Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Warnings in 2014

Tornado Warning 29, NWS Little Rock, AR

October 2, 2014Grant County, Jefferson County, Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this tornado warning at Oct 2, 2014, 8:05 PM CDT for Grant County, Jefferson County, Arkansas. It was in force for 25 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Oct 2, 2014, 8:05 PM CDT (01:05 UTC)
Expired: Oct 2, 2014, 8:30 PM CDT
In force: 25 min
Issued by: NWS Little Rock, AR
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Grant County, AR, Jefferson County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Oct 2, 8:05 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Sheridan, AR	MULTIPLE TREES DOWN THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY.
Oct 2, 8:05 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Sheridan, AR	A TREE FELL THROUGH THE ROOF OF A HOUSE.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Oct 2, 5:48 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 00:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 219 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2607 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 784 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 138 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 152 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 3.0
Supercell composite: 13.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

065 
WFUS54 KLZK 030105
TORLZK
ARC053-069-030130-
/O.NEW.KLZK.TO.W.0029.141003T0105Z-141003T0130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
805 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
  NORTHEASTERN GRANT COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 830 PM CDT

* AT 801 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS SEVERE
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SHERIDAN. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS SEVERE
  STORM MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE...
  SHERIDAN...           REDFIELD...           HENSLEY ISLAND...
  SAMPLES...            JEFFERSON...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 530 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 18 AND 28.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3426 9243 3434 9249 3449 9215 3449 9207
      3435 9207
TIME...MOT...LOC 0105Z 247DEG 48KT 3433 9237

$$

44

1 follow-up statement

722 
WWUS54 KLZK 030115
SVSLZK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
815 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

ARC053-069-030130-
/O.CON.KLZK.TO.W.0029.000000T0000Z-141003T0130Z/
GRANT AR-JEFFERSON AR-
815 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON AND
EAST CENTRAL GRANT COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM CDT...

AT 812 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF REDFIELD...OR 9
MILES EAST OF SHERIDAN...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE...
  REDFIELD...           HENSLEY ISLAND...     SAMPLES...
  JEFFERSON...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 530 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 20 AND 28.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FRIDAY MORNING FOR
ARKANSAS.

LAT...LON 3430 9228 3440 9235 3449 9207 3435 9207
TIME...MOT...LOC 0115Z 250DEG 54KT 3437 9221

$$

44

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Oct 2, 7:03 PM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 2, 7:03 PM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
703 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

.AVIATION...03/00Z TAF CYCLE

LINE OF SVR STORMS ACRS WRN AR ATTM WL CONT TO TRACK EWD THRU
CNTRL AND ERN AR THIS EVENING. EXPECT OCNL MVFR/IFR CONDS WITH
THIS LINE ALONG WITH WINDS GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 KTS. AREA OF RAIN AND
SOME EMBEDDED THUNDER WL LINGER FOR A FEW HRS BEHIND THE INITIAL
SQUALL LINE...FOLLOWED BY A PD OF MVFR CIGS THRU EARLY FRI MRNG.
GUSTY NWLY WINDS BEHIND THE ASSOC CDFNT WL USHER MUCH COOLER AND
DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION...WITH VFR CONDS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF
FRI. /44/
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 237 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
RECENT SURFACE OBSERVATIONAL DATA FROM THE OKLAHOMA MESONET
INDICATES THE COLD FRONT...AND ASSOCIATED PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH ARE
STARTING TO ACCELERATE TOWARDS THE FORECAST AREA. CONVECTION
CONTINUES TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE TROUGH...WHERE SURFACE BASED
CAPE VALUES EXCEED 3000 J/KG. FORECAST SHEAR PROFILES...AND
ORIENTATION OF FORCING CONTINUE TO SUPPORT LINEAR MCS DEVELOPMENT
LATER THIS AFTERNOON...QUICKLY MOVING EASTWARD DURING THE EVENING
HOURS.

BREEZY CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY...WITH NOTICEABLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...WITH MAX TEMPERATURES AVERAGING 6-10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
VALUES.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
IN THE LONG TERM...UPPER FLOW WILL BE PREDOMINANTLY OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST OR NORTH. THIS WILL SEND SEVERAL WEAK SYSTEMS THROUGH THE
REGION...WITH RAIN CHANCES AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD. BY THE
END OF THE PERIOD...RIDGING WILL ATTEMPT TO BUILD IN THE SOUTHEAST
CONUS...WITH A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST...AND
AFFECTING THE REGION BEYOND THE END OF THE PERIOD.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 2, 3:45 PM CDT, 4 hours 20 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
345 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-031000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
345 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A POTENT COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND OUT AHEAD OF THE
BOUNDARY. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH THE
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY FORM INTO A SQUALL LINE.

