Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 98, NWS Springfield, MO

April 27, 2014Cedar County, Dade County, Lawrence County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 27, 2014, 7:57 PM CDT for Cedar County, Dade County, Lawrence County, Missouri. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 27, 2014, 7:57 PM CDT (00:57 UTC)
Expired: Apr 27, 2014, 8:45 PM CDT
In force: 48 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Possible
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Cedar County, MO, Dade County, MO, Lawrence County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 48 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 27, 6:26 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 39 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 409 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 501 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 353 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 357 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.8
Supercell composite: 6.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

315 
WUUS53 KSGF 280057
SVRSGF
MOC039-057-109-280145-
/O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0098.140428T0057Z-140428T0145Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
757 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN CEDAR COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  DADE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  NORTHWESTERN LAWRENCE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 845 PM CDT

* AT 751 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM LOCKWOOD TO 9 MILES WEST OF MILLER TO 8 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF MILLER TO 22 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MILLER...AND MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  EVERTON...GREENFIELD...LOCKWOOD AND MILLER.

THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES STOCKTON LAKE AND STOCKTON STATE PARK. 

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REPLACES THE WARNING PREVIOUSLY IN 
AFFECT FOR THIS LINE OF STORMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

INTENSE SQUALL LINES CAN SOMETIMES PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES AND
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IT IS BEST TO MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. THIS STORM MAY CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT MONDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3706 9406 3710 9405 3712 9403 3718 9406
      3741 9402 3767 9361 3730 9362
TIME...MOT...LOC 0056Z 231DEG 35KT 3739 9392 3725 9396
          3719 9392 3703 9410

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

WISE

2 follow-up statements

864 
WWUS53 KSGF 280114
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
814 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

MOC039-057-109-280145-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-140428T0145Z/
CEDAR MO-DADE MO-LAWRENCE MO-
814 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
LAWRENCE...DADE AND SOUTHEASTERN CEDAR COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM CDT...

AT 809 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF GREENFIELD TO EVERTON TO 6 MILES
WEST OF MILLER TO 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MILLER TO 11 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF MILLER...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MOBILE
         HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EVERTON...GREENFIELD...LOCKWOOD AND MILLER.

THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES STOCKTON LAKE AND STOCKTON STATE PARK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

INTENSE SQUALL LINES CAN SOMETIMES PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES AND
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IT IS BEST TO MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING. THIS STORM MAY CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND
SIGNIFICANT PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT MONDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3706 9406 3710 9405 3712 9403 3718 9406
      3741 9402 3767 9361 3730 9362
TIME...MOT...LOC 0114Z 226DEG 43KT 3753 9373 3735 9370
          3728 9389 3721 9392 3715 9394

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

WISE

827 
WWUS53 KSGF 280135
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
835 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

MOC039-057-109-280145-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0098.000000T0000Z-140428T0145Z/
CEDAR MO-DADE MO-LAWRENCE MO-
835 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN LAWRENCE...DADE
AND SOUTHEASTERN CEDAR COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 845 PM CDT...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR
PROPERTY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT MONDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3706 9406 3710 9405 3712 9403 3718 9406
      3741 9402 3767 9361 3730 9362
TIME...MOT...LOC 0135Z 226DEG 43KT 3770 9350 3752 9347
          3745 9366 3738 9369 3732 9371

$$

BOXELL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 27, 3:50 PM CDT, 4 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 27, 3:50 PM CDT, 4 hours 7 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
350 PM CDT Sun Apr 27 2014

...Mesoscale Discussion...

.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...
Issued at 349 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

No major changes to the going thoughts this afternoon, as the
initial wave of convection is quickly pushing east of the CWA.
Another band of scattered showers/thunderstorms has developed
between I-49 and U.S. 65 in an area of low level convergence, but
right now, don't think that this area will be too much of a concern,
though it will need to be watched.

Main area of concern remains the surface front/dryline across
eastern Oklahoma, where TCU has been observed developing on visible
satellite within the last hour.  Surface convergence, while still
not great, should improve as height falls overspread this area and
surface winds back ahead on the east side of the boundary.  The
environment across this area is quite unstable, characterized by
MLCAPE values in excess of 2000 J/KG, with shear values more than
sufficient for supercells.

High confidence exists that supercells will develop across eastern
Oklahoma and western Arkansas late this afternoon into the evening
hours.  The big question right now is how dense storm coverage will
be, and whether development will be far enough north for any storms
to move into southern Missouri.  At this point, significant severe
weather potential remains conditional.  But, should storms make in
into southern Missouri later this afternoon/evening, very large
hail, high winds, and tornadoes will be possible.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Monday)
Issued at 248 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

Main concern for this evening will be potential storms developing
to our west along a dryline currently extending across eastern
Kansas and eastern Oklahoma. Latest LAPS analyses show that the
airmass immediately ahead of the dryline remains unstable with
CAPE values around 2000-3000j/kg with no inhibition. So do not
plan to let the current tornado watch go anytime soon. Storms that
developed earlier today and continue along the MO/KS border and
over the eastern MO Ozarks have produced sporadic hail and severe
wind gusts...but likely remain rooted above the boundary layer
with convective inhibition values over 100 j/kg.

