Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 102

April 27, 201418 counties in Arkansas; 4 counties in Kansas; 49 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 27, 2014, 6:26 PM CDT for 18 counties in Arkansas; 4 counties in Kansas; 49 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 27, 2014, 6:26 PM CDT (23:26 UTC)
Expired
Apr 28, 2014, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 71 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Miami County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Camden County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Platte County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Shannon County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
80%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
60%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

47 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 6:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Wyandotte34 min
Apr 27, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton31 min
Apr 27, 6:30 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFJasper, Lawrence, Newton45 min
Apr 27, 6:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKNewton, Pope, Searcy, Van Buren44 min
Apr 27, 6:34 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedSGFVernon26 min
Apr 27, 6:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Independence, Izard, Sharp, Stone43 min
Apr 27, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXBuchanan, Clay, Clinton, Platte35 min
Apr 27, 6:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDade46 min
Apr 27, 7:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Pulaski, Van Buren, White42 min
Apr 27, 7:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFMaries, Miller, Phelps, Pulaski38 min
Apr 27, 7:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Perry, Pulaski, Van Buren and 1 more35 min
Apr 27, 7:28 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKCleburne, Stone, Van Buren32 min
Apr 27, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFJasper, Lawrence, Newton46 min
Apr 27, 7:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson, Sharp51 min
Apr 27, 7:56 PM CDTTornado Warning EmergencyLZKCleburne, Faulkner, White34 min
Apr 27, 7:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Dade, Lawrence48 min
Apr 27, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Johnson, Logan, Newton, Pope, Van Buren and 1 more38 min
Apr 27, 8:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Independence, Stone, Van Buren, White43 min
Apr 27, 8:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFGreene, Polk55 min
Apr 27, 8:25 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFDade, Polk35 min
Apr 27, 8:38 PM CDTTornado Warning EmergencyLZKIndependence, Jackson, White37 min
Apr 27, 8:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Dallas, Hickory37 min
Apr 27, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Independence, Izard, Stone, White48 min
Apr 27, 9:04 PM CDTTornado Warning EmergencyLZKIndependence, Jackson41 min
Apr 27, 9:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Independence27 min
Apr 27, 9:19 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKCleburne, Independence26 min
Apr 27, 9:37 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKIndependence, Sharp23 min
Apr 27, 9:47 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson28 min
Apr 27, 9:48 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Sharp, Stone and 1 more3 hr
Apr 27, 10:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Sebastian58 min
Apr 27, 10:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson, Sharp25 min
Apr 27, 10:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Madison, Washington63 min
Apr 27, 10:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Laclede, Pulaski28 min
Apr 27, 10:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Johnson, Logan, Newton, Pope41 min
Apr 27, 10:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACarroll52 min
Apr 27, 11:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Stone, Taney28 min
Apr 27, 11:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Miller, Pulaski23 min
Apr 27, 11:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell, Oregon31 min
Apr 27, 11:16 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKFulton, Independence, Izard, Sharp29 min
Apr 27, 11:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Douglas, Stone, Taney, Webster52 min
Apr 27, 11:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Boone, Johnson, Marion, Newton, Pope and 2 more51 min
Apr 27, 11:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFMaries, Miller, Pulaski51 min
Apr 27, 11:39 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKJohnson, Newton, Pope, Searcy21 min
Apr 27, 11:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Johnson, Logan, Perry, Pope, Van Buren and 1 more47 min
Apr 28, 12:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Howell, Texas, Wright39 min
Apr 28, 12:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOregon26 min
Apr 28, 12:57 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Sharp, Stone3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 107 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2014-04-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1412 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2014-04-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 369 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1412 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-304 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
983 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
369 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
225 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

067 
WWUS20 KWNS 272327
SEL2  
SPC WW 272327
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-280700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 102
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
630 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  NORTHERN ARKANSAS
  EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS
  WESTERN AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI
  EASTERN OKLAHOMA

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 630 PM
  UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER
    POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH OF KNOB NOSTER
MISSOURI TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF FLIPPIN ARKANSAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 95...WW 96...WW 97...WW
98...WW 99...WW 100...WW 101...

DISCUSSION...SEVERAL SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE KS/MO BORDER
WILL TRACK EASTWARD INTO WESTERN MO DURING THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...WHILE OTHER STORMS DEVELOP SOUTHWARD ALONG THE AR/OK BORDER.
 STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS AND SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY WILL
MAINTAIN A RISK OF TORNADOES /INCLUDING ISOLATED STRONG TORNADOES/
THROUGH THE EVENING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 6:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Chicot, Desha, Jefferson, Lee, Lincoln and 4 more55 min
Apr 27, 12:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Conway, Crawford and 29 more2 hr
Apr 27, 1:46 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Baxter, Benton, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 55 more9 hr
Apr 27, 3:36 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Conway and 33 more7 hr
Apr 27, 4:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark and 52 more53 min
Apr 27, 6:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Benton, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 48 more64 min
Apr 27, 5:09 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Atchison, Barber, Barton, Butler, Chase and 46 more96 min
Apr 27, 6:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Brown, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 41 more6 hr
Apr 27, 7:55 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Brown, Butler and 40 more95 min
Apr 27, 10:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBourbon, Crawford, Doniphan, Johnson, Leavenworth, Linn and 2 more113 min
Apr 27, 11:23 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Johnson, Leavenworth, Linn and 2 more8 hr
Apr 27, 11:54 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cloud, Dickinson, Jewell, Mitchell, Ottawa and 3 more96 min
Apr 27, 12:16 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCJewell, Mitchell, Smith7 hr
Apr 27, 4:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Johnson, Linn, Miami and 1 more63 min
Apr 27, 6:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Johnson, Linn, Miami and 1 more95 min
Apr 27, 1:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Barton, Benton, Boone, Caldwell and 60 more61 min
Apr 27, 2:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Clark, Cole, Crawford and 25 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2014Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2014Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.