Severe Thunderstorm Warning 114, NWS North Platte, NE

246 
WWUS53 KLBF 170124
SVSLBF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
824 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

NEC071-089-183-170145-
/O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-140617T0145Z/
GARFIELD NE-HOLT NE-WHEELER NE-
824 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
WHEELER...SOUTH CENTRAL HOLT AND GARFIELD COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM
CDT...

AT 819 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTH OF
SWAN LAKE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GABLES AND SUNFISH LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4216 9877 4195 9864 4174 9898 4174 9911
      4195 9922
TIME...MOT...LOC 0124Z 236DEG 17KT 4202 9894

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

STOPPKOTTE

076 
WWUS53 KLBF 170147
SVSLBF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
847 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

NEC071-089-183-170156-
/O.EXP.KLBF.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-140617T0145Z/
GARFIELD NE-HOLT NE-WHEELER NE-
847 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN WHEELER...SOUTH
CENTRAL HOLT AND GARFIELD COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
 HOWEVER...SMALL HAIL IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

IN ADDITION...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP...AND A TORNADO 
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT.

LAT...LON 4216 9877 4195 9864 4174 9898 4174 9911
      4195 9922
TIME...MOT...LOC 0124Z 236DEG 17KT 4202 9894

$$

STOPPKOTTE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
715 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 317 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA...INVOF A WARM
FRONT/REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. THIS BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM NEAR
VALENTINE TO BROKEN BOW...WITH CU FIELD GROWING MORE AGITATED.
STORMS WILL LIKELY BECOME SUPERCELLS QUICKLY. WINDS ARE BACKED TO
THE SOUTHEAST TO THE EAST OF THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY...AND
THIS AREA WILL HAVE A TORNADO THREAT IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. STORMS SHOULD QUICKLY MOVE EAST OF THE AREA THIS
EVENING. ON TUESDAY...WILL HAVE WATCH THE AREA ALONG THE SOUTH
DAKOTA BORDER...AS MODELS HINTING AT THE WARM FRONT REMAINING IN
THAT AREA. THIS COULD SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR ISOLATED STORM
DEVELOPMENT. OTHERWISE ACROSS CENTRAL INTO WESTERN AND SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL ADVECT DRIER AND WARM AIR INTO THE
REGION...WITH HIGHS INTO THE LOWER AND POSSIBLY MID 90S.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 317 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

THE FORECAST FOCUS FOR THIS PERIOD IS THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THEN WITH THE TRACK OF THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW OVER THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK...WHICH WILL IMPACT
TEMPERATURES AND ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION CHANCES.

FOR TUESDAY NIGHT...IN THE EARLY EVENING AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL BE SITUATED FROM EASTERN WYOMING INTO NORTHEAST COLORADO.
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT A DRY LINE WILL HAVE PUSHED
THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS
TO LEAVE DEWPOINTS IN THE 40S AND 50S LOCALLY...WHILE AREAS NORTH
AND EAST OF THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO SEE 60S...WITH EVEN SOME LOW
70S INTO SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA AND EASTERN NEBRASKA. THERE IS SOME
INDICATION THAT THE WARM FRONT WILL BE SLIGHTLY INTO NEBRASKA...WITH
THE EASTERLY FLOW KEEPING THE HIGHER DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
TIER OF COUNTIES. THE LOW LEVEL JET DOES PICK UP IN THE
EVENING...HOWEVER THE MODELS HAVE IT PUSHING OFF TO THE NORTH AND
EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA SO WILL NEED TO RELY ON SOME LIFT WITH ANY
SHORTWAVE ENERGY COMING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TO GET CONVECTION OVER
THE WARM FRONT IN THE EVENING. A STRONG CAP WILL EXIST OVER THE WARM
SECTOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WITH THE WARM AIR ADVECTION/MOISTURE
TRANSPORT FROM THE LOW LEVEL JET EAST OF THE AREA DON/T SEE ENOUGH
TO GET ELEVATED CONVECTION IN THE WARM SECTOR. ON THE FENCE ABOUT
CHANCES OVER NORTHERN NEBRASKA AS THERE REALLY AREN/T ANY STRONG
SHORTWAVES MOVING ACROSS THE AREA...BUT WITH THE MOISTURE IN
PLACE...IT MAY NOT TAKE MUCH. WITH LITTLE CONFIDENCE WILL STICK WITH
CONTINUITY FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE AND WATCH CLOSELY HOW THE
MODELS TREND OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ON WEDNESDAY...THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL LOW BEGINS TO LIFT OUT OF THE
IDAHO AREA UP INTO MONTANA. THE MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH
THIS...HOWEVER THERE ARE CONSIDERABLE DIFFERENCES CONCERNING THE
EVOLUTION OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE LONGWAVE
TROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  THIS HAS A
SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE FORECAST FOR LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE 16.00Z ECMWF AND 16.12Z GEM SHOW A STRONGER
SHORTWAVE PUSHING ACROSS NORTHERN COLORADO AND INTO THE NEBRASKA
PANHANDLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WHILE THE NAM AND GFS ARE A BIT MORE
SUBTLE WITH THIS SHORTWAVE AND KEEP THE ENERGY FURTHER NORTH. THESE
DIFFERENCES LEAD TO DIFFERENCES IN PLACEMENT OF THE SURFACE COLD
FRONT...WITH THE NAM/GFS BEING QUICKER TO MOVE THE COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA...AND THEN KEEP THE MAJORITY OF THE
PRECIPITATION EAST OF THE FRONT INTO EASTERN NEBRASKA. THE ECMWF/GEM
ON THE OTHER HAND ARE SLOWER TO PROGRESS THE FRONT...AND WITH
STRONGER UPWARD FORCING ALOFT WITH THE PASSING OF THE SHORTWAVE WOULD
DEVELOP PRECIPITATION POST-FRONTALLY ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN NEBRASKA
OVERNIGHT. WILL EDGE ON UNCERTAINTY AT THIS POINT AND GO WITH A
BLEND OF THE MODEL SOLUTIONS FOR THIS TIME PERIOD UNTIL BETTER
CONSENSUS IS REACHED AMONG THE MODELS.