ANY SEVERE STORMS THAT DEVELOP THROUGH TONIGHT WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...AND HAIL OF ONE
INCH IN DIAMETER OR GREATER. AT THIS TIME...THE TORNADO THREAT
APPEARS TO BE MINIMAL.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE AROUND HALF AN INCH TO AN INCH AND A
HALF. HOWEVER...SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS THE NORTH COULD QUICKLY PICK
UP TWO INCHES BEFORE THE STORMS MOVE OUT OF THE REGION LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A FEW STORMS MAY STILL BE IN EASTERN PARTS OF THE STATE VERY EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...BUT THEY SHOULD MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY MID
MORNING. MUCH DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE STATE
FROM THE NORTHWEST IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT. STRONG NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL BE SEEN ON FRIDAY. SOME OF THE COOLEST TEMPERATURES OF
THE SEASON MAY BE SEEN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING...
PARTICULARLY ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS...WHERE LOW TEMPERATURES IN
THE UPPER 30S ARE IN THE FORECAST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

226/57

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 2, 7:43 PM CDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
743 PM CDT THU OCT 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0739 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MAYFLOWER               34.97N 92.42W
10/02/2014                   FAULKNER           AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SIGNS WERE BLOWN DOWN ONTO I-40 NEAR MAYFLOWER.

&&

57

Local storm report, Oct 2, 7:47 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
747 PM CDT THU OCT 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0723 PM     TSTM WND DMG     9 ESE HOT SPRINGS       34.45N 92.91W
10/02/2014                   HOT SPRING         AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES REPORTED DOWN ON US 270 NEAR THE GARLAND COUNTY
            FAIR GROUNDS.

&&

224

Local storm report, Oct 2, 7:48 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
748 PM CDT THU OCT 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0733 PM     TSTM WND GST     ARKADELPHIA             34.12N 93.07W
10/02/2014  M45 MPH          CLARK              AR   OTHER FEDERAL

            A 45 MPH WIND GUST WAS MEASURED AT DEXTER FLORENCE
            MEMORIAL FIELD AT ARKADELPHIA.

&&

57

Special weather statement, Oct 2, 7:50 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
750 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

ARZ006-007-015-030120-
FULTON AR-IZARD AR-SHARP AR-
750 PM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN SHARP...EXTREME
NORTHEASTERN IZARD AND FULTON COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM CDT...

AT 749 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES EAST OF BYRON...OR 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
SALEM...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SALEM...              CHEROKEE VILLAGE...   SALEM ARPT...
  MORRISTON...          MAMMOTH SPRING STATE PARK...
  MAMMOTH SPRING...     LAKE THUNDERBIRD...   LAKE SEQUOYAH...
  LAKE OMAHA...         LAKE NAVAJO...        LAKE CHANUTE...
  HARDY...              FLINT SPRINGS...      BYRON...
  WIRTH...              WHEELING...           UNION...
  SADDLER FALLS...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY....AND A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS
AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS
LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS....FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3650 9140 3646 9135 3643 9134 3642 9130
      3640 9131 3637 9127 3634 9127 3632 9125
      3630 9125 3625 9127 3625 9192 3633 9210
      3651 9177
TIME...MOT...LOC 0050Z 249DEG 33KT 3632 9188

58

Local storm report, Oct 2, 7:58 PM CDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
758 PM CDT THU OCT 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PETIT JEAN STATE PARK   35.12N 92.94W
10/02/2014                   CONWAY             AR   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            NUMEROUS TREE LIMBS WERE BLOWN DOWN.

&&

57

Local storm report, Oct 2, 7:59 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
759 PM CDT THU OCT 02 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

&&
CORRECTED TIME.

57

The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 2, 7:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Baxter, Marion	27 min
Oct 2, 7:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Baxter, Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Fulton, Izard and 5 more	60 min
Oct 2, 7:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Clark, Conway, Dallas, Faulkner, Garland, Grant and 5 more	54 min
Oct 2, 7:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Calhoun, Clark, Dallas, Ouachita	63 min
Oct 2, 7:50 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LZK	Fulton	30 min
Oct 2, 7:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Cleburne, Faulkner, Independence, Izard, Stone, White	37 min
Oct 2, 7:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Dallas, Grant and 5 more	48 min
Oct 2, 7:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Faulkner, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski, White	47 min
Oct 2, 8:00 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Pulaski, Saline	30 min
Oct 2, 8:11 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Lonoke, Pulaski	17 min
Oct 2, 8:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Independence, Jackson, White, Woodruff	55 min
Oct 2, 8:23 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski	37 min
Oct 2, 8:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Cleveland, Dallas, Desha, Drew, Jefferson and 4 more	49 min
Oct 2, 8:29 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Jefferson	31 min
Oct 2, 8:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Drew	51 min
Oct 2, 8:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie, White, Woodruff	56 min
Oct 2, 8:57 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Monroe	33 min
Oct 2, 8:57 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LZK	Monroe, Prairie	33 min
Oct 2, 9:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Desha, Drew, Jefferson, Lincoln, Monroe and 1 more	44 min
Oct 2, 9:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Desha, Drew	51 min
Oct 2, 9:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LZK	Arkansas, Desha	15 min
Oct 3, 4:47 AM CDT	Lake Wind Advisory	LZK	Arkansas, Baxter, Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Fulton and 15 more	10 hr

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Arkansas, 2014 Every tornado warning in 2014 Tornadoes in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.