Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 166

April 14, 20128 counties in Iowa; 52 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 14, 2012, 12:00 PM CDT for 8 counties in Iowa; 52 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 14, 2012, 12:00 PM CDT (17:00 UTC)
Expired
Apr 14, 2012, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Particularly dangerous situation
Yes
Largest hail expected
4 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 60 counties

Fremont County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Adams County, NE, Antelope County, NE, Boone County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Clay County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gage County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Howard County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Madison County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Polk County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Valley County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
80%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
80%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
60%
Ten or more severe hail reports
90%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
80%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

41 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 14, 12:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Boone, Madison, Pierce37 min
Apr 14, 12:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin, Harlan27 min
Apr 14, 12:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Boone, Madison, Pierce36 min
Apr 14, 12:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNuckolls, Webster48 min
Apr 14, 12:52 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDNuckolls38 min
Apr 14, 1:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin23 min
Apr 14, 1:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMadison, Pierce, Stanton, Wayne37 min
Apr 14, 1:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills35 min
Apr 14, 1:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNuckolls, Webster49 min
Apr 14, 1:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXCuming, Stanton, Thurston, Wayne32 min
Apr 14, 1:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXCass60 min
Apr 14, 1:53 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXMadison, Pierce, Stanton, Wayne2 hr
Apr 14, 1:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills, Montgomery31 min
Apr 14, 2:01 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXCuming, Stanton, Thurston, Wayne119 min
Apr 14, 2:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Page24 min
Apr 14, 2:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDNuckolls, Thayer45 min
Apr 14, 2:17 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXFremont, Page28 min
Apr 14, 2:25 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDNuckolls, Thayer35 min
Apr 14, 2:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMontgomery, Page31 min
Apr 14, 3:01 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDFillmore, Thayer14 min
Apr 14, 3:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXJefferson, Saline51 min
Apr 14, 3:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXJohnson, Pawnee28 min
Apr 14, 3:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXGage, Jefferson22 min
Apr 14, 4:00 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXGage, Jefferson, Lancaster, Saline3 hr
Apr 14, 4:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXNemaha30 min
Apr 14, 4:30 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXLancaster3 hr
Apr 14, 4:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXJohnson, Nemaha, Otoe27 min
Apr 14, 5:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont34 min
Apr 14, 5:13 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOAXMontgomery2 hr
Apr 14, 5:14 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXNemaha, Otoe31 min
Apr 14, 5:24 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXFremont24 min
Apr 14, 5:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFurnas, Gosper49 min
Apr 14, 5:33 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDFurnas27 min
Apr 14, 5:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Mills25 min
Apr 14, 5:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXFremont, Page32 min
Apr 14, 5:56 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDFurnas, Gosper, Harlan, Phelps49 min
Apr 14, 5:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMills, Montgomery, Pottawattamie33 min
Apr 14, 6:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Dawson, Gosper, Phelps44 min
Apr 14, 6:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXPage28 min
Apr 14, 6:06 PM CDTTornado WarningOAXMontgomery14 min
Apr 14, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Kearney, Phelps45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 5.0 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2012-04-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2012-04-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 2 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1847 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
89 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

068 
WWUS20 KWNS 141659
SEL6
SPC WW 141659
NEZ000-150000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 166
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1200 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM NOON UNTIL 700
PM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
BROKEN BOW NEBRASKA TO 10 MILES SOUTH OF OMAHA NEBRASKA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 165...

DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL KS IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND INTO CENTRAL/EASTERN
NEB THIS AFTERNOON.  MEANWHILE...STRONG LOW LEVEL WARM/MOIST
ADVECTION AND A WEAK CAP MAY RESULT IN OTHER CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  LOW LEVEL VERTICAL
SHEAR IS VERY IMPRESSIVE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING...SUGGESTING
AND INCREASING RISK OF SURFACE-BASED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF STRONG
TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 14, 2:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Audubon, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills and 5 more90 min
Apr 14, 2:56 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Cass, Clarke and 14 more2 hr
Apr 14, 4:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Cass, Clarke, Dallas and 17 more58 min
Apr 14, 5:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Cass, Clarke and 18 more7 hr
Apr 14, 6:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Cass, Clarke and 23 more63 min
Apr 14, 10:43 AM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCHitchcock, Red Willow7 hr
Apr 14, 11:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Buffalo, Clay, Fillmore, Franklin, Furnas and 19 more2 hr
Apr 14, 1:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Custer, Dawson, Frontier, Garden, Grant and 9 more2 hr
Apr 14, 2:33 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBlaine, Custer, Frontier, Garfield, Hayes, Holt and 7 more8 hr
Apr 14, 5:24 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCHitchcock, Red Willow9 hr
Apr 14, 6:27 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCAdams, Buffalo, Cass, Clay, Dawson, Fillmore and 30 more9 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2012Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.