THE FORECAST FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK CENTERS ON THE UPPER
LOW MOVING SLOWLY ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN PLAINS. THE LATEST MODEL
RUNS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE SPEED OF THE EASTWARD
PROGRESSION...HOWEVER VARY IN LATITUDE...WITH THE CENTER RANGING
FROM JUST NORTH OF THE CANADA/NORTH DAKOTA BORDER TO ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PART OF NORTH DAKOTA. THEN BY FRIDAY NIGHT...IT LIFTS
NORTHEAST INTO ONTARIO BEFORE PIVOTING AND DIGGING INTO THE GREAT
LAKES REGION. THE SYSTEM BECOMES OCCLUDED THURSDAY WITH DRIER AIR
MOVING INTO NEBRASKA SO NOT EXPECTING A LOT OF PRECIPITATION
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...HOWEVER A FURTHER SOUTHERN TRACK OF
THE SYSTEM MAY BRING MORE WRAP AROUND MOISTURE INTO THE AREA SO
COULD HAVE A HIGHER THREAT FOR RAIN. AT THIS TIME...A BLEND OF THE
MODELS WILL WORK FOR THE FORECAST TODAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 638 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

FOR THE KLBF TERMINAL...EXPECT SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDINESS
THIS EVENING. SKIES WILL BEGIN TO CLEAR TUESDAY MORNING. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AT
10 TO 20 KTS ON TUESDAY. FRO THE KVTN TERMINAL...EASTERLY WINDS
WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT...WHICH MAY LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF MVFR
CIGS AON 1500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. SKIES WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR
BY LATE MORNING TUESDAY WITH CIGS AON 25000 FT AGL BY TUES
AFTERNOON.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...TAYLOR
LONG TERM...BROOKS
AVIATION...CLB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
438 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-172145-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
438 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014 /338 PM MDT MON JUN 16 2014/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS
EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...GENERALLY
ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM GORDON TO MULLEN TO NORTH PLATTE.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREATS. A FEW
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN ADDITION TO THE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS FROM BROKEN BOW TO BASSETT AND POINTS NORTHEAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE IN PLACE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY...AND AGAIN SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THE SEVERE THREAT
WILL BE DETERMINED CLOSER TO THE EVENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

&&

GET YOUR WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL...AND CLIMATE INFORMATION AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE (ALL LOWERCASE)

TAYLOR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
705 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     8 N BURWELL             41.90N 99.13W
06/16/2014                   GARFIELD           NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SNIVELY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
706 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     HAIL             10 N BURWELL            41.92N 99.13W
06/16/2014  M1.00 INCH       GARFIELD           NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SNIVELY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
717 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0710 PM     TORNADO          1 NE BURWELL            41.79N 99.12W
06/16/2014                   GARFIELD           NE   911 CALL CENTER

&&

SNIVELY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
731 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     TORNADO          10 ENE BURWELL          41.84N 98.95W
06/16/2014                   GARFIELD           NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SNIVELY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
744 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0739 PM     HAIL             6 W NAPER               42.96N 99.22W
06/16/2014  M1.00 INCH       BOYD               NE   PUBLIC

            MOSTLY SMALLER SIZE HAIL...BUT A FEW STONES TO THE SIZE
            OF QUARTERS.

&&

SJACOBS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
751 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0742 PM     HAIL             BURWELL                 41.78N 99.13W
06/16/2014  E1.75 INCH       GARFIELD           NE   PUBLIC

&&

MARTIN