Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 514

October 1, 20146 counties in Kansas; 21 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Oct 1, 2014, 11:59 PM CDT for 6 counties in Kansas; 21 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 1, 2014, 11:59 PM CDT (04:59 UTC)
Expired
Oct 2, 2014, 5:17 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 27 counties

Jewell County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Smith County, KS, Adams County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Clay County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Howard County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Polk County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 2, 12:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Dawson, Franklin, Harlan, Kearney, Phelps45 min
Oct 2, 2:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNuckolls, Webster43 min
Oct 2, 2:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNuckolls, Thayer47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 163 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2014-10-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 116 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2014-10-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -19 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
116 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-37 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2167 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-19 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
6 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 1, 9:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Douglas, Franklin, Jefferson, Johnson, Leavenworth and 3 more25 min
Oct 1, 9:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBourbon, Linn, Miami6 hr
Oct 1, 9:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDecatur, Ellis, Gove, Graham, Lane, Ness and 9 more2 hr
Oct 1, 11:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDouglas, Franklin, Johnson, Leavenworth, Linn, Miami and 1 more95 min
Oct 2, 2:33 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Labette, Linn and 3 more117 min
Oct 2, 3:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cloud, Jewell, Mitchell, Ottawa, Republic and 1 more118 min
Oct 2, 6:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Clay, Dickinson, Doniphan, Geary and 10 more61 min
Oct 2, 8:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Anderson, Brown, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 34 more7 hr
Oct 2, 12:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford8 hr
Oct 2, 3:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2014Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2014Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.