS
CIRCULATIONS. REF SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1864 FOR FURTHER
METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27040.


...EDWARDS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 12, 8:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 13 more86 min
Oct 13, 12:00 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Crawford, Sebastian, Washington90 min
Oct 13, 12:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne and 27 more7 hr
Oct 13, 1:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne and 28 more91 min
Oct 13, 2:43 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 2 more92 min
Oct 13, 6:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 36 more86 min
Oct 13, 6:56 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Clark, Cleburne, Conway, Dallas and 17 more64 min
Oct 13, 7:08 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Baxter, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot and 44 more7 hr
Oct 13, 10:20 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Clay, Craighead and 22 more115 min
Oct 13, 11:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChicot, Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Desha and 6 more113 min
Oct 13, 12:57 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCChicot, Clay, Crittenden, Mississippi7 hr
Oct 13, 11:10 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron and 10 more8 hr
Oct 13, 1:39 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Jefferson and 16 more8 hr
Oct 13, 5:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJefferson, Lafourche, Orleans, Saint Charles, Saint James, Saint John the Baptist and 4 more90 min
Oct 12, 7:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Borden, Brown, Callahan, Clay and 31 more7 hr
Oct 12, 9:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Fisher, Foard, Haskell and 10 more58 min
Oct 12, 10:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton, Ellis and 20 more58 min
Oct 12, 11:08 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Coryell, Dallas and 29 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2014Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2014Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.