Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 178

April 15, 201214 counties in Iowa; 43 counties in Minnesota; 15 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 15, 2012, 3:37 PM CDT for 14 counties in Iowa; 43 counties in Minnesota; 15 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2012, 3:37 PM CDT (20:37 UTC)
Expired
Apr 15, 2012, 10:11 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 72 counties

Cerro Gordo County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clay County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Howard County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Worth County, IA, Anoka County, MN, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Carver County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Cottonwood County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Dodge County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Houston County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Lincoln County, MN, Lyon County, MN, Martin County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mower County, MN, Murray County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Steele County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Winona County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Barron County, WI, Buffalo County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Clark County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Jackson County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Rusk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 3:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLincoln, Lyon37 min
Apr 15, 3:41 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDLyon19 min
Apr 15, 4:14 PM CDTTornado WarningFSDLyon16 min
Apr 15, 4:52 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXRenville, Sibley26 min
Apr 15, 5:23 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXMcLeod, Sibley37 min
Apr 15, 5:38 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXMcLeod, Sibley16 min
Apr 15, 5:43 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXCarver, McLeod, Wright32 min
Apr 15, 5:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXWright21 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 47 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2012-04-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2012-04-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 125 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
502 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
79 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
222 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

181 
WWUS20 KWNS 152040
SEL8  
SPC WW 152040
IAZ000-MNZ000-WIZ000-160400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 178
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
340 PM CDT SUN APR 15 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       EXTREME NORTHERN IOWA
       SOUTHERN MINNESOTA
       WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 340 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
REDWOOD FALLS MINNESOTA TO 40 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF EAU CLAIRE
WISCONSIN.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 177...

DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE STARTING TO INCREASE FROM NWRN IA INTO SWRN
MN IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG UPPER TROUGH/VORTICITY MAX MOVING NEWD
TOWARD THE UPPER MS VALLEY.  AIR MASS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM
FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS SRN MN INTO WRN WI HAS WARMED DURING THE
AFTERNOON RESULTING IN MLCAPE OF 1000-1500 J/KG.  VERY STRONG WINDS
ALOFT AND ASSOCIATED INTENSE VERTICAL SHEAR WILL AID IN STORM
ORGANIZATION WITH POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS TO DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY
AS STORMS INTERACT WITH THE WARM FRONT.  LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS
AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER CELLS AS ACTIVITY
GRADUALLY SPREADS/DEVELOPS NEWD THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21045.


...WEISS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 14, 7:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Buchanan, Cedar, Delaware, Henry, Iowa and 13 more55 min
Apr 14, 7:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Ida, Lyon, Monona, O'Brien, Osceola and 3 more84 min
Apr 14, 8:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCedar, Clinton, Des Moines, Henry, Iowa, Jackson and 9 more4 hr
Apr 14, 9:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCedar, Clinton, Jackson, Jones, Louisa, Muscatine and 1 more96 min
Apr 14, 10:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFremont, Harrison, Mills, Monona, Montgomery, Page and 3 more6 hr
Apr 14, 11:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Audubon, Boone, Carroll and 28 more92 min
Apr 15, 3:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Audubon, Cass, Fremont, Harrison, Mills and 5 more95 min
Apr 15, 1:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Butler, Calhoun, Carroll and 28 more94 min
Apr 15, 12:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Big Stone, Chippewa, Douglas, Kandiyohi, Lac qui Parle and 13 more65 min
Apr 15, 5:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Carver, Chisago, Dakota, Hennepin, Ramsey and 3 more96 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2012Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2012Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.