Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 303

June 16, 2014Harrison County, Monona County, Shelby County, Iowa; 41 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 16, 2014, 3:07 PM CDT for Harrison County, Monona County, Shelby County, Iowa; 41 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 16, 2014, 3:07 PM CDT (20:07 UTC)
Expired
Jun 16, 2014, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Particularly dangerous situation
Yes
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 44 counties

Harrison County, IA, Monona County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Antelope County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Boone County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Brown County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Holt County, NE, Howard County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Knox County, NE, Loup County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Rock County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Valley County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 180 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
90%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
80%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 3:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCuming, Stanton, Wayne50 min
Jun 16, 3:41 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXCuming, Stanton34 min
Jun 16, 4:12 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedOAXCuming, Stanton, Wayne48 min
Jun 16, 4:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCuming, Stanton, Thurston, Wayne46 min
Jun 16, 4:40 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedOAXCuming, Thurston, Wayne35 min
Jun 16, 4:58 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedFSDDakota, Dixon32 min
Jun 16, 5:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXCuming, Stanton, Thurston, Wayne4 hr
Jun 16, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXThurston30 min
Jun 16, 5:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster, Loup43 min
Jun 16, 5:19 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXThurston26 min
Jun 16, 5:27 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDDakota33 min
Jun 16, 5:47 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedFSDDakota43 min
Jun 16, 5:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFCuster, Loup48 min
Jun 16, 6:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDHoward39 min
Jun 16, 6:15 PM CDTTornado WarningLBFCuster, Garfield, Loup30 min
Jun 16, 6:41 PM CDTTornado Warning EmergencyTornado observedLBFCuster, Garfield, Loup34 min
Jun 16, 6:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFGarfield, Holt, Loup, Rock44 min
Jun 16, 7:12 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLBFGarfield33 min
Jun 16, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHolt48 min
Jun 16, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBoyd, Keya Paha38 min
Jun 16, 7:42 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLBFGarfield, Wheeler33 min
Jun 16, 7:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFGarfield, Holt, Wheeler51 min
Jun 16, 8:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCedar, Knox, Pierce39 min
Jun 16, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFGarfield, Holt, Wheeler46 min
Jun 16, 8:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFBoyd44 min
Jun 16, 8:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCedar52 min
Jun 16, 8:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Boone39 min
Jun 16, 9:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFGarfield, Holt43 min
Jun 16, 9:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCedar, Wayne38 min
Jun 16, 9:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Boone25 min
Jun 16, 9:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDDakota, Dixon41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 200 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2014-06-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 33 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2014-06-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 137 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
33 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-485 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1667 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
137 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
236 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

767 
WWUS20 KWNS 162009
SEL3  
SPC WW 162009
IAZ000-NEZ000-170300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 303
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  WEST-CENTRAL IOWA
  NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES AND A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
AINSWORTH NEBRASKA TO 20 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF TEKAMAH
NEBRASKA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 302...

DISCUSSION...THE 19Z OMA SOUNDING SAMPLED A VOLATILE ENVIRONMENT
WITH 4000 J/KG MLCAPE...60 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR...AND 500
EFFECTIVE SRH. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP ALONG HEATED OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WITH A RISK FOR VERY
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING TORNADOES...A FEW OF WHICH COULD BE
SIGNIFICANT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23025.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 7:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFremont, Harrison, Lyon, Mills, Monona, Plymouth and 4 more9 hr
Jun 16, 10:19 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista and 64 more116 min
Jun 16, 12:25 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAudubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cherokee and 33 more8 hr
Jun 16, 2:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Mills62 min
Jun 16, 2:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDavis, Jefferson, Lee, Van Buren, Wapello86 min
Jun 16, 3:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cherokee, Clay and 18 more2 hr
Jun 16, 3:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Buchanan, Cedar, Clinton, Delaware, Des Moines and 13 more5 hr
Jun 16, 5:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Bremer, Chickasaw, Clayton, Fayette, Floyd and 3 more35 min
Jun 16, 5:37 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAudubon, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buena Vista, Butler and 38 more6 hr
Jun 16, 5:46 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllamakee, Chickasaw, Clayton, Fayette, Floyd, Howard and 2 more6 hr
Jun 16, 2:47 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Antelope, Blaine, Boone, Brown, Buffalo and 30 more118 min
Jun 16, 3:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Buffalo, Dawson, Franklin, Frontier, Furnas and 7 more115 min
Jun 16, 4:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBox Butte, Cherry, Dawes, Sheridan, Sioux117 min
Jun 16, 4:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuming, Thurston58 min
Jun 16, 6:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGarfield, Wheeler55 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2014Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.