Tornado Watch 519

Issued

Oct 2, 2014, 5:48 PM CDT (22:48 UTC)

Expired

Oct 3, 2014, 2:00 AM CDT

In force

8 hr

Issued by

the Storm Prediction Center

Largest hail expected

1.5 in

Strongest gust expected

65 kt

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Two or more tornadoes

50%

One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes

20%

Ten or more severe wind reports

70%

One or more gusts of 65 knots or more

30%

Ten or more severe hail reports

20%

One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more

5%

Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports

90%

• Mesoscale Discussion 1797Oct 2, 1:57 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 1801Oct 2, 5:25 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 1804Oct 2, 7:35 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 1805Oct 2, 9:04 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 1806Oct 2, 9:26 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 1808Oct 2, 11:50 PM CDT

976 
WWUS20 KWNS 022248
SEL9  
SPC WW 022248
ARZ000-ILZ000-KYZ000-LAZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-TXZ000-030700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 519
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
545 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  ARKANSAS
  EXTREME SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
  WESTERN KENTUCKY
  NORTHERN LOUISIANA
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI
  NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI
  WESTERN TENNESSEE
  EXTREME NORTHEASTERN TEXAS

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 545
  PM UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
    TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 110 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF EL
DORADO ARKANSAS TO 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 516...WW 517...WW 518...

DISCUSSION...SVR THREAT EXPECTED TO MAXIMIZE WITH INCREASINGLY
WELL-ORGANIZED LINE OF TSTMS...OFFERING PRIMARY WIND-DAMAGE RISK
WHILE MOVING W-E ACROSS WW AREA THIS EVENING.  SPORADIC HAIL IS
POSSIBLE ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FOR A FEW BRIEF QLCS TORNADOES. 
ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WITH SLGT TORNADO RISK ALSO MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF
MAIN SQUALL LINE OVER MID-SOUTH REGION...WITHIN ENVIRONMENT OF
STEADILY INCREASING LOW-LEVEL SRH RELATED TO LLJ ENLARGEMENT OF
HODOGRAPH.  REF SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1801 FOR MORE
METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.


...EDWARDS

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2014Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2014Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.