Tornado Watch 534

Issued

Oct 13, 2014, 7:08 AM CDT (12:08 UTC)

Expired

Oct 13, 2014, 2:00 PM CDT

In force

7 hr

Issued by

the Storm Prediction Center

Largest hail expected

1 in

Strongest gust expected

65 kt

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 168 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Two or more tornadoes

50%

One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes

20%

Ten or more severe wind reports

50%

One or more gusts of 65 knots or more

50%

Ten or more severe hail reports

5%

One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more

5%

Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports

90%

• Mesoscale Discussion 1865Oct 13, 6:34 AM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 1866Oct 13, 6:56 AM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 1868Oct 13, 10:20 AM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 1869Oct 13, 11:52 AM CDT

354 
WWUS20 KWNS 131209
SEL4  
SPC WW 131209
ARZ000-LAZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-TXZ000-131900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 534
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
710 AM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS
  NORTHERN LOUISIANA
  MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
  WESTERN MISSISSIPPI
  WESTERN TENNESSEE
  SMALL PART OF EAST TEXAS

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 710 AM UNTIL
  200 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
    MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
ALEXANDRIA LOUISIANA TO 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF WALNUT RIDGE
ARKANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 532...WW 533...

DISCUSSION...QLCS FCST TO INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION AND SEVERITY
THROUGH EARLY AFTN AS IT MOVES INTO DESTABILIZING AIR MASS NEAR MS
RIVER.  FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR ALSO WILL EXIST IN INFLOW REGION
TO SUPPORT SPORADIC MESOVORTICES WITH LOCALLY ENHANCED WIND RISK AND
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE.  ISOLATED SUPERCELLS CANNOT BE RULED OUT
IN FOREGOING WARM SECTOR AS WELL...ESPECIALLY AS DIABATIC HEATING
BOOSTS BUOYANCY DURING MIDDAY.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.


...EDWARDS

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2014Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2014Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.