Alert archive / Iowa / Mesoscale Discussions in 2012

Mesoscale Discussion 536

April 14, 201219 counties in Iowa

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 14, 2012, 7:50 PM CDT for 19 counties in Iowa. It was in force for 55 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 14, 2012, 7:50 PM CDT (00:50 UTC)
Expired
Apr 14, 2012, 8:45 PM CDT
In force
55 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Benton County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Tama County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Washington County, IA

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2012-04-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 300 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2012-04-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 124 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
300 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-50 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
726 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
69 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
124 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
126 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

975 
ACUS11 KWNS 150051
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150050
IAZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-150145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0536
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0750 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 150050Z - 150145Z

AN ORGANIZED BOWING SEGMENT CONTINUES TO TRACK EWD...AND IS EXPECTED
TO PROGRESS TO THE ERN PORTION OF WW 169 BY 02Z. THE SYSTEM MAY
WEAKEN WITH TIME...BUT ITS ORGANIZATION WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A DOWNSTREAM SEVERE WW.

AN MCV LOCATED JUST EAST OF ATLANTIC IA CONTINUES TO TRACK
EWD...WITH AN ORGANIZED COLD POOL NOW EVIDENT. ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS
REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DMGG WINDS AND POSSIBLE EMBEDDED MESOVORTICES
ATTM...DOWNSTREAM 00Z SOUNDINGS SHOW LIMITED
INSTABILITY/MOISTURE...WHICH MAY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES
THE ERN EXTENT OF WW 169. HOWEVER...A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET
COULD LEAD TO AT LEAST WEAK MOISTURE RETURN...WITH A SUPPORTING
UPPER WAVE NOTED ON WV IMAGERY ACROSS ERN NEB POSSIBLY SUSTAINING
THE BOWING SEGMENT. AS SUCH...ISOLATED OCCURRENCES OF DMGG WINDS
AND/OR HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

..HURLBUT.. 04/15/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DVN...DMX...

LAT...LON   41859289 42619203 42419093 41869064 41279087 40789136
            40519174 40609233 41519282 41859289

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 14, 7:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Ida, Lyon, Monona, O'Brien, Osceola and 3 more84 min
Apr 14, 8:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCedar, Clinton, Des Moines, Henry, Iowa, Jackson and 9 more4 hr
Apr 14, 9:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCedar, Clinton, Jackson, Jones, Louisa, Muscatine and 1 more96 min
Apr 14, 10:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFremont, Harrison, Mills, Monona, Montgomery, Page and 3 more6 hr
Apr 14, 11:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Carroll and 28 more92 min
Apr 15, 3:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Audubon, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills and 5 more95 min
Apr 15, 1:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Butler, Calhoun, Carroll and 28 more94 min
Apr 15, 3:37 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCerro Gordo, Chickasaw, Clay, Dickinson, Emmet, Floyd and 8 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2012Every mesoscale discussion in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.