Alert archive / Iowa / Mesoscale Discussions in 2014

Mesoscale Discussion 1017

June 16, 201424 counties in Iowa; 13 counties in Minnesota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 16, 2014, 3:11 PM CDT for 24 counties in Iowa; 13 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 16, 2014, 3:11 PM CDT (20:11 UTC)
Expired
Jun 16, 2014, 5:15 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 37 counties

Boone County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cherokee County, IA, Clay County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Greene County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Ida County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Sac County, IA, Story County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Wright County, IA, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Cottonwood County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Martin County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Murray County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Nobles County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Watonwan County, MN

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 144 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2014-06-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 15 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2014-06-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 210 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
15 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-158 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1817 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
210 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
264 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

449 
ACUS11 KWNS 162012
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162011 
IAZ000-MNZ000-162215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1017
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0311 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN MN/NWRN IA AND VICINITY

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 302...

VALID 162011Z - 162215Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 302 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE/ISOLATED TORNADO RISK CONTINUES ACROSS PARTS OF WW
302.

DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS STRONG/SEVERE STORMS MOVING
ACROSS SERN SD AND ADJACENT NWRN IA AND SWRN MN...WITH STRONGEST
CELLS ONGOING ATTM FROM THE FSD VICINITY EWD ALONG THE SWRN MN/NWRN
IA BORDER.  THIS AREA REMAINS TO THE COOL SIDE OF AN
OUTFLOW-REINFORCED SURFACE BOUNDARY...ALONG A MIXED-LAYER CAPE
GRADIENT PER LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSES.  

WITH DEEP-LAYER SHEAR ACROSS THE AREA SUPPORTIVE OF
SUPERCELLS...STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A RISK FOR LARGE HAIL --
ALONG WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED TORNADO
OR TWO.  IN ADDITION...STORMS ARE INCREASING ACROSS PARTS OF ERN NEB
ATTM...AND MAY SPREAD EWD INTO PARTS OF WW 302 LATER THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING YIELDING ADDITIONAL SEVERE/TORNADO RISK ACROSS
THIS AREA.

..GOSS.. 06/16/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...DMX...FSD...OAX...

LAT...LON   45209445 45149399 41889329 41739578 43509609 44169591
            44719486 45209445

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 7:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFremont, Harrison, Lyon, Mills, Monona, Plymouth and 4 more9 hr
Jun 16, 10:19 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista and 64 more116 min
Jun 16, 12:25 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAudubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun, Carroll, Cherokee and 33 more8 hr
Jun 16, 2:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFremont, Mills62 min
Jun 16, 2:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDavis, Jefferson, Lee, Van Buren, Wapello86 min
Jun 16, 3:07 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCHarrison, Monona, Shelby7 hr
Jun 16, 3:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Buchanan, Cedar, Clinton, Delaware, Des Moines and 13 more5 hr
Jun 16, 5:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Bremer, Chickasaw, Clayton, Fayette, Floyd and 3 more35 min
Jun 16, 5:37 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAudubon, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Buena Vista, Butler and 38 more6 hr
Jun 16, 5:46 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAllamakee, Chickasaw, Clayton, Fayette, Floyd, Howard and 2 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2014Mesoscale Discussions in Minnesota, 2014Every mesoscale discussion in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.