Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 516
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Oct 2, 2014, 12:20 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 2, 2014, 12:20 PM CDT (17:20 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 2, 2014, 8:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 91 counties
Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Polk County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Benton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Shannon County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK, Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Murray County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK
The radar
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
66 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 12:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Delaware | 46 min |
| Oct 2, 1:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton, Washington | 28 min |
| Oct 2, 1:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Osage, Rogers, Tulsa, Washington | 61 min |
| Oct 2, 1:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Creek, Okmulgee, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner | 53 min |
| Oct 2, 1:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton, Carroll | 47 min |
| Oct 2, 1:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Taney | 47 min |
| Oct 2, 2:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Coal, Hughes, Pontotoc | 45 min |
| Oct 2, 2:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Latimer, Pittsburg, Pushmataha | 42 min |
| Oct 2, 2:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Dent, Phelps | 52 min |
| Oct 2, 2:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Ozark, Taney | 47 min |
| Oct 2, 2:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Mayes, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Rogers, Tulsa and 1 more | 47 min |
| Oct 2, 2:33 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford | 5 hr |
| Oct 2, 2:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Hughes, Pontotoc, Seminole | 41 min |
| Oct 2, 2:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Latimer, LeFlore | 30 min |
| Oct 2, 2:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | McIntosh, Pittsburg | 57 min |
| Oct 2, 2:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Nowata, Rogers | 17 min |
| Oct 2, 2:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Bryan, Johnston, Love, Marshall | 48 min |
| Oct 2, 2:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton, Carroll, Madison | 44 min |
| Oct 2, 3:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton | 45 min |
| Oct 2, 3:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Muskogee, Sequoyah | 41 min |
| Oct 2, 3:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Coal, Johnston, Pontotoc | 52 min |
| Oct 2, 3:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Benton | 28 min |
| Oct 2, 3:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Delaware, Mayes, Ottawa, Wagoner | 43 min |
| Oct 2, 3:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas, Howell, Ozark, Texas | 41 min |
| Oct 2, 3:20 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Haskell, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg | 40 min |
| Oct 2, 3:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | McDonald | 37 min |
| Oct 2, 3:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry | 45 min |
| Oct 2, 3:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore | 41 min |
| Oct 2, 3:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Benton, Washington | 27 min |
| Oct 2, 3:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Atoka, Bryan | 39 min |
| Oct 2, 3:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Atoka, Coal, Johnston | 16 min |
| Oct 2, 3:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Howell, Texas | 37 min |
| Oct 2, 3:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Coal, Hughes | 33 min |
| Oct 2, 3:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cedar, Dade | 21 min |
| Oct 2, 3:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Haskell, Muskogee | 31 min |
| Oct 2, 4:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Benton, Morgan | 38 min |
| Oct 2, 4:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Washington | 24 min |
| Oct 2, 4:08 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Benton, Miller, Morgan | 6 hr |
| Oct 2, 4:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Greene, Polk | 49 min |
| Oct 2, 4:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Pittsburg | 32 min |
| Oct 2, 4:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Shannon | 61 min |
| Oct 2, 4:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Greene | 41 min |
| Oct 2, 4:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Sequoyah | 24 min |
| Oct 2, 4:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian | 52 min |
| Oct 2, 4:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | McIntosh, Pittsburg | 46 min |
| Oct 2, 5:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Choctaw, LeFlore, Pushmataha | 45 min |
| Oct 2, 5:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas | 43 min |
| Oct 2, 5:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | McCurtain | 66 min |
| Oct 2, 5:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Logan, Scott, Yell | 47 min |
| Oct 2, 5:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian, Washington | 43 min |
| Oct 2, 5:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | McIntosh, Muskogee, Sequoyah | 43 min |
| Oct 2, 5:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Polk, Scott | 41 min |
| Oct 2, 5:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Logan, Newton | 23 min |
| Oct 2, 5:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | McCurtain | 42 min |
| Oct 2, 5:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas, Howell, Ozark, Texas, Wright | 37 min |
| Oct 2, 5:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Logan, Newton, Pope | 49 min |
| Oct 2, 5:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Madison | 33 min |
| Oct 2, 5:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Logan, Montgomery, Pike, Polk, Scott, Yell | 46 min |
| Oct 2, 6:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Newton | 29 min |
| Oct 2, 6:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone, Conway, Johnson, Marion, Newton, Pope and 2 more | 66 min |
| Oct 2, 6:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Conway, Garland, Logan, Montgomery, Perry, Pope and 4 more | 60 min |
| Oct 2, 6:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Howell, Shannon | 36 min |
| Oct 2, 6:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Marion | 26 min |
| Oct 2, 7:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Marion | 27 min |
| Oct 2, 7:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Oregon | 27 min |
| Oct 2, 7:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Fulton, Izard and 5 more | 60 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 66 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2054 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -20 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 689 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 285 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 281 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 2.3
- Supercell composite
- 11.6
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 11:59 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Randolph | 91 min |
| Oct 2, 1:57 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Desha and 4 more | 93 min |
| Oct 2, 3:16 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Johnson and 7 more | 59 min |
| Oct 2, 5:25 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 50 more | 95 min |
| Oct 2, 5:48 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 52 more | 8 hr |
| Oct 1, 9:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Douglas, Franklin, Jefferson, Johnson, Leavenworth and 3 more | 25 min |
| Oct 1, 9:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bourbon, Linn, Miami | 6 hr |
| Oct 1, 9:59 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Decatur, Ellis, Gove, Graham, Lane, Ness and 9 more | 2 hr |
| Oct 1, 11:55 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Douglas, Franklin, Johnson, Leavenworth, Linn, Miami and 1 more | 95 min |
| Oct 1, 11:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Jewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Phillips, Rooks, Smith | 5 hr |
| Oct 2, 2:33 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Labette, Linn and 3 more | 117 min |
| Oct 2, 3:02 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Cloud, Jewell, Mitchell, Ottawa, Republic and 1 more | 118 min |
| Oct 2, 6:59 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atchison, Brown, Clay, Dickinson, Doniphan, Geary and 10 more | 61 min |
| Oct 2, 8:00 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Brown, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 34 more | 7 hr |
| Oct 2, 1:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Crawford, Franklin, Gasconade and 13 more | 10 hr |
| Oct 2, 3:14 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Franklin, Iron, Jefferson, Madison and 7 more | 91 min |
| Oct 2, 6:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bollinger, Cape Girardeau, Crawford, Franklin, Iron, Jefferson and 8 more | 90 min |
| Oct 1, 11:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Cotton and 18 more | 3 hr |
| Oct 2, 10:00 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Atoka, Carter, Cherokee, Cleveland, Coal and 23 more | 3 hr |
| Oct 2, 1:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | McCurtain | 9 hr |
| Oct 2, 4:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bryan, Love | 54 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.