Will keep storm chances going over the entire forecast area
through the evening and then begin to taper chances off from west
to east after Midnight. Will make last minute adjustments on
mention of severe storms in the zone forecast but currently plan
to keep severe mention east of Highway 65 through the night...and
go with severe for just the evening west of this line.

Other concern will be with heavy rainfall over our southeast
counties through tonight where a potential mesoscale convective
complex is expected to track northeast from Arkansas and add to
the rain already received this afternoon. So will post a Flood
Watch for Oregon/Shannon/Howell counties for tonight.

As we go into late tonight and Monday...will mainly follow NAM
timing on ending precip over our eastern zones around Midday.

.LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Sunday)
Issued at 248 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

The upper level low pressure center is expected to become cut off
from main upper flow and meander across the upper Midwest through
Thursday...which will make timing of precipitation rather tricky
as spokes of energy rotate around the upper low. Have a little
more confidence in the fact that most of the precipitation should
be on the lighter side.

Temperatures are still expected to be unseasonably cool with the
cutoff low ushering in a Canadian airmass over the region.
Wednesday night and Thursday night still look to be the coldest
and overall have gone upper 30s to lower 40s for minimums.

The upper low will finally shift northeast into the Great Lakes
region by Friday with some moderation in temperatures through
Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday Afternoon)
Issued at 1252 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

A large and slow moving storm system moving into the central portion
of the country will bring several rounds of shower and thunderstorm
activity to southwestern Missouri Airfields into the evening hours
today.  Expect periods of MVFR due to lower ceilings and reduced
forward visibility in heavier rainfall associated with convective
activity. As this system slowly progresses eastward this evening and
tonight...precipitation will abate from west to east.  Included a
period of low level wind shear at all three airfields this evening
due to strong southwesterly flow just above the surface associated
with this system.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLOOD WATCH from 7 PM CDT this evening through Monday morning
     FOR MOZ097-098-106.

KS...NONE.
&&

MESOSCALE...Boxell
SHORT TERM...Terry
LONG TERM...Terry
AVIATION...Colucci

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 27, 7:05 PM CDT, 52 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
705 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-290015-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
705 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED TORNADO RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT HAIL RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

 NUMEROUS STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT EXTREME
 THE MISSOURI OZARKS THIS EVENING.

  LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND TORNADOES ARE ALL
  POSSIBLE.

  A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL INTERACT WITH AN APPROACHING
  DRYLINE TO PRODUCE STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
  EVENING HOURS. STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL ALSO
  INCREASE THE CHANCES FOR ROTATING THUNDERSTORMS...WHICH HAVE THE
  POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL UP TO TWO INCHES IN
  DIAMETER...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH AND TORNADOES.

  FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE MISSOURI OZARKS TONIGHT AS
  STORMS REPEATED DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS AND
  TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...GENERALLY EAST
  OF A WEST PLAINS TO EMINENCE LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING ACROSS THE EASTERN OZARKS ON
  MONDAY MORNING.

  WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN MISSOURI
  AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS ON MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT THREE HOURS FOR
  ALONG AND EAST OF A NEOSHO TO NEVADA LINE.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

TERRY

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 27, 5:25 PM CDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
525 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     HAIL             WILLOW SPRINGS          36.99N 91.97W
04/27/2014  E1.00 INCH       HOWELL             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

KARDELL

Local storm report, Apr 27, 5:54 PM CDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
554 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0539 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BAXTER SPRINGS          37.02N 94.74W
04/27/2014                   CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HEAVY DAMAGE TO SEVERAL HOMES.

&&

KARDELL

Local storm report, Apr 27, 6:53 PM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
653 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     HAIL             IRWIN                   37.59N 94.29W
04/27/2014  E1.00 INCH       BARTON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

KARDELL

Local storm report, Apr 27, 6:54 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
654 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 W LAMAR               37.49N 94.40W
04/27/2014                   BARTON             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TIN OBSERVED IN TREES

&&

KARDELL

Local storm report, Apr 27, 7:29 PM CDT, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
729 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0728 PM     HAIL             NEOSHO                  36.87N 94.37W
04/27/2014  E0.75 INCH       NEWTON             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KARDELL

Local storm report, Apr 27, 7:30 PM CDT, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
730 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0514 PM     HAIL             LICKING                 37.50N 91.86W
04/27/2014  E1.00 INCH       TEXAS              MO   PUBLIC

&&

KARDELL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 27, 7:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Maries, Miller, Phelps, Pulaski	38 min
Apr 27, 7:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Jasper, Lawrence, Newton	46 min
Apr 27, 8:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Greene, Polk	55 min
Apr 27, 8:25 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Dade, Polk	35 min
Apr 27, 8:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Camden, Dallas, Hickory	37 min
Apr 27, 9:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Miller	27 min
Apr 27, 10:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Laclede	36 min
Apr 27, 10:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Camden, Laclede, Pulaski	28 min
Apr 27, 11:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Christian, Stone, Taney	28 min
Apr 27, 11:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Camden, Miller, Pulaski	23 min
Apr 27, 11:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Howell, Oregon	31 min
Apr 27, 11:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Christian, Douglas, Stone, Taney, Webster	52 min
Apr 27, 11:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Maries, Miller, Pulaski	51 min
Apr 28, 12:06 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas, Howell, Texas, Wright	39 min
Apr 28, 12:19 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Oregon	26 min
Apr 28, 12:36 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Texas	24 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2014 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.