Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 169

April 14, 201224 counties in Iowa; Doniphan County, Kansas; 21 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 14, 2012, 5:00 PM CDT for 24 counties in Iowa; Doniphan County, Kansas; 21 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 14, 2012, 5:00 PM CDT (22:00 UTC)
Expired
Apr 15, 2012, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 46 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Polk County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Doniphan County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 14, 5:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXPolk, Warren38 min
Apr 14, 5:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison46 min
Apr 14, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Polk45 min
Apr 14, 6:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Adams, Cass48 min
Apr 14, 6:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Decatur, Ringgold, Union34 min
Apr 14, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXTaylor33 min
Apr 14, 6:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdams, Clarke, Decatur, Madison, Ringgold, Taylor and 1 more42 min
Apr 14, 6:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXPolk, Warren34 min
Apr 14, 6:59 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXCass3 hr
Apr 14, 7:07 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXAdair, Madison101 min
Apr 14, 7:11 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXMadison, Union19 min
Apr 14, 7:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Lucas, Madison, Marion, Union, Warren49 min
Apr 14, 7:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXAdair, Dallas, Guthrie, Madison, Polk, Warren3 hr
Apr 14, 7:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXDallas, Jasper, Madison, Marion, Polk, Warren43 min
Apr 14, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBoone, Dallas, Jasper, Polk, Story38 min
Apr 14, 7:37 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXClarke, Madison, Warren23 min
Apr 14, 8:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXJasper, Marshall, Polk, Story50 min
Apr 14, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXClarke, Lucas, Mahaska, Marion, Monroe, Warren46 min
Apr 14, 8:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXPoweshiek, Tama57 min
Apr 14, 8:55 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXClarke, Decatur, Lucas, Marion, Monroe, Ringgold and 2 more103 min
Apr 14, 8:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXLucas, Mahaska, Marion, Monroe, Wapello49 min
Apr 14, 9:21 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXMahaska24 min
Apr 14, 9:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXWapello16 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2012-04-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2012-04-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 2 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1847 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
89 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

291 
WWUS20 KWNS 142159
SEL9
SPC WW 142159
IAZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-150500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 169
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
500 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTHERN IOWA
       FAR NORTHEAST KANSAS
       NORTHERN MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 500 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST OF SHENANDOAH
IOWA TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF OTTUMWA IOWA.  FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 165...WW 166...WW
167...WW 168...

DISCUSSION...EVOLVING BOW ECHO/HP SUPERCELL OVER SERN NEB IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ENEWD ALONG WARM FRONT...POTENTIALLY ENHANCING
DOWNSTREAM STORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG WARM FRONT.  LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT A SSWLY LLJ WILL STRENGTHEN TO 50+ KT ACROSS
REGION TONIGHT...ENHANCING CONVERGENCE ALONG WARM FRONT...AND
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR.  AS SUCH...A RISK FOR TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL WILL EXIST WITH ANY SUSTAINED STORM STRUCTURES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 14, 12:00 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCFremont, Harrison, Mills, Monona, Montgomery, Page and 2 more7 hr
Apr 14, 2:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Audubon, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills and 5 more90 min
Apr 14, 2:56 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Cass, Clarke and 14 more2 hr
Apr 14, 4:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Cass, Clarke, Dallas and 17 more58 min
Apr 14, 6:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Cass, Clarke and 23 more63 min
Apr 13, 9:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 17 more61 min
Apr 14, 3:42 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCChautauqua, Labette, Montgomery5 hr
Apr 14, 7:11 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Labette64 min
Apr 14, 9:42 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Finney, Ford, Gove, Grant, Gray and 10 more93 min
Apr 14, 10:43 AM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Clay, Cloud, Comanche and 42 more7 hr
Apr 14, 11:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Clay, Cloud, Comanche and 40 more61 min
Apr 14, 12:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Chase, Chautauqua, Coffey, Cowley, Dickinson and 19 more64 min
Apr 14, 1:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDecatur, Rawlins2 hr
Apr 14, 1:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Clark, Cloud, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth and 20 more61 min
Apr 14, 2:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Cloud, Jewell, Lincoln, Mitchell, Ottawa and 2 more32 min
Apr 14, 3:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellsworth and 10 more29 min
Apr 14, 3:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clark, Clay, Cloud, Comanche and 33 more57 min
Apr 14, 4:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Barton, Clay, Cloud, Comanche, Dickinson and 32 more66 min
Apr 14, 5:24 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCBarber, Barton, Brown, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua and 57 more9 hr
Apr 13, 7:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Cole and 29 more116 min
Apr 14, 11:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Buffalo, Clay, Fillmore, Franklin, Furnas and 19 more2 hr
Apr 14, 2:33 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBlaine, Custer, Frontier, Garfield, Hayes, Holt and 7 more8 hr
Apr 14, 6:27 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCAdams, Buffalo, Cass, Clay, Dawson, Fillmore and 30 more9 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2012Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2012Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.