Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98

April 27, 201420 counties in Illinois; 17 counties in Iowa; 31 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 27, 2014, 2:13 PM CDT for 20 counties in Illinois; 17 counties in Iowa; 31 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 27, 2014, 2:13 PM CDT (19:13 UTC)
Expired
Apr 27, 2014, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 68 counties

Cedar County, IA, Davis County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Scott County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Washington County, IA, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Cass County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Knox County, IL, Mason County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Pike County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Warren County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Clark County, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 175 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 2:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Monroe, Shelby41 min
Apr 27, 2:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAppanoose, Davis, Mahaska, Marion, Monroe, Wapello61 min
Apr 27, 3:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNIowa, Jefferson, Johnson, Keokuk, Van Buren, Washington67 min
Apr 27, 3:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLewis, Marion, Monroe, Shelby52 min
Apr 27, 3:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXPoweshiek, Tama39 min
Apr 27, 3:53 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNIowa, Keokuk, Washington37 min
Apr 27, 4:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNCedar, Des Moines, Henry, Johnson, Linn, Louisa and 2 more47 min
Apr 27, 4:43 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDVNCedar, Jones, Linn32 min
Apr 27, 4:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNRock Island38 min
Apr 27, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHancock, Henderson, McDonough, Mercer, Warren63 min
Apr 27, 6:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage, Warren40 min
Apr 27, 6:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Cole, Osage37 min
Apr 27, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin, Warren31 min
Apr 27, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Callaway, Monroe, Montgomery, Ralls33 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 179 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2014-04-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2014-04-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 467 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1230 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
467 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
555 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 1:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun61 min
Apr 27, 4:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Hancock, Henderson, Henry, Jo Daviess, Knox and 3 more64 min
Apr 27, 10:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPage, Ringgold, Taylor113 min
Apr 27, 11:23 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Cass, Clarke and 14 more8 hr
Apr 27, 4:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Barry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Buchanan and 60 more63 min
Apr 27, 6:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Camden, Cass and 29 more95 min
Apr 27, 6:26 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Buchanan, Caldwell and 43 more8 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.