Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 100

April 27, 201439 counties in Arkansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 27, 2014, 3:36 PM CDT for 39 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 27, 2014, 3:36 PM CDT (20:36 UTC)
Expired
Apr 27, 2014, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Particularly dangerous situation
Yes
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 39 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Conway County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sevier County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
95%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
80%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 4:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Montgomery, Polk, Scott, Yell39 min
Apr 27, 4:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Pope, Yell51 min
Apr 27, 4:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Pope, Yell46 min
Apr 27, 5:00 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Pope, Yell30 min
Apr 27, 5:06 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKYell24 min
Apr 27, 5:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Montgomery, Yell33 min
Apr 27, 5:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Logan, Pope, Van Buren, Yell41 min
Apr 27, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Perry, Pike and 2 more45 min
Apr 27, 5:48 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKPolk, Scott27 min
Apr 27, 6:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Pope, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren50 min
Apr 27, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPolk, Scott46 min
Apr 27, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Logan, Pope, Yell30 min
Apr 27, 6:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, White39 min
Apr 27, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Garland, Perry, Pulaski, Saline46 min
Apr 27, 6:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKNewton, Pope, Searcy, Van Buren44 min
Apr 27, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Montgomery, Polk, Scott, Yell48 min
Apr 27, 7:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Pulaski, Van Buren, White42 min
Apr 27, 7:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Faulkner, Perry, Pulaski, Saline25 min
Apr 27, 7:06 PM CDTTornado Warning EmergencyLZKFaulkner, Perry, Pulaski, Saline24 min
Apr 27, 7:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Perry, Pulaski, Van Buren and 1 more35 min
Apr 27, 7:27 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKWhite33 min
Apr 27, 7:29 PM CDTTornado Warning EmergencyLZKFaulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, White31 min
Apr 27, 7:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Pope, Yell44 min
Apr 27, 7:56 PM CDTTornado Warning EmergencyLZKCleburne, Faulkner, White34 min
Apr 27, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Johnson, Logan, Newton, Pope, Van Buren and 1 more38 min
Apr 27, 8:14 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKWhite31 min
Apr 27, 8:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Independence, Stone, Van Buren, White43 min
Apr 27, 8:38 PM CDTTornado Warning EmergencyLZKIndependence, Jackson, White37 min
Apr 27, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Faulkner, Independence, Izard, Stone, White48 min
Apr 27, 9:48 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Fulton, Independence, Izard, Sharp, Stone and 1 more3 hr
Apr 27, 10:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Sebastian58 min
Apr 27, 10:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Montgomery, Polk, Scott, Yell52 min
Apr 27, 10:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Madison, Washington63 min
Apr 27, 10:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMontgomery, Polk, Scott38 min
Apr 27, 10:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Johnson, Logan, Newton, Pope41 min
Apr 27, 10:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Montgomery, Polk, Scott, Yell47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 250 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2014-04-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2045 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2014-04-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 225 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2045 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-117 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
645 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
225 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
395 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
6.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

421 
WWUS20 KWNS 272040
SEL0  
SPC WW 272040
ARZ000-OKZ000-280400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 100
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
335 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS
  EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 335 PM UNTIL
  1100 PM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  NUMEROUS TORNADOES EXPECTED WITH A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY
  WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5
    INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 80
    MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF DE QUEEN
ARKANSAS TO 50 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF PINE BLUFF ARKANSAS.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 95...WW 96...WW 97...WW
98...WW 99...

DISCUSSION...DISCRETE STORMS ARE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ALONG THE
DRYLINE NEAR THE RED RIVER IN SE OK...WHILE OTHER CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FARTHER S IN NE TX THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON.  THESE STORMS WILL MOVE ENEWD INTO THE WARM SECTOR AND
MATURE...AND WILL ENCOUNTER AN INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
FOR TORNADOES IN AR.  LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS VERY STRONG ALONG A
RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS CENTRAL AR...AND THE LOW LEVELS
WILL SLOWLY WARM AND MOISTEN IN THE WAKE OF EARLIER CONVECTION. 
DISCRETE SUPERCELLS MOVING INTO THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LONG TRACK...STRONG/VIOLENT TORNADOES WELL INTO
THE EVENING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 6:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Chicot, Desha, Jefferson, Lee, Lincoln and 4 more55 min
Apr 27, 12:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Conway, Crawford and 29 more2 hr
Apr 27, 1:46 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Baxter, Benton, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 55 more9 hr
Apr 27, 4:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark and 52 more53 min
Apr 27, 6:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Benton, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun and 48 more64 min
Apr 27, 6:26 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Crawford and 12 more8 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.