Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2014
Tornado Watch 533
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 13, 2014, 3:22 AM CDT for 8 counties in Arkansas; 4 parishes in Louisiana; 37 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 13, 2014, 3:22 AM CDT (08:22 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 13, 2014, 11:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 49 counties
Columbia County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Howard County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Miller County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Anderson County, TX, Angelina County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Falls County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Houston County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Madison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Milam County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Panola County, TX, Polk County, TX, Red River County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rusk County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Walker County, TX, Wood County, TX
The radar
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 160 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 3:59 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Anderson, Freestone, Navarro | 31 min |
| Oct 13, 4:31 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Red River | 29 min |
| Oct 13, 4:38 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bowie, Camp, Cass, Franklin, Morris, Red River and 1 more | 52 min |
| Oct 13, 4:56 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Camp, Cass, Marion, Morris, Titus, Upshur | 49 min |
| Oct 13, 5:43 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Lafayette, Miller | 47 min |
| Oct 13, 6:22 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 1 more | 53 min |
| Oct 13, 6:39 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Cherokee, Nacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, Shelby | 36 min |
| Oct 13, 7:32 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Union | 43 min |
| Oct 13, 8:26 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Shelby | 34 min |
| Oct 13, 8:54 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | De Soto, Red River | 51 min |
| Oct 13, 9:01 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | De Soto, Red River | 29 min |
| Oct 13, 9:21 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | De Soto, Sabine | 24 min |
| Oct 13, 9:35 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bienville, Claiborne, Red River, Webster | 40 min |
| Oct 13, 9:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Grimes, Montgomery, Walker, Waller | 32 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 17 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -404 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 641 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 46 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 228 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 253 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
284
WWUS20 KWNS 130822
SEL3
SPC WW 130822
ARZ000-LAZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-131600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 533
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS
NORTHWESTERN LOUISIANA
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA
CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING FROM 320 AM UNTIL 1100 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
TEMPLE TEXAS TO 35 MILES NORTH OF TEXARKANA ARKANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 531...WW 532...
DISCUSSION...QLCS PRODUCING SPORADIC DAMAGING WINDS...AS WELL AS
BANDS AND CLUSTERS OF NEARBY WARM-SECTOR TSTMS...ARE EXPECTED TO
MOVE INTO PROGRESSIVELY HIGHER-THETAE ENVIRONMENT WITH SFC-BASED
INFLOW. FAVORABLY LARGE LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS ARE FCST ACROSS WW AREA
TO SUPPORT SLGT TORNADO POTENTIAL FROM EITHER SUPERCELLS OR QLCS
CIRCULATIONS. REF SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1864 FOR FURTHER
METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27040.
...EDWARDSSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 8:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 13 more | 86 min |
| Oct 13, 12:00 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Crawford, Sebastian, Washington | 90 min |
| Oct 13, 12:55 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne and 27 more | 7 hr |
| Oct 13, 1:59 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne and 28 more | 91 min |
| Oct 13, 2:43 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Columbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 2 more | 92 min |
| Oct 13, 6:34 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 36 more | 86 min |
| Oct 13, 6:56 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Boone, Clark, Cleburne, Conway, Dallas and 17 more | 64 min |
| Oct 13, 7:08 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Baxter, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot and 44 more | 7 hr |
| Oct 13, 10:20 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Clay, Craighead and 22 more | 115 min |
| Oct 13, 11:52 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chicot, Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Desha and 6 more | 113 min |
| Oct 13, 12:57 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Chicot, Clay, Crittenden, Mississippi | 7 hr |
| Oct 13, 11:10 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron and 10 more | 8 hr |
| Oct 13, 1:39 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Jefferson and 16 more | 8 hr |
| Oct 13, 5:45 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Jefferson, Lafourche, Orleans, Saint Charles, Saint James, Saint John the Baptist and 4 more | 90 min |
| Oct 12, 7:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Borden, Brown, Callahan, Clay and 31 more | 7 hr |
| Oct 12, 9:47 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Clay, Fisher, Foard, Haskell and 10 more | 58 min |
| Oct 12, 10:17 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Collin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton, Ellis and 20 more | 58 min |
| Oct 12, 11:08 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Coryell, Dallas and 29 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Texas, 2014Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2014Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.