Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 169
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 14, 2012, 5:00 PM CDT for 24 counties in Iowa; Doniphan County, Kansas; 21 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 14, 2012, 5:00 PM CDT (22:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 15, 2012, 12:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 46 counties
Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Polk County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Doniphan County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO
The radar
The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 5:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Polk, Warren | 38 min |
| Apr 14, 5:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EAX | Atchison | 46 min |
| Apr 14, 5:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Jasper, Polk | 45 min |
| Apr 14, 6:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Adair, Adams, Cass | 48 min |
| Apr 14, 6:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Clarke, Decatur, Ringgold, Union | 34 min |
| Apr 14, 6:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Taylor | 33 min |
| Apr 14, 6:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Adams, Clarke, Decatur, Madison, Ringgold, Taylor and 1 more | 42 min |
| Apr 14, 6:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Polk, Warren | 34 min |
| Apr 14, 6:59 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DMX | Cass | 3 hr |
| Apr 14, 7:07 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DMX | Adair, Madison | 101 min |
| Apr 14, 7:11 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Madison, Union | 19 min |
| Apr 14, 7:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Clarke, Lucas, Madison, Marion, Union, Warren | 49 min |
| Apr 14, 7:30 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DMX | Adair, Dallas, Guthrie, Madison, Polk, Warren | 3 hr |
| Apr 14, 7:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Dallas, Jasper, Madison, Marion, Polk, Warren | 43 min |
| Apr 14, 7:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Boone, Dallas, Jasper, Polk, Story | 38 min |
| Apr 14, 7:37 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Clarke, Madison, Warren | 23 min |
| Apr 14, 8:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Jasper, Marshall, Polk, Story | 50 min |
| Apr 14, 8:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Clarke, Lucas, Mahaska, Marion, Monroe, Warren | 46 min |
| Apr 14, 8:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Poweshiek, Tama | 57 min |
| Apr 14, 8:55 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DMX | Clarke, Decatur, Lucas, Marion, Monroe, Ringgold and 2 more | 103 min |
| Apr 14, 8:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Lucas, Mahaska, Marion, Monroe, Wapello | 49 min |
| Apr 14, 9:21 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | DMX | Mahaska | 24 min |
| Apr 14, 9:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX | Wapello | 16 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1847 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 2 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 89 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
291
WWUS20 KWNS 142159
SEL9
SPC WW 142159
IAZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-150500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 169
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
500 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN IOWA
FAR NORTHEAST KANSAS
NORTHERN MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 500 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST OF SHENANDOAH
IOWA TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF OTTUMWA IOWA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 165...WW 166...WW
167...WW 168...
DISCUSSION...EVOLVING BOW ECHO/HP SUPERCELL OVER SERN NEB IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ENEWD ALONG WARM FRONT...POTENTIALLY ENHANCING
DOWNSTREAM STORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG WARM FRONT. LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT A SSWLY LLJ WILL STRENGTHEN TO 50+ KT ACROSS
REGION TONIGHT...ENHANCING CONVERGENCE ALONG WARM FRONT...AND
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR. AS SUCH...A RISK FOR TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL WILL EXIST WITH ANY SUSTAINED STORM STRUCTURES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...MEADSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 12:00 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Fremont, Harrison, Mills, Monona, Montgomery, Page and 2 more | 7 hr |
| Apr 14, 2:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Audubon, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills and 5 more | 90 min |
| Apr 14, 2:56 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Cass, Clarke and 14 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 14, 4:47 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Appanoose, Cass, Clarke, Dallas and 17 more | 58 min |
| Apr 14, 6:57 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Cass, Clarke and 23 more | 63 min |
| Apr 13, 9:14 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 17 more | 61 min |
| Apr 14, 3:42 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Chautauqua, Labette, Montgomery | 5 hr |
| Apr 14, 7:11 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cherokee, Labette | 64 min |
| Apr 14, 9:42 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Finney, Ford, Gove, Grant, Gray and 10 more | 93 min |
| Apr 14, 10:43 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Barber, Barton, Clark, Clay, Cloud, Comanche and 42 more | 7 hr |
| Apr 14, 11:44 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Barton, Clark, Clay, Cloud, Comanche and 40 more | 61 min |
| Apr 14, 12:11 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Coffey, Cowley, Dickinson and 19 more | 64 min |
| Apr 14, 1:41 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Decatur, Rawlins | 2 hr |
| Apr 14, 1:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Clark, Cloud, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth and 20 more | 61 min |
| Apr 14, 2:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Cloud, Jewell, Lincoln, Mitchell, Ottawa and 2 more | 32 min |
| Apr 14, 3:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellsworth and 10 more | 29 min |
| Apr 14, 3:48 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Barton, Clark, Clay, Cloud, Comanche and 33 more | 57 min |
| Apr 14, 4:54 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Barton, Clay, Cloud, Comanche, Dickinson and 32 more | 66 min |
| Apr 14, 5:24 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Barber, Barton, Brown, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 57 more | 9 hr |
| Apr 13, 7:34 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barry, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Cole and 29 more | 116 min |
| Apr 14, 11:27 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Buffalo, Clay, Fillmore, Franklin, Furnas and 19 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 14, 2:33 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Blaine, Custer, Frontier, Garfield, Hayes, Holt and 7 more | 8 hr |
| Apr 14, 6:27 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Adams, Buffalo, Cass, Clay, Dawson, Fillmore and 30 more | 9 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2012Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2012Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.